2024 House Election: Consensus Forecast

As of November 4, 2024

A consensus outlook for the 2024 House Elections based on the current ratings of these forecasters. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 House forecast. You can also view this forecast as a table.

November 4: CA-13, NC-01, PA-08, VA-07 Toss-up to Lean Democrat; CA-47 Lean Democrat to Toss-up; FL-07 Likely to Safe Republican; NY-18 Lean to Likely Democrat.

Current House 118^th Congress

Interactive Map Contested 2024

2025 House 119^th Congress

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House Elections 2024


Current	212	220	3 *
Consensus Forecast	210	207	18
Interactive Map Above

* Vacant Seat(s)

Most Competitive 2024 House Races
Show 2024 Candidates

District	Incumbent	Party	Since	Term	Predictions		Margin of Victory
District	Incumbent	Party	Since	Term	Consensus	Map	House^(a)	President^(b)
Filtered list below matches districts currently visible in map window.
AL- 2	Barry Moore		2021	2nd			39.9%	29.4%
AL- 2
GA- 6	Rich McCormick		2023	1st			24.4%	14.9%
GA- 6	Will run in GA-07 after new redistricting
GA- 7	Lucy McBath		2019	3rd			22.1%	25.8%
GA- 7	Will run in GA-06 after new redistricting
LA- 6	Garret Graves		2015	5th			67.4% ⁺	30.4%
LA- 6	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024.
NC- 1	Don Davis		2023	1st			4.7%	7.3%
NC- 1
NC- 6	Kathy Manning		2021	2nd			8.9%	12.4%
NC- 6
NC- 13	Wiley Nickel		2023	1st			3.2%	1.7%
NC- 13
NC- 14	Jeff Jackson		2023	1st			15.4%	16.4%
NC- 14	Retiring to run for NC Attorney General
NY- 1	Nicholas LaLota		2023	1st			11.0%	0.2%
NY- 1
NY- 3	Tom Suozzi		2024	1st			7.5%	8.2%
NY- 3
NY- 4	Anthony D'Esposito		2023	1st			3.6%	14.5%
NY- 4
NY- 17	Michael Lawler		2023	1st			0.6%	10.1%
NY- 17
NY- 18	Pat Ryan		2022	2nd			1.4%	8.4%
NY- 18
NY- 19	Marc Molinaro		2023	1st			1.6%	4.6%
NY- 19
NY- 22	Brandon Williams		2023	1st			1.0%	7.5%
NY- 22
AK- AL	Mary Peltola		2022	2nd			9.9% ^y	10.1%
AK- AL	Eric Hafner Mary Peltola* Nick Begich John Howe
AZ- 1	David Schweikert		2011	7th			0.9%	1.5%
AZ- 1	Amish Shah David Schweikert*
AZ- 2	Eli Crane		2023	1st			7.8%	7.9%
AZ- 2	Jonathan Nez Eli Crane*
AZ- 6	Juan Ciscomani		2023	1st			1.5%	0.1%
AZ- 6	Kirsten Engel Juan Ciscomani*
CA- 3	Kevin Kiley		2023	1st			7.2%	1.8%
CA- 3	Jessica Morse Kevin Kiley*
CA- 9	Josh Harder		2019	3rd			9.6%	12.6%
CA- 9	Josh Harder* Kevin Lincoln
CA- 13	John Duarte		2023	1st			0.4%	10.9%
CA- 13	Adam Gray John Duarte*
CA- 22	David Valadao		2021	2nd			3.0%	12.9%
CA- 22	Rudy Salas David Valadao*
CA- 27	Mike Garcia		2020	3rd			6.4%	12.4%
CA- 27	George Whitesides Mike Garcia*
CA- 40	Young Kim		2021	2nd			13.6%	1.9%
CA- 40	Joe Kerr Young Kim*
CA- 41	Ken Calvert		1993	16th			4.6%	1.1%
CA- 41	Will Rollins Ken Calvert*
CA- 45	Michelle Steel		2021	2nd			4.8%	6.2%
CA- 45	Derek Tran Michelle Steel*
CA- 47	Katie Porter		2019	3rd			3.4%	11.1%
CA- 47	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Dave Min Scott Baugh
CA- 49	Mike Levin		2019	3rd			5.2%	11.4%
CA- 49	Mike Levin* Matt Gunderson
CO- 3	Lauren Boebert		2021	2nd			0.2%	8.3%
CO- 3	Running in CO-04 Adam Frisch Jeff Hurd
CO- 8	Yadira Caraveo		2023	1st			0.7%	4.6%
CO- 8	Yadira Caraveo* Gabe Evans
CT- 5	Jahana Hayes		2019	3rd			0.8%	10.7%
CT- 5	Jahana Hayes* George Logan
FL- 9	Darren Soto		2017	4th			7.3%	17.4%
FL- 9	Darren Soto* Thomas Chalifoux
FL- 13	Anna Luna		2023	1st			8.1%	6.8%
FL- 13	Whitney Fox Anna Paulina Luna*
FL- 15	Laurel Lee		2023	1st			17.1%	3.2%
FL- 15	Patricia Kemp Laurel Lee*
FL- 27	Maria Salazar		2021	2nd			14.6%	0.3%
FL- 27	Lucia Baez-Geller Maria Elvira Salazar*
IA- 1	Mariannette Miller-Meeks		2021	2nd			6.8%	2.9%
IA- 1	Christina Bohannan Mariannette Miller-Meeks*
IA- 2	Ashley Hinson		2021	2nd			8.2%	4.4%
IA- 2	Sarah Corkery Ashley Hinson*
IA- 3	Zach Nunn		2023	1st			0.7%	0.3%
IA- 3	Lanon Baccam Zach Nunn*
IL- 17	Eric Sorensen		2023	1st			4.0%	7.8%
IL- 17	Eric Sorensen* Joe McGraw
IN- 1	Frank Mrvan		2021	2nd			5.6%	8.4%
IN- 1	Frank Mrvan* Randy Niemeyer
KS- 3	Sharice Davids		2019	3rd			12.2%	4.5%
KS- 3	Sharice Davids* Prasanth Reddy
MD- 6	David Trone		2019	3rd			9.6%	9.8%
MD- 6	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate April McClain Delaney Neil Parrott
ME- 2	Jared Golden		2019	3rd			6.1% ^y	6.1%
ME- 2	Jared Golden* Austin Theriault
MI- 3	Hillary Scholten		2023	1st			12.9%	8.5%
MI- 3	Hillary Scholten* Paul Hudson
MI- 7	Elissa Slotkin		2019	3rd			5.4%	0.5%
MI- 7	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Curtis Hertel Tom Barrett
MI- 8	Dan Kildee		2013	6th			10.3%	2.0%
MI- 8	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Kristen McDonald Rivet Paul Junge
MI- 10	John James		2023	1st			0.5%	1.0%
MI- 10	Carl Marlinga John James*
MN- 2	Angie Craig		2019	3rd			5.2%	7.2%
MN- 2	Angie Craig* Joe Teirab
MO- 2	Ann Wagner		2013	6th			11.9%	7.8%
MO- 2	Ray Hartmann Ann Wagner*
MT- 1	Ryan Zinke		2023	1st			3.2%	6.9%
MT- 1	Monica Tranel Ryan Zinke*
NE- 2	Don Bacon		2017	4th			2.7%	6.3%
NE- 2	Tony Vargas Don Bacon*
