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2022 House Forecast: Consensus Forecast

As of November 7, 2022

A consensus outlook for the 2022 House elections based on the current ratings of these seven forecasters. Only districts rated safe by six of them are shown in the darkest shade. You can also view these ratings as a table.

The Current House view on the map shows incumbent members in their current districts. These boundaries will be in effect through 2022. The Interactive and 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable.

Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House forecast.

November 7: CA-22, PA-17, RI-02, TX-34 move from Toss-up to Tilts R; CA-49, IN-01, NY-03 Leans to Tilts D; CT-05, NV-01 Tilts D to Toss-up; IL-08, WA-06 Safe to Likely D; ME-02, MN-02 Toss-up to Leans D; NY-22 Leans to Tilts R; OH-01 Toss-up to Leans R; TX-28 Tilts to Leans D; VA-02 Tilts to Leans R; WA-08 Leans D to Toss-up.

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Current House 117^th Congress

Interactive Map Contested 2022

2023 House 118^th Congress

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Safe	Likely	Leans	Tilt	Toss-up

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House Elections 2022


Current	219	213	3*
Consensus Forecast	199	227	9
Interactive Map Above (Full U.S.)

* Vacant Seat(s)

Most Competitive 2022 House Races Current House Members
Show 2022 Candidates

District	Incumbent	Party	Since	Term	Predictions		Margin of Victory
District	Incumbent	Party	Since	Term	Consensus	Map	House^(a)	President^(c)
Filtered list below matches districts currently visible in map window.
To see a list of current Representatives, use the zoom button or select a state in the drop-down above the map.
AK-AL	Mary Peltola		2022	1st			9.1%	10.1%
AK-AL
AL-1	Jerry Carl		2021	1st			28.8%	28.4%
AL-1
AL-2	Barry Moore		2021	1st			30.5%	28.8%
AL-2
AL-3	Mike Rogers		2003	10th			35.0%	31.6%
AL-3
AL-4	Robert Aderholt		1997	13th			64.5%	63.4%
AL-4
AL-5	Mo Brooks		2011	6th			^*	27.0%
AL-5	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate
AL-6	Gary Palmer		2015	4th			97.1% ⁺	35.2%
AL-6
AL-7	Terri Sewell		2011	6th			^*	42.3%
AL-7
AR-1	Rick Crawford		2011	6th			^*	41.2%
AR-1
AR-2	French Hill		2015	4th			10.7%	8.8%
AR-2
AR-3	Steve Womack		2011	6th			32.4%	26.7%
AR-3
AR-4	Bruce Westerman		2015	4th			42.1%	38.1%
AR-4
AZ-1	Tom O'Halleran		2017	3rd			3.2%	1.7%
AZ-1
AZ-2	Ann Kirkpatrick		2019	2nd			10.2%	10.6%
AZ-2	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
AZ-3	Raul Grijalva		2003	10th			29.1%	27.1%
AZ-3
AZ-4	Paul Gosar		2011	6th			39.5%	37.4%
AZ-4
AZ-5	Andy Biggs		2017	3rd			17.7%	14.6%
AZ-5
AZ-6	David Schweikert		2011	6th			4.3%	4.1%
AZ-6
AZ-7	Ruben Gallego		2015	4th			53.4%	49.0%
AZ-7
AZ-8	Debbie Lesko		2018	3rd			19.1%	15.9%
AZ-8
AZ-9	Greg Stanton		2019	2nd			23.2%	23.5%
AZ-9
CA-1	Doug LaMalfa		2013	5th			14.0%	15.3%
CA-1
CA-2	Jared Huffman		2013	5th			51.4%	49.8%
CA-2
CA-3	John Garamendi		2009	7th			9.4%	12.2%
CA-3
CA-4	Tom McClintock		2009	7th			11.8%	9.7%
CA-4
CA-5	Mike Thompson		1999	12th			52.1%	47.2%
CA-5
CA-6	Doris Matsui		2005	9th			46.6%	43.1%
CA-6
CA-7	Ami Bera		2013	5th			13.2%	13.8%
CA-7
CA-8	Jay Obernolte		2021	1st			12.2%	10.5%
CA-8
CA-9	Jerry McNerney		2007	8th			15.2%	18.0%
