2024 House Election: Consensus Forecast

As of November 4, 2024

This table is associated with the following map URL. It categorizes all congressional districts not designated as "safe" in that map as of the time specified below the table.

https://www.270towin.com/2024-house-election/consensus-2024-house-forecast

Democrats
Republicans
no 2024 election
no 2024 election
Likely Dem (22)
21
1
AL-2 OPEN
CA-9 Harder
CA-49 Levin
FL-9 Soto
IL-17 Sorensen
IN-1 Mrvan
KS-3 Davids
MD-6 OPEN
MI-3 Scholten
MN-2 Craig
NH-1 Pappas
NH-2 OPEN
NV-1 Titus
NV-3 Lee
NV-4 Horsford
NY-3 Suozzi
NY-18 Ryan
OH-1 Landsman
OR-4 Hoyle
OR-6 Salinas
TX-28 Cuellar
WA-8 Schrier
Leans Dem (14)
10
4
CA-13 Duarte
CT-5 Hayes
NC-1 Davis
NE-2 Bacon
NM-2 Vasquez
NY-4 D'Esposito
NY-22 Williams
OH-9 Kaptur
OH-13 Sykes
PA-7 Wild
PA-8 Cartwright
PA-17 Deluzio
TX-34 Gonzalez
VA-7 OPEN
Toss-up (18)
7
11
AK-AL Peltola
AZ-1 Schweikert
AZ-6 Ciscomani
CA-22 Valadao
CA-27 Garcia
CA-41 Calvert
CA-45 Steel
CA-47 OPEN
CO-8 Caraveo
IA-1 Miller-Meeks
IA-3 Nunn
ME-2 Golden
MI-7 OPEN
MI-8 OPEN
NY-19 Molinaro
OR-5 Chavez-DeRemer
PA-10 Perry
WA-3 Perez
Leans Rep (8)
0
8
CO-3 OPEN
FL-13 Luna
MI-10 James
MT-1 Zinke
NJ-7 Kean
NY-17 Lawler
VA-2 Kiggans
WI-3 Van Orden
Likely Rep (14)
2
12
AZ-2 Crane
CA-3 Kiley
CA-40 Kim
FL-15 Lee
FL-27 Salazar
IA-2 Hinson
MO-2 Wagner
NC-13 OPEN
NC-14 OPEN
NY-1 LaLota
PA-1 Fitzpatrick
TN-5 Ogles
TX-15 De La Cruz
WI-1 Steil

Map Updated: Mar. 11, 2025 at 19:15 UTC (3:15 PM EDT)