NH- 1	Chris Pappas		2019	3rd			8.1%	5.9%
NH- 1	Chris Pappas* Russell Prescott
NH- 2	Ann Kuster		2013	6th			11.7%	8.8%
NH- 2	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Maggie Goodlander Lily Tang Williams
NJ- 7	Tom Kean		2023	1st			2.8%	3.9%
NJ- 7	Sue Altman Thomas Kean Jr.*
NM- 2	Gabriel Vasquez		2023	1st			0.7%	5.9%
NM- 2	Gabe Vasquez* Yvette Herrell
NV- 1	Dina Titus		2013	6th			5.6%	8.5%
NV- 1	Dina Titus* Mark Robertson
NV- 3	Susie Lee		2019	3rd			4.0%	6.6%
NV- 3	Susie Lee* Drew Johnson
NV- 4	Steven Horsford		2019	3rd			4.8%	8.3%
NV- 4	Steven Horsford* John Lee
OH- 1	Greg Landsman		2023	1st			5.5%	8.5%
OH- 1	Greg Landsman* Orlando Sonza
OH- 9	Marcy Kaptur		1983	21st			13.3%	2.9%
OH- 9	Marcy Kaptur* Derek Merrin
OH- 13	Emilia Sykes		2023	1st			5.4%	2.8%
OH- 13	Emilia Sykes* Kevin Coughlin
OR- 4	Val Hoyle		2023	1st			7.5%	12.7%
OR- 4	Val Hoyle* Monique DeSpain
OR- 5	Lori Chavez-DeRemer		2023	1st			2.1%	8.9%
OR- 5	Janelle Bynum Lori Chavez-DeRemer*
OR- 6	Andrea Salinas		2023	1st			2.5%	13.2%
OR- 6	Andrea Salinas* Mike Erickson
PA- 1	Brian Fitzpatrick		2017	4th			9.7%	4.6%
PA- 1	Ashley Ehasz Brian Fitzpatrick*
PA- 7	Susan Wild		2018	4th			2.0%	0.6%
PA- 7	Susan Wild* Ryan Mackenzie
PA- 8	Matt Cartwright		2013	6th			2.4%	2.9%
PA- 8	Matt Cartwright* Robert Bresnahan
PA- 10	Scott Perry		2013	6th			7.7%	4.1%
PA- 10	Janelle Stelson Scott Perry*
PA- 17	Chris Deluzio		2023	1st			6.8%	5.8%
PA- 17	Chris Deluzio* Rob Mercuri
TN- 5	Andy Ogles		2023	1st			13.5%	11.3%
TN- 5	Maryam Abolfazli Andy Ogles
TX- 15	Monica De La Cruz		2023	1st			8.5%	2.9%
TX- 15	Michelle Vallejo Monica De La Cruz*
TX- 28	Henry Cuellar		2005	10th			13.3%	7.0%
TX- 28	Henry Cuellar* Jay Furman
TX- 34	Vicente Gonzalez		2017	4th			8.5%	15.5%
TX- 34	Vicente Gonzalez* Mayra Flores
VA- 2	Jen Kiggans		2023	1st			3.4%	1.9%
VA- 2	Missy Smasal Jen Kiggans*
VA- 7	Abigail Spanberger		2019	3rd			4.7%	6.8%
VA- 7	Retiring to run for Governor of Virginia in 2025 Eugene Vindman Derrick Anderson
WA- 3	Marie Perez		2023	1st			0.8%	4.2%
WA- 3	Marie Gluesenkamp Perez* Joe Kent
WA- 8	Kim Schrier		2019	3rd			6.9%	6.7%
WA- 8	Kim Schrier* Carmen Goers
WI- 1	Bryan Steil		2019	3rd			8.9%	2.0%
WI- 1	Peter Barca Bryan Steil*
WI- 3	Derrick Van Orden		2023	1st			3.7%	4.7%
WI- 3	Rebecca Cooke Derrick Van Orden*
The following races are rated as safe for the incumbent party.
AL- 1	Jerry Carl		2021	2nd			68.0% ⁺	28.3%
AL- 1	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2024 election.
AL- 3	Mike Rogers		2003	11th			46.1%	34.1%
AL- 3
AL- 4	Robert Aderholt		1997	14th			70.6%	61.8%
AL- 4
AL- 5	Dale Strong		2023	1st			37.6%	27.1%
AL- 5
AL- 6	Gary Palmer		2015	5th			68.7% ⁺	29.9%
AL- 6
AL- 7	Terri Sewell		2011	7th			28.8%	32.0%
AL- 7
GA- 1	Buddy Carter		2015	5th			18.3%	13.4%
GA- 1
GA- 2	Sanford Bishop Jr.		1993	16th			9.9%	10.3%
GA- 2
GA- 3	Drew Ferguson		2017	4th			37.5%	30.1%
GA- 3	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024.
GA- 4	Hank Johnson		2007	9th			57.0%	57.7%
GA- 4
GA- 5	Nikema Williams		2021	2nd			65.0%	66.5%
GA- 5
GA- 8	Austin Scott		2011	7th			37.2%	27.6%
GA- 8
GA- 9	Andrew Clyde		2021	2nd			44.7%	37.9%
GA- 9
GA- 10	Mike Collins		2023	1st			29.1%	23.4%
GA- 10
GA- 11	Barry Loudermilk		2015	5th			25.2%	15.3%
GA- 11
GA- 12	Rick Allen		2015	5th			19.2%	10.1%
GA- 12
GA- 13	David Scott		2003	11th			63.5%	60.4%
GA- 13
GA- 14	Marjorie Taylor Greene		2021	2nd			31.7%	37.4%
GA- 14
LA- 1	Steve Scalise		2008	9th			47.6%	39.0%
LA- 1
LA- 2	Troy Carter		2021	2nd			54.2%	52.5%
LA- 2
LA- 3	Clay Higgins		2017	4th			53.8% ^x	37.6%
LA- 3
LA- 4	Mike Johnson		2017	4th			^*	24.1%
LA- 4
LA- 5	Julia Letlow		2021	2nd			51.9% ^x	29.7%
LA- 5
NC- 2	Deborah Ross		2021	2nd			29.4%	28.8%
NC- 2
NC- 3	Greg Murphy		2019	3rd			33.8%	25.4%
NC- 3
NC- 4	Valerie Foushee		2023	1st			33.8%	35.1%
NC- 4
NC- 5	Virginia Foxx		2005	10th			26.3%	21.3%
NC- 5
NC- 7	David Rouzer		2015	5th			15.4%	12.7%
NC- 7
NC- 8	Dan Bishop		2019	3rd			39.8%	34.1%
NC- 8	Retiring to run for NC Attorney General
NC- 9	Richard Hudson		2013	6th			13.0%	8.0%
NC- 9
NC- 10	Patrick McHenry		2005	10th			45.3%	39.5%
NC- 10
NC- 11	Chuck Edwards		2023	1st			9.3%	10.2%
NC- 11
NC- 12	Alma Adams		2014	6th			25.5%	30.2%
NC- 12
NY- 2	Andrew Garbarino		2021	2nd			21.4%	1.5%
NY- 2
NY- 5	Gregory Meeks		1998	14th			50.4%	62.4%
NY- 5
NY- 6	Grace Meng		2013	6th			27.9%	30.3%
NY- 6
NY- 7	Nydia Velazquez		1993	16th			61.3%	62.6%
NY- 7
NY- 8	Hakeem Jeffries		2013	6th			43.4%	53.2%
NY- 8
NY- 9	Yvette Clarke		2007	9th			62.9% ⁺	51.6%
NY- 9
NY- 10	Dan Goldman		2023	1st			68.4%	71.2%
NY- 10
NY- 11	Nicole Malliotakis		2021	2nd			23.5%	7.6%
NY- 11
NY- 12	Jerrold Nadler		1992	17th			63.7%	71.4%
NY- 12
NY- 13	Adriano Espaillat		2017	4th			^*	77.0%
NY- 13
NY- 14	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez		2019	3rd			43.3%	56.6%
NY- 14
NY- 15	Ritchie Torres		2021	2nd			65.5%	70.0%
NY- 15
NY- 16	Jamaal Bowman		2021	2nd			28.6%	43.7%
NY- 16	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2024 election.