CA-9	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
CA-10	Josh Harder		2019	2nd			10.4%	2.9%
CA-10
CA-11	Mark DeSaulnier		2015	4th			46.0%	50.7%
CA-11
CA-12	Nancy Pelosi		1987	18th			^{^}	74.2%
CA-12
CA-13	Barbara Lee		1998	13th			80.8%	79.9%
CA-13
CA-14	Jackie Speier		2008	8th			58.6%	57.2%
CA-14	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
CA-15	Eric Swalwell		2013	5th			41.8%	45.1%
CA-15
CA-16	Jim Costa		2013	5th			18.8%	19.9%
CA-16
CA-17	Ro Khanna		2017	3rd			42.6%	46.9%
CA-17
CA-18	Anna Eshoo		1993	15th			^{^}	55.1%
CA-18
CA-19	Zoe Lofgren		1995	14th			43.4%	42.1%
CA-19
CA-20	Jimmy Panetta		2017	3rd			53.6%	47.7%
CA-20
CA-21	David Valadao		2021	1st			0.8%	10.9%
CA-21
CA-22	Connie Conway		2022	1st			8.4%	5.5%
CA-22	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
CA-23	Kevin McCarthy		2007	8th			24.2%	16.6%
CA-23
CA-24	Salud Carbajal		2017	3rd			17.4%	23.8%
CA-24
CA-25	Mike Garcia		2020	2nd			0.0%	10.1%
CA-25
CA-26	Julia Brownley		2013	5th			21.2%	24.9%
CA-26
CA-27	Judy Chu		2009	7th			39.6%	36.4%
CA-27
CA-28	Adam Schiff		2001	11th			45.4%	43.7%
CA-28
CA-29	Tony Cardenas		2013	5th			^{^}	50.4%
CA-29
CA-30	Brad Sherman		1997	13th			39.0%	39.3%
CA-30
CA-31	Pete Aguilar		2015	4th			22.6%	19.9%
CA-31
CA-32	Grace Napolitano		1999	12th			33.2%	32.4%
CA-32
CA-33	Ted Lieu		2015	4th			35.2%	40.0%
CA-33
CA-34	Jimmy Gomez		2017	3rd			^{^}	63.9%
CA-34
CA-35	Norma Torres		2015	4th			38.6%	32.5%
CA-35
CA-36	Raul Ruiz		2013	5th			20.6%	13.6%
CA-36
CA-37	Karen Bass		2011	6th			71.8%	70.5%
CA-37	Retiring to run for Los Angeles Mayor
CA-38	Linda Sanchez		2003	10th			^{^}	33.3%
CA-38
CA-39	Young Kim		2021	1st			1.2%	10.1%
CA-39
CA-40	Lucille Roybal-Allard		1993	15th			45.4%	56.5%
CA-40	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
CA-41	Mark Takano		2013	5th			28.0%	25.6%
CA-41
CA-42	Ken Calvert		1993	15th			14.2%	7.3%
CA-42
CA-43	Maxine Waters		1991	16th			43.4%	56.0%
CA-43
CA-44	Nanette Barragan		2017	3rd			^{^}	59.2%
CA-44
CA-45	Katie Porter		2019	2nd			7.0%	11.3%
CA-45
CA-46	Lou Correa		2017	3rd			37.6%	30.8%
CA-46
CA-47	Alan Lowenthal		2013	5th			26.6%	27.2%
CA-47	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
CA-48	Michelle Steel		2021	1st			2.2%	1.4%
CA-48
CA-49	Mike Levin		2019	2nd			6.2%	12.7%
CA-49
CA-50	Darrell Issa		2021	1st			8.0%	7.7%
CA-50
CA-51	Juan Vargas		2013	5th			36.6%	36.0%
CA-51
CA-52	Scott Peters		2013	5th			23.2%	29.2%
CA-52
CA-53	Sara Jacobs		2021	1st			^{^}	36.1%
CA-53
CO-1	Diana DeGette		1997	13th			50.1%	53.5%
CO-1
CO-2	Joe Neguse		2019	2nd			26.0%	30.1%
CO-2
CO-3	Lauren Boebert		2021	1st			6.1%	5.5%
CO-3
CO-4	Ken Buck		2015	4th			23.7%	15.8%
CO-4
CO-5	Doug Lamborn		2007	8th			20.2%	12.9%
CO-5
CO-6	Jason Crow		2019	2nd			17.1%	18.9%
CO-6
CO-7	Ed Perlmutter		2007	8th			21.5%	22.9%
CO-7	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
CT-1	John Larson		1999	12th			28.7%	28.0%
CT-1
CT-2	Joe Courtney		2007	8th			21.1%	11.0%
CT-2
CT-3	Rosa DeLauro		1991	16th			18.9%	21.1%
CT-3
CT-4	James Himes		2009	7th			25.8%	29.7%
CT-4
CT-5	Jahana Hayes		2019	2nd			11.5%	10.7%
CT-5
DE-AL	Lisa Rochester		2017	3rd			17.4%	19.0%
DE-AL
FL-1	Matt Gaetz		2017	3rd			30.5%	33.5%
FL-1
FL-2	Neal Dunn		2017	3rd			^*	35.0%
FL-2
FL-3	Kat Cammack		2021	1st			14.2%	13.2%
FL-3
FL-4	John Rutherford		2017	3rd			22.1%	21.0%
