Forecasts Used to Create the 2024 Consensus Maps

To create a consensus map, we assign a party-specific point value to each rating category (safe, likely, leaning, tilt, toss-up). From there we calculate the average rating. Those average ratings determine the consensus rating, which may or may not be the most frequent one.

Only states rated safe by a large majority of forecasters are shown in the darkest shade of blue or red on the map. This allows for a more inclusive look at states that could be competitive in the right circumstances.

Forecasts within each section are listed in alphabetical order. All are weighted equally.

President

Click the link above for the 2024 Presidential Election Consensus Map. To see individual forecasts, including the below and others, visit the Presidential election forecasts page.

538 (map coming soon)
Cook Political Report
Elections Daily
Fox News
Inside Elections
JHK Forecasts (map coming soon)
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Split Ticket
US News

Senate

Click the link above for the 2024 Senate Consensus Map. To see individual forecasts, including the below and others, visit the Senate election forecasts page.

Cook Political Report
Elections Daily
Inside Elections
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Split Ticket
US News

House

Click the link above for the 2024 House Consensus Map. To see individual forecasts, including the below and others, visit the House election forecasts page.

Cook Political Report
Elections Daily
Inside Elections
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Split Ticket

Governor

Click the link above for the 2024 Governor Consensus Map. To see individual forecasts, including the below and others, visit the gubernatorial election forecasts page.

Cook Political Report
Inside Elections
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Split Ticket
US News