NY- 20	Paul Tonko		2009	8th			10.1%	19.2%
NY- 20
NY- 21	Elise Stefanik		2015	5th			18.3%	12.4%
NY- 21
NY- 23	Nick Langworthy		2023	1st			29.8%	17.2%
NY- 23
NY- 24	Claudia Tenney		2021	2nd			31.4%	17.2%
NY- 24
NY- 25	Joseph Morelle		2018	4th			7.7%	19.7%
NY- 25
NY- 26	Tim Kennedy		2024	1st			27.9%	23.4%
NY- 26
AR- 1	Rick Crawford		2011	7th			47.6%	40.9%
AR- 1	Rodney Govens Rick Crawford*
AR- 2	French Hill		2015	5th			24.8%	13.1%
AR- 2	Marcus Jones French Hill*
AR- 3	Steve Womack		2011	7th			30.8%	23.4%
AR- 3	Caitlin Draper Steve Womack*
AR- 4	Bruce Westerman		2015	5th			44.8%	35.2%
AR- 4	Risie Howard Bruce Westerman*
AZ- 3	Ruben Gallego		2015	5th			54.0%	50.6%
AZ- 3	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Yassamin Ansari Jeff Zink
AZ- 4	Greg Stanton		2019	3rd			12.2%	10.3%
AZ- 4	Greg Stanton* Kelly Cooper
AZ- 5	Andy Biggs		2017	4th			19.3%	16.4%
AZ- 5	Katrina Schaffner Andy Biggs*
AZ- 7	Raul Grijalva		2003	11th			29.0%	32.8%
AZ- 7	Raul Grijalva* Daniel Butierez
AZ- 8	Debbie Lesko		2018	4th			^*	13.5%
AZ- 8	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Gregory Whitten Abe Hamadeh
AZ- 9	Paul Gosar		2011	7th			^*	25.8%
AZ- 9	Quacy Smith Paul Gosar*
CA- 1	Doug LaMalfa		2013	6th			24.2%	19.1%
CA- 1	Rose Yee Doug LaMalfa*
CA- 2	Jared Huffman		2013	6th			48.8%	49.5%
CA- 2	Jared Huffman* Chris Coulombe
CA- 4	Mike Thompson		1999	13th			35.6%	36.6%
CA- 4	Mike Thompson* John Munn
CA- 5	Tom McClintock		2009	8th			22.6%	12.3%
CA- 5	Michael Barkley Tom McClintock*
CA- 6	Ami Bera		2013	6th			11.8%	18.4%
CA- 6	Ami Bera* Christine Bish
CA- 7	Doris Matsui		2005	10th			36.6%	37.2%
CA- 7	Doris Matsui* Tom Silva
CA- 8	John Garamendi		2009	8th			51.4%	54.0%
CA- 8	John Garamendi* Rudy Recile
CA- 10	Mark DeSaulnier		2015	5th			57.8% ⁺	39.4%
CA- 10	Mark DeSaulnier* Katherine Piccinini
CA- 11	Nancy Pelosi		1987	19th			68.0%	74.5%
CA- 11	Nancy Pelosi* Bruce Lou
CA- 12	Barbara Lee		1998	14th			81.0%	80.7%
CA- 12	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Lateefah Simon Jennifer Tran
CA- 14	Eric Swalwell		2013	6th			38.6%	45.5%
CA- 14	Eric Swalwell* Vin Kruttiventi
CA- 15	Kevin Mullin		2023	1st			^{^}	57.3%
CA- 15	Kevin Mullin* Anna Kramer
CA- 16	Anna Eshoo		1993	16th			^{^}	53.0%
CA- 16	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Sam Liccardo Evan Low
CA- 17	Ro Khanna		2017	4th			41.8%	47.4%
CA- 17	Ro Khanna* Anita Chen
CA- 18	Zoe Lofgren		1995	15th			31.8%	44.1%
CA- 18	Zoe Lofgren* Peter Hernandez
CA- 19	Jimmy Panetta		2017	4th			37.4%	39.6%
CA- 19	Jimmy Panetta* Jason Anderson
CA- 20	Vince Fong		2024	1st			34.4%	24.9%
CA- 20	Mike Boudreaux Vince Fong*
CA- 21	Jim Costa		2013	6th			8.4%	20.3%
CA- 21	Jim Costa* Michael Maher
CA- 23	Jay Obernolte		2021	2nd			22.0%	9.8%
CA- 23	Derek Marshall Jay Obernolte*
CA- 24	Salud Carbajal		2017	4th			21.2%	29.1%
CA- 24	Salud Carbajal* Thomas Cole
CA- 25	Raul Ruiz		2013	6th			14.8%	15.3%
CA- 25	Raul Ruiz* Ian Weeks
CA- 26	Julia Brownley		2013	6th			9.0%	20.0%
CA- 26	Julia Brownley* Michael Koslow
CA- 28	Judy Chu		2009	8th			32.4%	34.2%
CA- 28	Judy Chu* April Verlato
CA- 29	Tony Cardenas		2013	6th			^{^}	51.3%
CA- 29	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Luz Rivas Benito Bernal
CA- 30	Adam Schiff		2001	12th			^{^}	46.2%
CA- 30	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Laura Friedman Alex Balekian
CA- 31	Grace Napolitano		1999	13th			19.0%	31.1%
CA- 31	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Gil Cisneros Daniel Martinez
CA- 32	Brad Sherman		1997	14th			38.4%	40.8%
CA- 32	Brad Sherman* Larry Thompson
CA- 33	Pete Aguilar		2015	5th			15.4%	25.3%
CA- 33	Pete Aguilar* Tom Herman
CA- 34	Jimmy Gomez		2017	4th			^{^}	64.2%
CA- 34	Jimmy Gomez* David Kim
CA- 35	Norma Torres		2015	5th			14.8%	27.6%
CA- 35	Norma Torres* Mike Cargile
CA- 36	Ted Lieu		2015	5th			39.6%	44.1%
CA- 36	Ted Lieu* Melissa Toomim
CA- 37	Sydney Kamlager		2023	1st			^{^}	73.3%
CA- 37	Sydney Kamlager-Dove* Juan Rey
CA- 38	Linda Sanchez		2003	11th			16.2%	30.2%
CA- 38	Linda Sanchez* Eric Ching
CA- 39	Mark Takano		2013	6th			15.4%	26.1%
CA- 39	Mark Takano* David Serpa
CA- 42	Robert Garcia		2023	1st			36.8%	45.8%
CA- 42	Robert Garcia* John Briscoe
CA- 43	Maxine Waters		1991	17th			54.6%	63.8%
CA- 43	Maxine Waters* Steve Williams
CA- 44	Nanette Barragan		2017	4th			44.4%	48.2%
CA- 44	Nanette Barragan* Roger Groh
CA- 46	Lou Correa		2017	4th			23.6%	30.4%
CA- 46	Lou Correa* David Pan
CA- 48	Darrell Issa		2021	2nd			20.8%	12.3%
CA- 48	Stephen Houlahan Darrell Issa*
CA- 50	Scott Peters		2013	6th			25.6%	33.1%
CA- 50	Scott Peters* Peter Bono
CA- 51	Sara Jacobs		2021	2nd			23.8%	27.3%
CA- 51	Sara Jacobs* Bill Wells
CA- 52	Juan Vargas		2013	6th			33.4%	36.9%
CA- 52	Juan Vargas* Justin Lee
CO- 1	Diana DeGette		1997	14th			62.8%	61.3%
CO- 1	Diana DeGette* Valdamar Archuleta
CO- 2	Joe Neguse		2019	3rd			42.0%	39.9%
CO- 2	Joe Neguse* Marshall Dawson
CO- 4	Greg Lopez		2024	1st			24.4%	18.6%
CO- 4	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Trisha Calvarese Lauren Boebert*
CO- 5	Doug Lamborn		2007	9th			15.7%	10.1%
CO- 5	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. River Gassen Jeff Crank
CO- 6	Jason Crow		2019	3rd			23.2%	23.8%
CO- 6	Jason Crow* John Fabbricatore