FL-4
FL-5	Al Lawson		2017	3rd			30.2%	26.5%
FL-5
FL-6	Michael Waltz		2019	2nd			21.2%	17.5%
FL-6
FL-7	Stephanie Murphy		2017	3rd			12.1%	10.4%
FL-7	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
FL-8	Bill Posey		2009	7th			22.7%	17.7%
FL-8
FL-9	Darren Soto		2017	3rd			12.0%	6.9%
FL-9
FL-10	Val Demings		2017	3rd			27.2%	25.0%
FL-10	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate
FL-11	Dan Webster		2017	3rd			33.4%	31.6%
FL-11
FL-12	Gus Bilirakis		2007	8th			25.7%	16.9%
FL-12
FL-13	OPEN						6.0%	4.1%
FL-13
FL-14	Kathy Castor		2007	8th			20.5%	15.6%
FL-14
FL-15	Scott Franklin		2021	1st			10.7%	8.5%
FL-15
FL-16	Vern Buchanan		2007	8th			11.0%	8.1%
FL-16
FL-17	Greg Steube		2019	2nd			30.5%	27.4%
FL-17
FL-18	Brian Mast		2017	3rd			14.8%	8.4%
FL-18
FL-19	Byron Donalds		2021	1st			22.5%	20.1%
FL-19
FL-20	Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick		2022	1st			57.3%	55.2%
FL-20
FL-21	Lois Frankel		2013	5th			19.9%	17.0%
FL-21
FL-22	OPEN						17.2%	14.9%
FL-22
FL-23	Debbie Wasserman Schultz		2005	9th			16.4%	17.1%
FL-23
FL-24	Frederica Wilson		2011	6th			55.1%	51.4%
FL-24
FL-25	Mario Diaz-Balart		2003	10th			^*	23.0%
FL-25
FL-26	Carlos Gimenez		2021	1st			3.4%	5.6%
FL-26
FL-27	Maria Salazar		2021	1st			2.7%	3.2%
FL-27
GA-1	Buddy Carter		2015	4th			16.6%	12.4%
GA-1
GA-2	Sanford D. Jr. Bishop		1993	15th			18.2%	12.3%
GA-2
GA-3	Drew Ferguson		2017	3rd			30.0%	25.2%
GA-3
GA-4	Hank Johnson		2007	8th			60.1%	58.6%
GA-4
GA-5	Nikema Williams		2021	1st			70.2%	73.5%
GA-5
GA-6	Lucy McBath		2019	2nd			9.1%	11.1%
GA-6
GA-7	Carolyn Bourdeaux		2021	1st			2.7%	6.3%
GA-7	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2022 election.
GA-8	Austin Scott		2011	6th			29.0%	25.0%
GA-8
GA-9	Andrew Clyde		2021	1st			57.1%	54.0%
GA-9
GA-10	Jody Hice		2015	4th			24.6%	20.4%
GA-10	Retiring to run for Secretary of State
GA-11	Barry Loudermilk		2015	4th			20.8%	15.4%
GA-11
GA-12	Rick Allen		2015	4th			16.7%	12.8%
GA-12
GA-13	David Scott		2003	10th			54.8%	52.2%
GA-13
GA-14	Marjorie Taylor Greene		2021	1st			49.4%	48.1%
GA-14
HI-1	Ed Case		2019	2nd			44.0%	29.3%
HI-1
HI-2	Kai Kahele		2021	1st			32.1%	29.5%
HI-2	Retiring to run for governor
IA-1	Ashley Hinson		2021	1st			2.5%	3.4%
IA-1
IA-2	Mariannette Miller-Meeks		2021	1st			0.1%	4.0%
IA-2
IA-3	Cindy Axne		2019	2nd			1.3%	0.2%
IA-3
IA-4	Randy Feenstra		2021	1st			24.1%	27.0%
IA-4
ID-1	Russ Fulcher		2019	2nd			39.1%	37.0%
ID-1
ID-2	Michael Simpson		1999	12th			32.3%	23.5%
ID-2
IL-1	Bobby Rush		1993	15th			47.6%	49.2%
IL-1	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
IL-2	Robin Kelly		2013	5th			57.6%	56.3%
IL-2
IL-3	Marie Newman		2021	1st			12.7%	12.6%
IL-3	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2022 election.
IL-4	Jesus Garcia		2019	2nd			68.1%	63.4%
IL-4
IL-5	Mike Quigley		2009	7th			44.1%	46.1%
IL-5
IL-6	Sean Casten		2019	2nd			7.3%	12.7%
IL-6
IL-7	Danny Davis		1997	13th			67.0%	74.2%
IL-7
IL-8	Raja Krishnamoorthi		2017	3rd			73.1% ⁺	20.2%
IL-8
IL-9	Janice Schakowsky		1999	12th			41.9%	43.6%
IL-9
IL-10	Brad Schneider		2017	3rd			27.7%	30.3%
IL-10
IL-11	Bill Foster		2013	5th			26.5%	25.7%
IL-11
IL-12	Mike Bost		2015	4th			20.8%	14.2%
IL-12
IL-13	Rodney Davis		2013	5th			8.9%	3.5%
IL-13	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2022 election.
