2024 Governor Elections: Consensus Forecast

As of March 15, 2024

The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 27 Republicans and 23 Democrats holding office. The table below the map lists the current governors of all 50 states, tabbed by the next election year.

This map is a composite of ratings by several forecasters. Only seats rated safe by all are shown as 'safe' for the incumbent party.

March 15: New Hampshire moves from Leans Republican to Toss-up.

no 2024 election
no 2024 election

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up

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Governor Elections

Current 23 27
Consensus Forecast 22 26 2
Interactive Map Above

Upcoming Elections

2024 2025 2026^ 2027
3 1 18 1
8 1 16 2

^Excludes NH & VT: Next election is 2024 (two-year terms)

State Incumbent Party Since Term Consensus
AK Mike Dunleavy
2018 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2026 due to term limits.
AL Kay Ivey
2017 3rd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2026 due to term limits.
AR Sarah Huckabee Sanders
2023 1st
AZ Katie Hobbs
2023 1st
CA Gavin Newsom
2019 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2026 due to term limits.
CO Jared Polis
2019 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2026 due to term limits.
CT Ned Lamont
2019 2nd
FL Ron DeSantis
2019 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2026 due to term limits.
GA Brian Kemp
2019 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2026 due to term limits.
HI Josh Green
2022 1st
IA Kim Reynolds
2017 3rd
ID Brad Little
2019 2nd
IL J.B. Pritzker
2019 2nd
KS Laura Kelly
2019 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2026 due to term limits.
KY Andy Beshear
2019 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2027 due to term limits.
LA Jeff Landry
2024 1st
MA Maura Healey
2023 1st
MD Wes Moore
2023 1st
ME Janet Mills
2019 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2026 due to term limits.
MI Gretchen Whitmer
2019 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2026 due to term limits.
MN Tim Walz
2019 2nd
MO Mike Parson
2018 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2024 due to term limits.
MS Tate Reeves
2020 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2027 due to term limits.
MT Greg Gianforte
2021 1st
NC Roy Cooper
2017 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2024 due to term limits.
Josh Stein
Mark Robinson
NE Jim Pillen
2023 1st
NH Chris Sununu
2017 4th
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024.
NJ Phil Murphy
2018 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2025 due to term limits.
NM Michelle Lujan Grisham
2019 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2026 due to term limits.
NV Joe Lombardo
2023 1st
NY Kathy Hochul
2021 2nd
OH Mike DeWine
2019 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2026 due to term limits.
OK Kevin Stitt
2019 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2026 due to term limits.
OR Tina Kotek
2023 1st
PA Josh Shapiro
2023 1st
RI Daniel McKee
2021 2nd
SC Henry McMaster
2017 3rd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2026 due to term limits.
SD Kristi Noem
2019 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2026 due to term limits.
TN Bill Lee
2019 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2026 due to term limits.
TX Greg Abbott
2015 3rd
VA Glenn Youngkin
2022 1st
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2025 due to term limits.
VT Phil Scott
2017 4th
WA Jay Inslee
2013 3rd
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024.
WI Tony Evers
2019 2nd
WY Mark Gordon
2019 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2026 due to term limits.
The following races are rated as safe for the incumbent party.
DE John Carney
2017 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2024 due to term limits.
IN Eric Holcomb
2017 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2024 due to term limits.
ND Doug Burgum
2016 2nd
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024.
UT Spencer Cox
2021 1st
WV Jim Justice
2017 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2024 due to term limits.