CO- 7	Brittany Pettersen		2023	1st			15.0%	14.2%
CO- 7	Brittany Pettersen* Sergei Matveyuk
CT- 1	John Larson		1999	13th			23.8%	28.1%
CT- 1	John Larson* Jim Griffin
CT- 2	Joe Courtney		2007	9th			18.1%	11.4%
CT- 2	Joe Courtney* Mike France
CT- 3	Rosa DeLauro		1991	17th			16.2%	19.7%
CT- 3	Rosa DeLauro* Michael Massey
CT- 4	James Himes		2009	8th			18.8%	31.0%
CT- 4	Jim Himes* Michael Goldstein
DE- AL	Lisa Rochester		2017	4th			12.5%	19.0%
DE- AL	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Sarah McBride John Whalen
FL- 1	Matt Gaetz		2017	4th			35.7%	32.3%
FL- 1	Gay Valimont Matt Gaetz*
FL- 2	Neal Dunn		2017	4th			19.6%	11.0%
FL- 2	Yen Bailey Neal Dunn*
FL- 3	Kat Cammack		2021	2nd			26.2%	14.1%
FL- 3	Tom Wells Kat Cammack*
FL- 4	Aaron Bean		2023	1st			20.9%	6.7%
FL- 4	LaShonda Holloway Aaron Bean*
FL- 5	John Rutherford		2017	4th			^*	15.8%
FL- 5	Jay McGovern John Rutherford*
FL- 6	Michael Waltz		2019	3rd			50.7% ⁺	23.7%
FL- 6	James Stockton Michael Waltz*
FL- 7	Cory Mills		2023	1st			17.1%	5.5%
FL- 7	Jennifer Adams Cory Mills*
FL- 8	Bill Posey		2009	8th			29.8%	17.6%
FL- 8	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Sandy Kennedy Mike Haridopolos
FL- 10	Maxwell Frost		2023	1st			19.6%	31.8%
FL- 10	Maxwell Frost* Willie Montague
FL- 11	Dan Webster		2017	4th			27.7%	10.9%
FL- 11	Barbie Harden Hall Daniel Webster*
FL- 12	Gus Bilirakis		2007	9th			40.8%	28.7%
FL- 12	Rock Aboujaoude Gus Bilirakis*
FL- 14	Kathy Castor		2007	9th			13.8%	19.1%
FL- 14	Kathy Castor* Rocky Rochford
FL- 16	Vern Buchanan		2007	9th			24.3%	8.9%
FL- 16	Jan Schneider Vern Buchanan*
FL- 17	Greg Steube		2019	3rd			28.3%	16.0%
FL- 17	Manny Lopez Greg Steube*
FL- 18	Scott Franklin		2021	2nd			49.4% ⁺	22.8%
FL- 18	Andrea Kale Scott Franklin*
FL- 19	Byron Donalds		2021	2nd			36.0%	21.0%
FL- 19	Kari Lerner Byron Donalds*
FL- 20	Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick		2021	2nd			44.6%	52.4%
FL- 20	Incumbent is unopposed
FL- 21	Brian Mast		2017	4th			27.0%	9.4%
FL- 21	Thomas Witkop Brian Mast*
FL- 22	Lois Frankel		2013	6th			10.2%	17.6%
FL- 22	Lois Frankel* Dan Franzese
FL- 23	Jared Moskowitz		2023	1st			4.8%	13.2%
FL- 23	Jared Moskowitz* Joe Kaufman
FL- 24	Frederica Wilson		2011	7th			43.6%	49.1%
FL- 24	Frederica Wilson* Jesus Navarro
FL- 25	Debbie Wasserman Schultz		2005	10th			10.2%	19.9%
FL- 25	Debbie Wasserman Schultz* Chris Eddy
FL- 26	Mario Diaz-Balart		2003	11th			41.7%	18.3%
FL- 26	Joey Atkins Mario Diaz-Balart*
FL- 28	Carlos Gimenez		2021	2nd			27.4%	6.3%
FL- 28	Phil Ehr Carlos Gimenez*
HI- 1	Ed Case		2019	3rd			47.4%	29.4%
HI- 1	Ed Case* Patrick Largey
HI- 2	Jill Tokuda		2023	1st			26.9%	29.5%
HI- 2	Jill Tokuda* Steven Bond
IA- 4	Randy Feenstra		2021	2nd			36.9%	26.0%
IA- 4	Ryan Melton Randy Feenstra*
ID- 1	Russ Fulcher		2019	3rd			45.0%	38.2%
ID- 1	Kaylee Peterson Russ Fulcher*
ID- 2	Michael Simpson		1999	13th			27.2%	22.9%
ID- 2	David Roth Mike Simpson*
IL- 1	Jonathan Jackson		2023	1st			34.1%	42.4%
IL- 1	Jonathan Jackson* Marcus Lewis
IL- 2	Robin Kelly		2013	6th			34.3%	40.0%
IL- 2	Robin Kelly* Ashley Ramos
IL- 3	Delia Ramirez		2023	1st			37.0%	41.4%
IL- 3	Delia Ramirez* John Booras
IL- 4	Jesus Garcia		2019	3rd			40.4%	46.4%
IL- 4	Chuy Garcia* Lupe Castillo
IL- 5	Mike Quigley		2009	8th			40.8%	39.6%
IL- 5	Mike Quigley* Tommy Hanson
IL- 6	Sean Casten		2019	3rd			8.7%	10.9%
IL- 6	Sean Casten* Niki Conforti
IL- 7	Danny Davis		1997	14th			^*	72.8%
IL- 7	Danny Davis* Chad Koppie
IL- 8	Raja Krishnamoorthi		2017	4th			13.8%	15.4%
IL- 8	Raja Krishnamoorthi* Mark Rice
IL- 9	Jan Schakowsky		1999	13th			43.4%	41.6%
IL- 9	Jan Schakowsky* Seth Cohen*
IL- 10	Brad Schneider		2017	4th			26.0%	25.9%
IL- 10	Brad Schneider* Jim Carris
IL- 11	Bill Foster		2013	6th			12.9%	15.3%
IL- 11	Bill Foster* Jerry Evans
IL- 12	Mike Bost		2015	5th			50.0%	42.8%
IL- 12	Brian Roberts Mike Bost*
IL- 13	Nikki Budzinski		2023	1st			13.2%	11.2%
IL- 13	Nikki Budzinksi* Joshua Loyd
IL- 14	Lauren Underwood		2019	3rd			8.3%	11.5%
IL- 14	Lauren Underwood* Jim Marter
IL- 15	Mary Miller		2021	2nd			42.2%	38.7%
IL- 15	Incumbent is unopposed
IL- 16	Darin LaHood		2015	5th			32.7%	21.5%
IL- 16	Incumbent is unopposed
IN- 2	Rudy Yakym		2022	2nd			32.2%	22.6%
IN- 2	Lori Camp Rudy Yakym*
IN- 3	Jim Banks		2017	4th			35.2%	29.9%
IN- 3	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Kiley Adolph Marlin Stutzman
IN- 4	Jim Baird		2019	3rd			36.4%	29.1%
IN- 4	Derrick Holder Jim Baird*
IN- 5	Victoria Spartz		2021	2nd			22.2%	15.9%
IN- 5	Deborah Pickett Victoria Spartz*
IN- 6	Greg Pence		2019	3rd			35.0%	31.9%
IN- 6	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Cynthia Wirth Jefferson Shreve
IN- 7	Andre Carson		2008	9th			36.4%	42.4%
IN- 7	Andre Carson* John Schmitz
IN- 8	Larry Bucshon		2011	7th			34.2%	32.8%
IN- 8	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Erik Hurt Mark Messmer
IN- 9	Erin Houchin		2023	1st			30.0%	27.3%
IN- 9	Timothy Peck Erin Houchin*
KS- 1	Tracey Mann		2021	2nd			35.3%	29.6%
KS- 1	Paul Buskirk Tracey Mann*
KS- 2	Jake LaTurner		2021	2nd			15.2%	16.3%
KS- 2	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Nancy Boyda Derek Schmidt
KS- 4	Ron Estes		2017	4th			26.7%	21.7%
KS- 4	Esau Freeman Ron Estes*