IL-14	Lauren Underwood		2019	2nd			1.3%	2.4%
IL-14
IL-15	Mary Miller		2021	1st			46.8%	46.3%
IL-15
IL-16	Adam Kinzinger		2011	6th			29.4%	16.0%
IL-16	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
IL-17	Cheri Bustos		2013	5th			4.0%	1.6%
IL-17	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
IL-18	Darin LaHood		2015	4th			40.8%	24.2%
IL-18
IN-1	Frank Mrvan		2021	1st			16.1%	8.8%
IN-1
IN-2	Rudy Yakym		2022	1st			22.9%	20.5%
IN-2
IN-3	Jim Banks		2017	3rd			35.6%	29.9%
IN-3
IN-4	Jim Baird		2019	2nd			33.2%	29.8%
IN-4
IN-5	Victoria Spartz		2021	1st			4.0%	2.2%
IN-5
IN-6	Greg Pence		2019	2nd			40.8%	39.7%
IN-6
IN-7	Andre Carson		2008	8th			24.8%	27.6%
IN-7
IN-8	Larry Bucshon		2011	6th			37.1%	32.0%
IN-8
IN-9	Trey Hollingsworth		2017	3rd			26.1%	23.6%
IN-9	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
KS-1	Tracey Mann		2021	1st			42.3%	41.6%
KS-1
KS-2	Jake LaTurner		2021	1st			14.5%	15.0%
KS-2
KS-3	Sharice Davids		2019	2nd			10.0%	10.6%
KS-3
KS-4	Ron Estes		2017	3rd			27.3%	21.7%
KS-4
KY-1	James Comer		2016	4th			49.9%	47.6%
KY-1
KY-2	Brett Guthrie		2009	7th			44.6%	37.0%
KY-2
KY-3	John Yarmuth		2007	8th			25.3%	21.9%
KY-3	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
KY-4	Thomas Massie		2012	6th			34.1%	31.4%
KY-4
KY-5	Hal Rogers		1981	21st			68.4%	61.6%
KY-5
KY-6	Andy Barr		2013	5th			16.3%	9.1%
KY-6
LA-1	Steve Scalise		2008	8th			46.9% ^x	37.9%
LA-1
LA-2	Troy Carter		2021	1st			54.3% ^x	52.3%
LA-2
LA-3	Clay Higgins		2017	3rd			38.2% ^x	37.9%
LA-3
LA-4	Mike Johnson		2017	3rd			33.4% ^x	24.5%
LA-4
LA-5	Julia Letlow		2021	1st			35.6% ^x	30.4%
LA-5
LA-6	Garret Graves		2015	4th			45.4% ^x	29.4%
LA-6
MA-1	Richard Neal		1989	17th			^*	24.2%
MA-1
MA-2	James McGovern		1997	13th			30.7%	25.8%
MA-2
MA-3	Lori Trahan		2019	2nd			^*	28.8%
MA-3
MA-4	Jake Auchincloss		2021	1st			21.9%	30.8%
MA-4
MA-5	Katherine Clark		2013	5th			48.7%	50.6%
MA-5
MA-6	Seth Moulton		2015	4th			31.0%	27.0%
MA-6
MA-7	Ayanna Pressley		2019	2nd			86.6% ⁺	72.0%
MA-7
MA-8	Stephen Lynch		2001	11th			80.6% ⁺	34.0%
MA-8
MA-9	William Keating		2011	6th			24.9%	17.6%
MA-9
MD-1	Andrew Harris		2011	6th			27.0%	19.7%
MD-1
MD-2	C. A. Dutch Ruppersberger		2003	10th			35.6%	33.4%
MD-2
MD-3	John Sarbanes		2007	8th			39.7%	39.3%
MD-3
MD-4	Anthony Brown		2017	3rd			59.3%	59.9%
MD-4	Retiring to run for Attorney General
MD-5	Steny Hoyer		1981	21st			37.7%	38.9%
MD-5
MD-6	David Trone		2019	2nd			19.6%	23.1%
MD-6
MD-7	Kweisi Mfume		2020	2nd			43.5%	58.4%
MD-7
MD-8	Jamie Raskin		2017	3rd			36.6%	40.4%
MD-8
ME-1	Chellie Pingree		2009	7th			24.3%	23.1%
ME-1
ME-2	Jared Golden		2019	2nd			6.0%	7.5%
ME-2
MI-1	Jack Bergman		2017	3rd			24.8%	17.3%
MI-1
MI-2	Bill Huizenga		2011	6th			20.9%	11.8%
MI-2
MI-3	Peter Meijer		2021	1st			5.9%	3.3%
MI-3	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2022 election.
MI-4	John Moolenaar		2015	4th			32.6%	23.9%
MI-4
MI-5	Dan Kildee		2013	5th			12.6%	4.3%
MI-5
MI-6	Fred Upton		1987	18th			15.6%	4.5%
MI-6	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
MI-7	Tim Walberg		2011	6th			17.5%	15.1%
MI-7
MI-8	Elissa Slotkin		2019	2nd			3.5%	0.8%
MI-8
MI-9	Andy Levin		2019	2nd			19.2%	13.2%
MI-9	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2022 election.
