2024 House Election: Consensus Forecast

As of April 17, 2024

This table is associated with the following map URL. It categorizes all congressional districts not designated as "safe" in that map as of the time specified below the table.

https://www.270towin.com/2024-house-election/consensus-2024-house-forecast

Democrats
Republicans
no 2024 election
no 2024 election
Likely Dem (24)
22
2
AL-2 OPEN
CA-9 Harder
CA-21 Costa
CA-49 Levin
FL-9 Soto
FL-23 Moskowitz
GA-2 Bishop Jr.
KS-3 Davids
LA-6 Graves
MD-6 OPEN
MI-3 Scholten
NH-2 OPEN
NJ-3 OPEN
NJ-5 Gottheimer
NM-1 Stansbury
NV-1 Titus
NV-4 Horsford
NY-3 Suozzi
OH-1 Landsman
OR-4 Hoyle
OR-6 Salinas
TX-28 Cuellar
VA-10 OPEN
WA-8 Schrier
Leans Dem (12)
11
1
AK-AL Peltola
CT-5 Hayes
IL-17 Sorensen
IN-1 Mrvan
MN-2 Craig
NH-1 Pappas
NV-3 Lee
NY-18 Ryan
NY-22 Williams
PA-17 Deluzio
TX-34 Gonzalez
VA-7 OPEN
Toss-up (23)
12
11
AZ-1 Schweikert
AZ-6 Ciscomani
CA-13 Duarte
CA-22 Valadao
CA-27 Garcia
CA-47 OPEN
CO-8 Caraveo
ME-2 Golden
MI-7 OPEN
MI-8 OPEN
NC-1 Davis
NE-2 Bacon
NJ-7 Kean
NM-2 Vasquez
NY-4 D'Esposito
NY-17 Lawler
NY-19 Molinaro
OH-9 Kaptur
OH-13 Sykes
OR-5 Chavez-DeRemer
PA-7 Wild
PA-8 Cartwright
WA-3 Perez
Leans Rep (9)
0
9
CA-41 Calvert
CA-45 Steel
CO-3 OPEN
IA-3 Nunn
MI-10 James
MT-1 Zinke
PA-10 Perry
VA-2 Kiggans
WI-3 Van Orden
Likely Rep (20)
2
18
CA-3 Kiley
CA-40 Kim
CO-5 OPEN
FL-7 Mills
FL-13 Luna
FL-15 Lee
FL-27 Salazar
IA-1 Miller-Meeks
IA-2 Hinson
MO-2 Wagner
NC-11 Edwards
NC-13 OPEN
NC-14 OPEN
NY-1 LaLota
PA-1 Fitzpatrick
SC-1 Mace
TN-5 Ogles
TX-15 De La Cruz
VA-1 Wittman
WI-1 Steil

Map Updated: Apr. 17, 2024 at 12:14 UTC (8:14 AM EDT)