KY- 1	James Comer		2016	5th			49.8%	42.7%
KY- 1	Erin Marshall James Comer*
KY- 2	Brett Guthrie		2009	8th			43.8%	36.7%
KY- 2	Hank Linderman Brett Guthrie*
KY- 3	Morgan McGarvey		2023	1st			24.0%	22.3%
KY- 3	Morgan McGarvey* Mike Craven
KY- 4	Thomas Massie		2012	7th			34.0%	32.5%
KY- 4	Incumbent is unopposed
KY- 5	Hal Rogers		1981	22nd			64.4%	59.4%
KY- 5	Incumbent is unopposed
KY- 6	Andy Barr		2013	6th			30.2%	11.0%
KY- 6	Randy Cravens Andy Barr*
MA- 1	Richard Neal		1989	18th			23.1%	21.7%
MA- 1	Incumbent is unopposed
MA- 2	James McGovern		1997	14th			32.5%	30.8%
MA- 2	Incumbent is unopposed
MA- 3	Lori Trahan		2019	3rd			27.1%	27.4%
MA- 3	Incumbent is unopposed
MA- 4	Jake Auchincloss		2021	2nd			^*	28.5%
MA- 4	Incumbent is unopposed
MA- 5	Katherine Clark		2013	6th			48.1%	51.1%
MA- 5	Incumbent is unopposed
MA- 6	Seth Moulton		2015	5th			27.7%	27.6%
MA- 6	Incumbent is unopposed
MA- 7	Ayanna Pressley		2019	3rd			69.5%	72.4%
MA- 7	Incumbent is unopposed
MA- 8	Stephen Lynch		2001	12th			39.6%	35.5%
MA- 8	Stephen Lynch* Robert Burke
MA- 9	William Keating		2011	7th			18.2%	18.2%
MA- 9	Bill Keating* Dan Sullivan
MD- 1	Andrew Harris		2011	7th			11.3%	14.5%
MD- 1	Blane Miller Andy Harris*
MD- 2	C. A. Dutch Ruppersberger		2003	11th			18.6%	20.8%
MD- 2	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Johnny Olszewski Kimberly Klacik
MD- 3	John Sarbanes		2007	9th			20.5%	25.5%
MD- 3	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Sarah Elfreth Robert Steinberger
MD- 4	Glenn Ivey		2023	1st			80.5%	81.0%
MD- 4	Glenn Ivey* George McDermott
MD- 5	Steny Hoyer		1981	22nd			32.0%	36.5%
MD- 5	Steny Hoyer* Michelle Talkington
MD- 7	Kweisi Mfume		2020	3rd			64.4%	63.5%
MD- 7	Kweisi Mfume* Scott Collier
MD- 8	Jamie Raskin		2017	4th			62.0%	62.6%
MD- 8	Jamie Raskin* Cheryl Riley
ME- 1	Chellie Pingree		2009	8th			25.9%	22.8%
ME- 1	Chellie Pingree* Ronald Russell
MI- 1	Jack Bergman		2017	4th			22.6%	19.8%
MI- 1	Callie Barr Jack Bergman*
MI- 2	John Moolenaar		2015	5th			29.4%	28.2%
MI- 2	Michael Lynch John Moolenaar*
MI- 4	Bill Huizenga		2011	7th			11.9%	3.9%
MI- 4	Jessica Swartz Bill Huizenga*
MI- 5	Tim Walberg		2011	7th			27.5%	24.2%
MI- 5	Libbi Urban Tim Walberg*
MI- 6	Debbie Dingell		2015	5th			31.8%	26.7%
MI- 6	Debbie Dingell* Heather Smiley
MI- 9	Lisa McClain		2021	2nd			30.7%	29.5%
MI- 9	Clinton St. Mosley Lisa McClain*
MI- 11	Haley Stevens		2019	3rd			22.6%	19.8%
MI- 11	Haley Stevens* Nick Somberg
MI- 12	Rashida Tlaib		2019	3rd			44.6%	48.5%
MI- 12	Rashida Tlaib* James Hooper
MI- 13	Shri Thanedar		2023	1st			47.1%	49.6%
MI- 13	Shri Thanedar* Martell Bivings
MN- 1	Brad Finstad		2022	2nd			11.5%	9.2%
MN- 1	Rachel Bohman Brad Finstad*
MN- 3	Dean Phillips		2019	3rd			19.2%	21.0%
MN- 3	Retiring to run for President Kelly Morrison Tad Jude
MN- 4	Betty McCollum		2001	12th			35.3%	37.6%
MN- 4	Betty McCollum* May Lor Xiong
MN- 5	Ilhan Omar		2019	3rd			49.8%	63.1%
MN- 5	Ilhan Omar* Dalia Al-Aqidi
MN- 6	Tom Emmer		2015	5th			24.2%	17.6%
MN- 6	Jeanne Hendricks Tom Emmer*
MN- 7	Michelle Fischbach		2021	2nd			39.3%	33.2%
MN- 7	A.J. Peters Michelle Fischbach*
MN- 8	Pete Stauber		2019	3rd			14.5%	11.3%
MN- 8	Jen Schultz Pete Stauber*
MO- 1	Cori Bush		2021	2nd			48.6%	58.4%
MO- 1	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2024 election. Wesley Bell Andrew Jones
MO- 3	Blaine Luetkemeyer		2009	8th			30.2%	26.3%
MO- 3	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Bethany Mann Bob Onder
MO- 4	Mark Alford		2023	1st			45.0%	39.3%
MO- 4	Jeanette Cass Mark Alford*
MO- 5	Emanuel Cleaver		2005	10th			24.6%	26.3%
MO- 5	Emanuel Cleaver* Sean Smith
MO- 6	Sam Graves		2001	12th			42.8%	37.1%
MO- 6	Pam May Sam Graves*
MO- 7	Eric Burlison		2023	1st			44.1%	41.4%
MO- 7	Missi Hesketh Eric Burlison*
MO- 8	Jason Smith		2013	6th			54.1%	51.3%
MO- 8	Randi McCallian Jason Smith*
MS- 1	Trent Kelly		2015	5th			45.9%	31.7%
MS- 1	Dianne Black Trent Kelly*
MS- 2	Bennie Thompson		1993	16th			20.2%	26.1%
MS- 2	Bennie Thompson* Ron Eller
MS- 3	Michael Guest		2019	3rd			41.5%	24.3%
MS- 3	Incumbent is unopposed
MS- 4	Mike Ezell		2023	1st			48.8%	38.0%
MS- 4	Craig Raybon Mike Ezell*
MT- 2	Matt Rosendale		2021	2nd			36.4%	26.8%
MT- 2	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. John Driscoll Troy Downing
ND- AL	Kelly Armstrong		2019	3rd			24.6% ⁺	33.5%
ND- AL	Retiring to run for Governor of North Dakota Trygve Hammer Julie Fedorchak
NE- 1	Mike Flood		2022	2nd			15.8%	11.1%
NE- 1	Carol Blood Mike Flood*
NE- 3	Adrian Smith		2007	9th			62.5%	51.8%
NE- 3	Daniel Ebers Adrian Smith*
NJ- 1	Donald Norcross		2014	6th			27.1%	24.4%
NJ- 1	Donald Norcross* Theodore Liddell
NJ- 2	Jeff Van Drew		2019	3rd			18.9%	4.9%
NJ- 2	Joseph Salerno Jeff Van Drew*
NJ- 3	Andy Kim		2019	3rd			11.8%	14.0%
NJ- 3	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Herb Conaway Rajesh Mohan
NJ- 4	Chris Smith		1981	22nd			35.6%	22.4%
NJ- 4	Matthew Jenkins Christopher Smith*
NJ- 5	Josh Gottheimer		2017	4th			10.4%	12.4%
NJ- 5	Josh Gottheimer* Mary Jo Guinchard
NJ- 6	Frank Pallone		1988	19th			16.4%	19.2%
NJ- 6	Frank Pallone* Scott Fegler
NJ- 8	Robert Menendez		2023	1st			48.7%	45.3%
NJ- 8	Rob Menendez* Anthony Valdes
NJ- 9	OPEN						11.3%	18.9%
NJ- 9	Rep. Bill Pascrell (D) died August 21 Nellie Pou Billy Prempeh