MI-10	Lisa McClain		2021	1st			32.5%	29.8%
MI-10
MI-11	Haley Stevens		2019	2nd			2.3%	4.5%
MI-11
MI-12	Debbie Dingell		2015	4th			35.7%	29.8%
MI-12
MI-13	Rashida Tlaib		2019	2nd			59.4%	58.8%
MI-13
MI-14	Brenda Lawrence		2015	4th			60.9%	59.9%
MI-14	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
MN-1	Brad Finstad		2022	1st			3.0%	10.1%
MN-1
MN-2	Angie Craig		2019	2nd			2.2%	6.9%
MN-2
MN-3	Dean Phillips		2019	2nd			11.2%	19.3%
MN-3
MN-4	Betty McCollum		2001	11th			34.2%	37.1%
MN-4
MN-5	Ilhan Omar		2019	2nd			38.4%	62.6%
MN-5
MN-6	Tom Emmer		2015	4th			31.5%	20.2%
MN-6
MN-7	Michelle Fischbach		2021	1st			13.5%	29.4%
MN-7
MN-8	Pete Stauber		2019	2nd			19.1%	14.6%
MN-8
MO-1	Cori Bush		2021	1st			59.8%	62.2%
MO-1
MO-2	Ann Wagner		2013	5th			6.3%	0.0%
MO-2
MO-3	Blaine Luetkemeyer		2009	7th			40.9%	35.6%
MO-3
MO-4	Vicky Hartzler		2011	6th			37.9%	34.1%
MO-4	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate
MO-5	Emanuel Cleaver		2005	9th			20.2%	18.8%
MO-5
MO-6	Sam Graves		2001	11th			36.2%	28.3%
MO-6
MO-7	Billy Long		2011	6th			42.3%	41.9%
MO-7	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate
MO-8	Jason Smith		2013	5th			55.4%	55.9%
MO-8
MS-1	Trent Kelly		2015	4th			37.4%	31.0%
MS-1
MS-2	Bennie Thompson		1993	15th			32.0%	28.5%
MS-2
MS-3	Michael Guest		2019	2nd			29.3%	21.5%
MS-3
MS-4	Steven Palazzo		2011	6th			^*	38.0%
MS-4	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2022 election.
MT-AL	Matt Rosendale		2021	1st			12.7%	16.3%
MT-AL
NC-1	G. K. Butterfield		2004	10th			8.3%	8.6%
NC-1	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
NC-2	Deborah Ross		2021	1st			28.1%	30.3%
NC-2
NC-3	Greg Murphy		2019	2nd			26.7%	23.2%
NC-3
NC-4	David Price		1997	13th			34.6%	34.4%
NC-4	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
NC-5	Virginia Foxx		2005	9th			35.8%	35.8%
NC-5
NC-6	Kathy Manning		2021	1st			24.5%	24.4%
NC-6
NC-7	David Rouzer		2015	4th			20.6%	17.4%
NC-7
NC-8	Richard Hudson		2013	5th			6.5%	6.4%
NC-8
NC-9	Dan Bishop		2019	2nd			11.1%	7.9%
NC-9
NC-10	Patrick McHenry		2005	9th			37.8%	36.5%
NC-10
NC-11	Madison Cawthorn		2021	1st			12.1%	12.1%
NC-11	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2022 election.
NC-12	Alma Adams		2014	5th			^*	41.6%
NC-12
NC-13	Ted Budd		2017	3rd			36.3%	35.3%
NC-13	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate
ND-AL	Kelly Armstrong		2019	2nd			41.4%	33.6%
ND-AL
NE-1	Mike Flood		2022	1st			21.8%	15.0%
NE-1
NE-2	Don Bacon		2017	3rd			4.5%	6.6%
NE-2
NE-3	Adrian Smith		2007	8th			60.8%	53.2%
NE-3
NH-1	Chris Pappas		2019	2nd			5.1%	6.0%
NH-1
NH-2	Ann Kuster		2013	5th			10.2%	8.7%
NH-2
NJ-1	Donald Norcross		2014	5th			24.9%	25.5%
NJ-1
NJ-2	Jeff Van Drew		2019	2nd			5.7%	2.9%
NJ-2
NJ-3	Andy Kim		2019	2nd			7.7%	0.2%
NJ-3
NJ-4	Chris Smith		1981	21st			21.6%	10.5%
NJ-4
NJ-5	Josh Gottheimer		2017	3rd			7.5%	5.2%
NJ-5
NJ-6	Frank Pallone		1988	18th			22.3%	15.7%
NJ-6
NJ-7	Tom Malinowski		2019	2nd			1.2%	9.9%
NJ-7
NJ-8	Albio Sires		2006	9th			49.4%	47.2%
NJ-8	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
NJ-9	Bill Pascrell		1997	13th			33.9%	25.4%
NJ-9
NJ-10	Donald Payne		2012	6th			69.3%	66.4%
NJ-10
NJ-11	Mikie Sherrill		2019	2nd			6.6%	7.1%
NJ-11
NJ-12	Bonnie Coleman		2015	4th			33.0%	35.9%
NJ-12
NM-1	Melanie Stansbury		2021	1st			16.3%	22.8%
NM-1
NM-2	Yvette Herrell		2021	1st			7.4%	11.8%
NM-2
NM-3	Teresa Leger Fernandez		2021	1st			17.3%	17.6%
NM-3
NV-1	Dina Titus		2013	5th			28.3%	25.1%
NV-1
NV-2	Marc Amodei		2011	6th			15.7%	10.0%