NJ- 10	LaMonica McIver		2024	1st			57.5%	62.0%
NJ- 10	LaMonica McIver* Carmen Bucco
NJ- 11	Mikie Sherrill		2019	3rd			18.8%	16.9%
NJ- 11	Mikie Sherrill* Joseph Belnome
NJ- 12	Bonnie Coleman		2015	5th			27.2%	34.4%
NJ- 12	Bonnie Watson Coleman* Darius Mayfield
NM- 1	Melanie Stansbury		2021	2nd			11.5%	14.4%
NM- 1	Melanie Stansbury* Steve Jones
NM- 3	Teresa Leger Fernandez		2021	2nd			16.3%	10.8%
NM- 3	Teresa Leger Fernandez* Sharon Clahchischilliage
NV- 2	Marc Amodei		2011	7th			21.9%	11.0%
NV- 2	Mark Amodei* Greg Kidd
OH- 2	Brad Wenstrup		2013	6th			49.0%	45.4%
OH- 2	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Samantha Meadows David Taylor
OH- 3	Joyce Beatty		2013	6th			40.9%	43.8%
OH- 3	Joyce Beatty* Michael Young
OH- 4	Jim Jordan		2007	9th			38.3%	35.7%
OH- 4	Tamie Wilson Jim Jordan*
OH- 5	Bob Latta		2007	9th			33.8%	26.8%
OH- 5	Keith Mundy Bob Latta*
OH- 6	Michael Rulli		2024	1st			35.4%	28.7%
OH- 6	Michael Kripchak Michael Rulli
OH- 7	Max Miller		2023	1st			10.7%	9.2%
OH- 7	Matt Diemer Max Miller*
OH- 8	Warren Davidson		2016	5th			29.3%	22.0%
OH- 8	Vanessa Enoch Warren Davidson*
OH- 10	Michael Turner		2003	11th			23.3%	3.5%
OH- 10	Amy Cox Mike Turner*
OH- 11	Shontel Brown		2021	2nd			55.5%	57.6%
OH- 11	Shontel Brown* Alan Rapoport
OH- 12	Troy Balderson		2018	4th			38.5%	30.9%
OH- 12	Jerrad Christian Troy Balderson*
OH- 14	David Joyce		2013	6th			23.5%	14.9%
OH- 14	Brian Kenderes David Joyce*
OH- 15	Mike Carey		2021	2nd			13.9%	6.8%
OH- 15	Adam Miller Mike Carey*
OK- 1	Kevin Hern		2018	4th			26.5%	21.4%
OK- 1	Dennis Baker Kevin Hern*
OK- 2	Josh Brecheen		2023	1st			49.1%	53.4%
OK- 2	Brandon Wade Josh Brecheen*
OK- 3	Frank Lucas		1994	16th			49.1%	44.6%
OK- 3	Incumbent is unopposed
OK- 4	Tom Cole		2003	11th			33.5%	31.6%
OK- 4	Mary Brannon Tom Cole*
OK- 5	Stephanie Bice		2021	2nd			21.6%	16.9%
OK- 5	Madison Horn Stephanie Bice*
OR- 1	Suzanne Bonamici		2012	7th			36.0%	39.3%
OR- 1	Suzanne Bonamici* Bob Todd
OR- 2	Cliff Bentz		2021	2nd			35.2%	24.4%
OR- 2	Dan Ruby Cliff Bentz*
OR- 3	Earl Blumenauer		1996	15th			43.6%	47.3%
OR- 3	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Maxine Dexter Joanna Harbour
PA- 2	Brendan Boyle		2015	5th			51.3%	42.7%
PA- 2	Brendan Boyle* Aaron Bashir
PA- 3	Dwight Evans		2016	5th			90.3% ⁺	80.9%
PA- 3	Incumbent is unopposed
PA- 4	Madeleine Dean		2019	3rd			22.6%	18.9%
PA- 4	Madeleine Dean* David Winkler
PA- 5	Mary Gay Scanlon		2018	4th			30.2%	32.3%
PA- 5	Mary Gay Scanlon* Alfeia Goodwin
PA- 6	Chrissy Houlahan		2019	3rd			16.6%	14.7%
PA- 6	Chrissy Houlahan* Neil Young
PA- 9	Dan Meuser		2019	3rd			38.6%	36.5%
PA- 9	Amanda Waldman Dan Meuser*
PA- 11	Lloyd Smucker		2017	4th			23.1%	21.3%
PA- 11	Jim Atkinson Lloyd Smucker*
PA- 12	Summer Lee		2023	1st			12.4%	19.9%
PA- 12	Summer Lee* James Hayes
PA- 13	John Joyce		2019	3rd			^*	45.2%
PA- 13	Beth Farnham John Joyce*
PA- 14	Guy Reschenthaler		2019	3rd			^*	31.5%
PA- 14	Chris Dziados Guy Reschenthaler*
PA- 15	Glenn Thompson		2009	8th			39.9%	37.0%
PA- 15	Zach Womer Glenn Thompson*
PA- 16	Mike Kelly		2011	7th			18.7%	20.6%
PA- 16	Preston Nouri Mike Kelly*
RI- 1	Gabe Amo		2023	1st			28.2%	29.1%
RI- 1	Gabe Amo* Allen Waters
RI- 2	Seth Magaziner		2023	1st			3.7%	13.7%
RI- 2	Seth Magaziner* Steven Corvi
SC- 1	Nancy Mace		2021	2nd			13.9%	8.6%
SC- 1	Michael Moore Nancy Mace*
SC- 2	Joe Wilson		2001	12th			20.2%	10.6%
SC- 2	David Robinson Joe Wilson*
SC- 3	Jeff Duncan		2011	7th			^*	37.5%
SC- 3	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Bryon Best Sheri Biggs
SC- 4	William Timmons		2019	3rd			^*	18.5%
SC- 4	Kathryn Harvey William Timmons*
SC- 5	Ralph Norman		2017	4th			29.6%	18.2%
SC- 5	Evangeline Hundley Ralph Norman*
SC- 6	James Clyburn		1993	16th			24.2%	32.1%
SC- 6	James Clyburn* Duke Buckner
SC- 7	Russell Fry		2023	1st			29.7%	18.7%
SC- 7	Mal Hyman Russell Fry*
SD- AL	Dusty Johnson		2019	3rd			54.8% ⁺	26.2%
SD- AL	Sheryl Johnson Dusty Johnson*
TN- 1	Diana Harshbarger		2021	2nd			58.6%	54.2%
TN- 1	Kevin Jenkins Diana Harshbarger*
TN- 2	Tim Burchett		2019	3rd			35.8%	29.2%
TN- 2	Jane George Tim Burchett*
TN- 3	Chuck Fleischmann		2011	7th			38.1%	31.9%
TN- 3	Jack Allen Chuck Fleischmann*
TN- 4	Scott DesJarlais		2011	7th			44.8%	37.7%
TN- 4	Victoria Broderick Scott DesJarlais*
TN- 6	John Rose		2019	3rd			32.7%	29.1%
TN- 6	Lore Bergman John Rose*
TN- 7	Mark Green		2019	3rd			21.8%	15.1%
TN- 7	Megan Barry Mark Green*
TN- 8	David Kustoff		2017	4th			49.7%	37.3%
TN- 8	Sarah Freeman David Kustoff*
TN- 9	Steve Cohen		2007	9th			43.8%	48.1%
TN- 9	Steve Cohen Charlotte Bergmann
TX- 1	Nathaniel Moran		2023	1st			56.2%	45.9%
TX- 1	Incumbent is unopposed
TX- 2	Dan Crenshaw		2019	3rd			31.8%	22.8%
TX- 2	Peter Filler Dan Crenshaw*
TX- 3	Keith Self		2023	1st			23.6%	14.4%
TX- 3	Sandeep Srivastava Keith Self*
TX- 4	Pat Fallon		2021	2nd			35.8%	26.0%
TX- 4	Simon Cardell Pat Fallon*
TX- 5	Lance Gooden		2019	3rd			30.0%	22.4%
TX- 5	Ruth Torres Lance Gooden*
TX- 6	Jake Ellzey		2021	2nd			^*	24.0%
TX- 6	John Love Jake Ellzey*
TX- 7	Lizzie Fletcher		2019	3rd			27.6%	29.7%
TX- 7	Lizzie Fletcher* Caroline Kane
TX- 8	Morgan Luttrell		2023	1st			37.5%	27.2%
TX- 8	Laura Jones Morgan Luttrell*
TX- 9	Al Green		2005	10th			53.4%	53.4%
TX- 9	Incumbent is unopposed
TX- 10	Michael McCaul		2005	10th			29.0%	18.8%
TX- 10	Theresa Boisseau Michael McCaul*
TX- 11	August Pfluger		2021	2nd			^*	40.4%
TX- 11	Incumbent is unopposed
TX- 12	Kay Granger		1997	14th			28.5%	18.1%
TX- 12	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Trey Hunt Craig Goldman
TX- 13	Ronny Jackson		2021	2nd			50.7%	45.5%
TX- 13	Incumbent is unopposed
TX- 14	Randy Weber		2013	6th			40.3%	28.5%
TX- 14	Rhonda Hart Randy Weber*
TX- 16	Veronica Escobar		2019	3rd			26.9%	35.4%
TX- 16	Veronica Escobar* Irene Armendariz-Jackson
TX- 17	Pete Sessions		2021	2nd			33.0%	22.5%
TX- 17	Mark Lorenzen Pete Sessions*
TX- 18	OPEN						44.5%	48.6%
TX- 18	Sylvester Turner Lana Centonze
TX- 19	Jodey Arrington		2017	4th			70.6% ⁺	46.2%
TX- 19	Jodey Arrington* Bernard Johnson
TX- 20	Joaquin Castro		2013	6th			36.9%	33.1%
TX- 20	Incumbent is unopposed
TX- 21	Chip Roy		2019	3rd			25.7%	19.7%
TX- 21	Kristin Hook Chip Roy*
TX- 22	Troy Nehls		2021	2nd			26.7%	16.0%
TX- 22	Marquette Greene-Scott Troy Nehls*
TX- 23	Tony Gonzales		2021	2nd			17.1%	7.2%
TX- 23	Santos Limon Tony Gonzales*
TX- 24	Beth Van Duyne		2021	2nd			19.5%	12.3%
TX- 24	Sam Eppler Beth Van Duyne*
TX- 25	Roger Williams		2013	6th			^*	31.2%
TX- 25	Incumbent is unopposed
TX- 26	Michael Burgess		2003	11th			38.6% ⁺	18.5%
TX- 26	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Ernest Lineberger Brandon Gill
TX- 27	Michael Cloud		2018	4th			28.9%	22.4%
TX- 27	Tanya Lloyd Michael Cloud*
TX- 29	Sylvia Garcia		2019	3rd			42.8%	36.7%
TX- 29	Sylvia Garcia* Alan Garza
TX- 30	Jasmine Crockett		2023	1st			53.0%	56.7%
TX- 30	Incumbent is unopposed
TX- 31	John Carter		2003	11th			^*	20.3%
TX- 31	Stuart Whitlow John Carter*
TX- 32	Colin Allred		2019	3rd			30.7%	33.0%
TX- 32	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Julie Johnson Darrell Day
TX- 33	Marc Veasey		2013	6th			46.4%	49.9%
TX- 33	Marc Veasey* Patrick Gillespie
TX- 35	Greg Casar		2023	1st			45.2%	45.2%
TX- 35	Greg Casar* Steven Wright
TX- 36	Brian Babin		2015	5th			38.9%	31.6%
TX- 36	Dayna Steele Brian Babin*
TX- 37	Lloyd Doggett		1995	15th			55.8%	52.8%
TX- 37	Lloyd Doggett* Jenny Garcia Sharon
TX- 38	Wesley Hunt		2023	1st			27.4%	18.1%
TX- 38	Melissa McDonough Wesley Hunt*
UT- 1	Blake Moore		2021	2nd			33.9%	19.9%
UT- 1	Bill Campbell Blake Moore*
UT- 2	Celeste Maloy		2023	1st			25.7%	17.1%
UT- 2	Nathaniel Woodward Celeste Maloy*
UT- 3	John Curtis		2017	4th			34.9%	19.2%
UT- 3	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Glenn Wright Mike Kennedy*
UT- 4	Burgess Owens		2021	2nd			28.7%	25.9%
UT- 4	Katrina Fallick-Wang Burgess Owens*
VA- 1	Rob Wittman		2007	9th			13.0%	6.2%
VA- 1	Leslie Mehta Rob Wittman*
VA- 3	Bobby Scott		1993	16th			34.6%	38.4%
VA- 3	Bobby Scott* John Sitka
VA- 4	Jennifer McClellan		2023	1st			30.0%	35.7%
VA- 4	Jennifer McClellan* Bill Moher
VA- 5	Bob Good		2021	2nd			15.3%	8.3%
VA- 5	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2024 election. Gloria Witt John McGuire
VA- 6	Ben Cline		2019	3rd			29.0%	21.5%
VA- 6	Ken Mitchell Ben Cline*
VA- 8	Don Beyer		2015	5th			48.8%	56.0%
VA- 8	Don Beyer* Jerry Torres
VA- 9	Morgan Griffith		2011	7th			46.7%	41.9%
VA- 9	Karen Baker Morgan Griffith*
VA- 10	Jennifer Wexton		2019	3rd			6.5%	18.1%
VA- 10	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Suhas Subramanyam Mike Clancy
VA- 11	Gerry Connolly		2009	8th			33.7%	41.3%
VA- 11	Gerry Connolly* Mike Van Meter
VT- AL	Becca Balint		2023	1st			33.6%	35.6%
VT- AL	Becca Balint* Mark Coester
WA- 1	Suzan DelBene		2012	7th			27.1%	30.6%
WA- 1	Suzan DelBene* Jeb Brewer
WA- 2	Rick Larsen		2001	12th			20.3%	22.9%
WA- 2	Rick Larsen* Cody Hart
WA- 4	Dan Newhouse		2015	5th			35.3%	17.0%
WA- 4	Dan Newhouse* Jerrod Sessler
WA- 5	Cathy McMorris Rodgers		2005	10th			19.3%	10.0%
WA- 5	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Carmela Conroy Michael Baumgartner
WA- 6	Derek Kilmer		2013	6th			20.1%	17.2%
WA- 6	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Emily Randall Drew MacEwen
WA- 7	Pramila Jayapal		2017	4th			71.2%	75.5%
WA- 7	Pramila Jayapal* Dan Alexander
WA- 9	Adam Smith		1997	14th			43.4%	45.2%
WA- 9	Melissa Chaudhry Adam Smith*
WA- 10	Marilyn Strickland		2021	2nd			14.1%	17.7%
WA- 10	Marilyn Strickland* Don Hewett
WI- 2	Mark Pocan		2013	6th			44.1%	41.8%
WI- 2	Mark Pocan* Erik Olsen
WI- 4	Gwen Moore		2005	10th			52.7%	53.1%
WI- 4	Gwen Moore* Tim Rogers
WI- 5	Scott Fitzgerald		2021	2nd			28.8%	22.9%
WI- 5	Ben Steinhoff Scott Fitzgerald*
WI- 6	Glenn Grothman		2015	5th			^*	15.7%
WI- 6	John Zarbano Glenn Grothman*
WI- 7	Tom Tiffany		2020	3rd			23.8%	20.0%
WI- 7	Kyle Kilbourn Tom Tiffany*
WI- 8	OPEN						56.5% ⁺	15.5%
WI- 8	Kristin Lyerly Tony Wied
WV- 1	Carol Miller		2019	3rd			37.9%	40.9%
WV- 1	Chris Reed Carol Miller*
WV- 2	Alex Mooney		2015	5th			31.1%	37.0%
WV- 2	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Steve Wendelin Riley Moore
WY- AL	Harriet Hageman		2023	1st			43.8%	43.7%
WY- AL	Kyle Cameron Harriet Hageman*
District	Incumbent	Party	Since	Term	Predictions		Margin of Victory
District	Incumbent	Party	Since	Term	Consensus	Map	House^(a)	President^(b)
Filtered list below matches districts currently visible in map window.