NV-2
NV-3	Susie Lee		2019	2nd			2.9%	0.2%
NV-3
NV-4	Steven Horsford		2019	2nd			4.8%	3.9%
NV-4
NY-1	Lee Zeldin		2015	4th			9.7%	4.2%
NY-1	Retiring to run for Governor
NY-2	Andrew Garbarino		2021	1st			6.9%	4.0%
NY-2
NY-3	Thomas Suozzi		2017	3rd			12.5%	10.4%
NY-3	Retiring to run for Governor
NY-4	Kathleen Rice		2015	4th			13.1%	12.2%
NY-4	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
NY-5	Gregory Meeks		1998	13th			^*	67.1%
NY-5
NY-6	Grace Meng		2013	5th			35.9%	24.4%
NY-6
NY-7	Nydia Velazquez		1993	15th			70.3%	64.5%
NY-7
NY-8	Hakeem Jeffries		2013	5th			69.6%	66.4%
NY-8
NY-9	Yvette Clarke		2007	8th			67.1%	63.6%
NY-9
NY-10	Jerrold Nadler		1992	16th			50.3%	53.2%
NY-10
NY-11	Nicole Malliotakis		2021	1st			6.2%	10.5%
NY-11
NY-12	Carolyn Maloney		1993	15th			65.6%	69.3%
NY-12	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2022 election.
NY-13	Adriano Espaillat		2017	3rd			83.0%	77.0%
NY-13
NY-14	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez		2019	2nd			44.1%	47.4%
NY-14
NY-15	Ritchie Torres		2021	1st			77.6%	73.4%
NY-15
NY-16	Jamaal Bowman		2021	1st			84.0% ⁺	51.5%
NY-16
NY-17	Mondaire Jones		2021	1st			24.0%	20.2%
NY-17	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2022 election.
NY-18	Sean P. Maloney		2013	5th			12.5%	5.0%
NY-18
NY-19	Pat Ryan		2022	1st			11.5%	1.5%
NY-19
NY-20	Paul Tonko		2009	7th			22.3%	20.6%
NY-20
NY-21	Elise Stefanik		2015	4th			17.6%	10.4%
NY-21
NY-22	Claudia Tenney		2021	1st			0.0%	11.5%
NY-22
NY-23	Joe Sempolinski		2022	1st			16.5%	11.2%
NY-23	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
NY-24	John Katko		2015	4th			10.1%	9.0%
NY-24	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
NY-25	Joseph Morelle		2018	3rd			20.1%	22.3%
NY-25
NY-26	Brian Higgins		2005	9th			41.1%	27.0%
NY-26
NY-27	Chris Jacobs		2020	2nd			20.7%	15.7%
NY-27	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
OH-1	Steve Chabot		2011	6th			7.1%	3.2%
OH-1
OH-2	Brad Wenstrup		2013	5th			22.1%	12.7%
OH-2
OH-3	Joyce Beatty		2013	5th			41.6%	41.6%
OH-3
OH-4	Jim Jordan		2007	8th			38.5%	35.9%
OH-4
OH-5	Bob Latta		2007	8th			35.9%	24.9%
OH-5
OH-6	Bill Johnson		2011	6th			48.8%	45.7%
OH-6
OH-7	Bob Gibbs		2011	6th			38.3%	32.1%
OH-7	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
OH-8	Warren Davidson		2016	4th			37.9%	33.5%
OH-8
OH-9	Marcy Kaptur		1983	20th			26.1%	19.1%
OH-9
OH-10	Michael Turner		2003	10th			16.7%	4.4%
OH-10
OH-11	Shontel Brown		2021	1st			60.1%	60.6%
OH-11
OH-12	Troy Balderson		2018	3rd			13.4%	5.9%
OH-12
OH-13	Tim Ryan		2003	10th			7.5%	3.4%
OH-13	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate
OH-14	David Joyce		2013	5th			20.1%	9.0%
OH-14
OH-15	Mike Carey		2021	1st			26.8%	14.1%
OH-15
OH-16	Anthony Gonzalez		2019	2nd			26.3%	14.3%
OH-16	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
OK-1	Kevin Hern		2018	3rd			31.0%	22.8%
OK-1
OK-2	Markwayne Mullin		2013	5th			53.0%	53.9%
OK-2	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate
OK-3	Frank Lucas		1994	15th			56.9%	51.4%
OK-3
OK-4	Tom Cole		2003	10th			39.0%	33.6%
OK-4
OK-5	Stephanie Bice		2021	1st			4.1%	5.3%
OK-5
OR-1	Suzanne Bonamici		2012	6th			29.3%	29.2%
OR-1
OR-2	Cliff Bentz		2021	1st			22.9%	13.5%
OR-2
OR-3	Earl Blumenauer		1996	14th			49.5%	50.8%
OR-3
OR-4	Peter DeFazio		1987	18th			5.3%	4.0%
OR-4	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
OR-5	Kurt Schrader		2009	7th			6.7%	9.7%
OR-5	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2022 election.
PA-1	Brian Fitzpatrick		2017	3rd			13.2%	5.8%
PA-1
PA-2	Brendan Boyle		2015	4th			45.0%	41.0%
PA-2
PA-3	Dwight Evans		2016	4th			82.0%	83.2%
PA-3
PA-4	Madeleine Dean		2019	2nd			19.0%	24.1%
PA-4
PA-5	Mary Gay Scanlon		2018	3rd			29.4%	31.1%
PA-5
PA-6	Chrissy Houlahan		2019	2nd			12.2%	15.0%
PA-6
PA-7	Susan Wild		2018	3rd			3.8%	4.8%
PA-7
PA-8	Matt Cartwright		2013	5th			3.6%	4.4%
PA-8
PA-9	Dan Meuser		2019	2nd			32.6%	30.4%
PA-9
PA-10	Scott Perry		2013	5th			6.6%	2.9%
PA-10
PA-11	Lloyd Smucker		2017	3rd			26.2%	21.9%
PA-11
PA-12	Fred Keller		2019	2nd			41.6%	36.1%
PA-12	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
PA-13	John Joyce		2019	2nd			47.0%	44.4%
PA-13
PA-14	Guy Reschenthaler		2019	2nd			29.4%	27.5%
PA-14
PA-15	Glenn Thompson		2009	7th			47.0%	43.7%
PA-15
PA-16	Mike Kelly		2011	6th			18.6%	18.7%
PA-16
PA-17	Conor Lamb		2018	3rd			2.2%	2.7%
PA-17	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate
PA-18	Mike Doyle		1995	14th			38.6%	30.1%
PA-18	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
RI-1	David Cicilline		2011	6th			70.8% ⁺	29.3%
RI-1
RI-2	James Langevin		2001	11th			16.7%	13.5%
RI-2	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
SC-1	Nancy Mace		2021	1st			1.2%	6.0%
SC-1
SC-2	Joe Wilson		2001	11th			13.0%	11.3%
SC-2
SC-3	Jeff Duncan		2011	6th			42.5%	37.6%
SC-3
SC-4	William Timmons		2019	2nd			24.7%	20.4%
SC-4
SC-5	Ralph Norman		2017	3rd			20.2%	16.6%
SC-5
SC-6	James Clyburn		1993	15th			37.3%	35.2%
SC-6
SC-7	Tom Rice		2013	5th			23.6%	18.6%
SC-7	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2022 election.
SD-AL	Dusty Johnson		2019	2nd			80.9% ⁺	26.2%
SD-AL
TN-1	Diana Harshbarger		2021	1st			52.2%	54.1%
TN-1
TN-2	Tim Burchett		2019	2nd			36.5%	29.1%
TN-2
TN-3	Chuck Fleischmann		2011	6th			36.8%	32.4%
TN-3
TN-4	Scott DesJarlais		2011	6th			33.3%	36.8%
TN-4
TN-5	Jim Cooper		2003	10th			^*	23.6%
TN-5	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
TN-6	John Rose		2019	2nd			49.6%	47.1%
TN-6
TN-7	Mark Green		2019	2nd			42.5%	35.6%
TN-7
TN-8	David Kustoff		2017	3rd			38.9%	32.2%
TN-8
TN-9	Steve Cohen		2007	8th			57.2%	58.6%
TN-9
TX-1	Louie Gohmert		2005	9th			45.1%	44.4%
TX-1	Retiring to run for Attorney General
TX-2	Daniel Crenshaw		2019	2nd			12.8%	1.3%
TX-2
TX-3	Van Taylor		2019	2nd			12.1%	1.1%
TX-3	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
TX-4	Pat Fallon		2021	1st			52.5%	50.0%
TX-4
TX-5	Lance Gooden		2019	2nd			26.1%	23.0%
TX-5
TX-6	Jake Ellzey		2021	1st			8.8%	3.0%
TX-6
TX-7	Lizzie Fletcher		2019	2nd			3.3%	8.5%
TX-7
TX-8	Kevin Brady		1997	13th			47.0%	42.5%
TX-8	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
TX-9	Al Green		2005	9th			53.8%	52.4%
TX-9
TX-10	Michael McCaul		2005	9th			7.1%	1.6%
TX-10
TX-11	August Pfluger		2021	1st			61.4%	59.4%
TX-11
TX-12	Kay Granger		1997	13th			30.6%	22.6%
TX-12
TX-13	Ronny Jackson		2021	1st			60.9%	59.8%
TX-13
TX-14	Randy Weber		2013	5th			23.2%	19.4%
TX-14
TX-15	Vicente Gonzalez		2017	3rd			2.8%	1.9%
TX-15