AK- AL	Mary Peltola		2022	2nd			9.9% ^y	10.1%
AK- AL	Eric Hafner Mary Peltola* Nick Begich John Howe
AL- 2	OPEN						N/A	12.4%
AL- 2	Due to redistricting, Barry Moore ran in AL-01 GOP primary. Shomari Figures Caroleene Dobson
AZ- 1	David Schweikert		2011	7th			0.9%	1.5%
AZ- 1	Amish Shah David Schweikert*
AZ- 2	Eli Crane		2023	1st			7.8%	7.9%
AZ- 2	Jonathan Nez Eli Crane*
AZ- 6	Juan Ciscomani		2023	1st			1.5%	0.1%
AZ- 6	Kirsten Engel Juan Ciscomani*
CA- 3	Kevin Kiley		2023	1st			7.2%	1.8%
CA- 3	Jessica Morse Kevin Kiley*
CA- 9	Josh Harder		2019	3rd			9.6%	12.6%
CA- 9	Josh Harder* Kevin Lincoln
CA- 13	John Duarte		2023	1st			0.4%	10.9%
CA- 13	Adam Gray John Duarte*
CA- 22	David Valadao		2021	2nd			3.0%	12.9%
CA- 22	Rudy Salas David Valadao*
CA- 27	Mike Garcia		2020	3rd			6.4%	12.4%
CA- 27	George Whitesides Mike Garcia*
CA- 40	Young Kim		2021	2nd			13.6%	1.9%
CA- 40	Joe Kerr Young Kim*
CA- 41	Ken Calvert		1993	16th			4.6%	1.1%
CA- 41	Will Rollins Ken Calvert*
CA- 45	Michelle Steel		2021	2nd			4.8%	6.2%
CA- 45	Derek Tran Michelle Steel*
CA- 47	Katie Porter		2019	3rd			3.4%	11.1%
CA- 47	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Dave Min Scott Baugh
CA- 49	Mike Levin		2019	3rd			5.2%	11.4%
CA- 49	Mike Levin* Matt Gunderson
CO- 3	Lauren Boebert		2021	2nd			0.2%	8.3%
CO- 3	Running in CO-04 Adam Frisch Jeff Hurd
CO- 8	Yadira Caraveo		2023	1st			0.7%	4.6%
CO- 8	Yadira Caraveo* Gabe Evans
CT- 5	Jahana Hayes		2019	3rd			0.8%	10.7%
CT- 5	Jahana Hayes* George Logan
FL- 9	Darren Soto		2017	4th			7.3%	17.4%
FL- 9	Darren Soto* Thomas Chalifoux
FL- 13	Anna Luna		2023	1st			8.1%	6.8%
FL- 13	Whitney Fox Anna Paulina Luna*
FL- 15	Laurel Lee		2023	1st			17.1%	3.2%
FL- 15	Patricia Kemp Laurel Lee*
FL- 27	Maria Salazar		2021	2nd			14.6%	0.3%
FL- 27	Lucia Baez-Geller Maria Elvira Salazar*
IA- 1	Mariannette Miller-Meeks		2021	2nd			6.8%	2.9%
IA- 1	Christina Bohannan Mariannette Miller-Meeks*
IA- 2	Ashley Hinson		2021	2nd			8.2%	4.4%
IA- 2	Sarah Corkery Ashley Hinson*
IA- 3	Zach Nunn		2023	1st			0.7%	0.3%
IA- 3	Lanon Baccam Zach Nunn*
IL- 17	Eric Sorensen		2023	1st			4.0%	7.8%
IL- 17	Eric Sorensen* Joe McGraw
IN- 1	Frank Mrvan		2021	2nd			5.6%	8.4%
IN- 1	Frank Mrvan* Randy Niemeyer
KS- 3	Sharice Davids		2019	3rd			12.2%	4.5%
KS- 3	Sharice Davids* Prasanth Reddy
LA- 6	Garret Graves		2015	5th			N/A	19.7%
LA- 6	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Cleo Fields Elbert Guillory
MD- 6	David Trone		2019	3rd			9.6%	9.8%
MD- 6	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate April McClain Delaney Neil Parrott
ME- 2	Jared Golden		2019	3rd			6.1% ^y	6.1%
ME- 2	Jared Golden* Austin Theriault
MI- 3	Hillary Scholten		2023	1st			12.9%	8.5%
MI- 3	Hillary Scholten* Paul Hudson
MI- 7	Elissa Slotkin		2019	3rd			5.4%	0.5%
MI- 7	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Curtis Hertel Tom Barrett
MI- 8	Dan Kildee		2013	6th			10.3%	2.0%
MI- 8	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Kristen McDonald Rivet Paul Junge
MI- 10	John James		2023	1st			0.5%	1.0%
MI- 10	Carl Marlinga John James*
MN- 2	Angie Craig		2019	3rd			5.2%	7.2%
MN- 2	Angie Craig* Joe Teirab
MO- 2	Ann Wagner		2013	6th			11.9%	7.8%
MO- 2	Ray Hartmann Ann Wagner*
MT- 1	Ryan Zinke		2023	1st			3.2%	6.9%
MT- 1	Monica Tranel Ryan Zinke*
NC- 1	Don Davis		2023	1st			N/A	1.7%
NC- 1	Don Davis* Laurie Buckhout
NC- 6	Kathy Manning		2021	2nd			N/A	16.3%
NC- 6	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Addison McDowell
NC- 13	Wiley Nickel		2023	1st			N/A	17.3%
NC- 13	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Frank Pierce Brad Knott
NC- 14	Jeff Jackson		2023	1st			N/A	16.1%
NC- 14	Retiring to run for NC Attorney General Pam Genant Tim Moore
NE- 2	Don Bacon		2017	4th			2.7%	6.3%
NE- 2	Tony Vargas Don Bacon*
NH- 1	Chris Pappas		2019	3rd			8.1%	5.9%
NH- 1	Chris Pappas* Russell Prescott
NH- 2	Ann Kuster		2013	6th			11.7%	8.8%
NH- 2	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Maggie Goodlander Lily Tang Williams
NJ- 7	Tom Kean		2023	1st			2.8%	3.9%
NJ- 7	Sue Altman Thomas Kean Jr.*
NM- 2	Gabriel Vasquez		2023	1st			0.7%	5.9%
NM- 2	Gabe Vasquez* Yvette Herrell
NV- 1	Dina Titus		2013	6th			5.6%	8.5%
NV- 1	Dina Titus* Mark Robertson