TX-16	Veronica Escobar		2019	2nd			29.4%	34.4%
TX-16
TX-17	Pete Sessions		2021	1st			14.9%	11.0%
TX-17
TX-18	Sheila Jackson-Lee		1995	14th			49.7%	52.7%
TX-18
TX-19	Jodey Arrington		2017	3rd			51.9%	45.9%
TX-19
TX-20	Joaquin Castro		2013	5th			31.5%	29.0%
TX-20
TX-21	Chip Roy		2019	2nd			6.6%	2.7%
TX-21
TX-22	Troy Nehls		2021	1st			6.9%	0.9%
TX-22
TX-23	Tony Gonzales		2021	1st			3.9%	1.8%
TX-23
TX-24	Beth Van Duyne		2021	1st			1.3%	5.4%
TX-24
TX-25	Roger Williams		2013	5th			13.8%	9.6%
TX-25
TX-26	Michael Burgess		2003	10th			23.3%	14.2%
TX-26
TX-27	Michael Cloud		2018	3rd			28.1%	23.7%
TX-27
TX-28	Henry Cuellar		2005	9th			19.3%	4.4%
TX-28
TX-29	Sylvia Garcia		2019	2nd			43.7%	33.0%
TX-29
TX-30	Eddie Johnson		1993	15th			59.0%	60.9%
TX-30	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
TX-31	John Carter		2003	10th			9.1%	2.8%
TX-31
TX-32	Colin Allred		2019	2nd			6.0%	10.4%
TX-32
TX-33	Marc Veasey		2013	5th			41.6%	47.4%
TX-33
TX-34	Mayra Flores		2022	1st			13.5%	4.0%
TX-34
TX-35	Lloyd Doggett		1995	14th			35.4%	37.2%
TX-35
TX-36	Brian Babin		2015	4th			49.3%	45.0%
TX-36
UT-1	Blake Moore		2021	1st			39.0%	32.6%
UT-1
UT-2	Chris Stewart		2013	5th			22.3%	15.9%
UT-2
UT-3	John Curtis		2017	3rd			41.9%	25.1%
UT-3
UT-4	Burgess Owens		2021	1st			0.9%	9.1%
UT-4
VA-1	Rob Wittman		2007	8th			16.4%	4.4%
VA-1
VA-2	Elaine Luria		2019	2nd			5.7%	4.7%
VA-2
VA-3	Bobby Scott		1993	15th			36.9%	36.0%
VA-3
VA-4	OPEN						23.3%	25.0%
VA-4
VA-5	Bob Good		2021	1st			5.1%	8.5%
VA-5
VA-6	Ben Cline		2019	2nd			29.3%	21.2%
VA-6
VA-7	Abigail Spanberger		2019	2nd			1.8%	1.1%
VA-7
VA-8	Don Beyer		2015	4th			51.8%	56.5%
VA-8
VA-9	Morgan Griffith		2011	6th			^*	42.0%
VA-9
VA-10	Jennifer Wexton		2019	2nd			13.1%	19.3%
VA-10
VA-11	Gerry Connolly		2009	7th			43.0%	42.0%
VA-11
VT-AL	Peter Welch		2007	8th			40.2%	35.6%
VT-AL	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate
WA-1	Suzan DelBene		2012	6th			17.2%	20.9%
WA-1
WA-2	Rick Larsen		2001	11th			26.4%	27.0%
WA-2
WA-3	Jaime Herrera Beutler		2011	6th			13.0%	3.7%
WA-3	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2022 election.
WA-4	Dan Newhouse		2015	4th			32.6%	18.2%
WA-4
WA-5	Cathy McMorris Rodgers		2005	9th			22.8%	9.0%
WA-5
WA-6	Derek Kilmer		2013	5th			18.8%	17.8%
WA-6
WA-7	Pramila Jayapal		2017	3rd			66.2%	73.4%
WA-7
WA-8	Kim Schrier		2019	2nd			3.5%	6.5%
WA-8
WA-9	Adam Smith		1997	13th			48.4%	48.7%
WA-9
WA-10	Marilyn Strickland		2021	1st			^{^}	15.5%
WA-10
WI-1	Bryan Steil		2019	2nd			18.6%	9.2%
WI-1
WI-2	Mark Pocan		2013	5th			39.4%	40.2%
WI-2
WI-3	Ron Kind		1997	13th			2.6%	4.7%
WI-3	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
WI-4	Gwen Moore		2005	9th			51.9%	53.6%
WI-4
WI-5	Scott Fitzgerald		2021	1st			20.2%	15.1%
WI-5
WI-6	Glenn Grothman		2015	4th			18.5%	15.2%
WI-6
WI-7	Tom Tiffany		2020	2nd			21.5%	19.9%
WI-7
WI-8	Mike Gallagher		2017	3rd			28.3%	15.9%
WI-8
WV-1	David McKinley		2011	6th			37.9%	37.7%
WV-1	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2022 election.
WV-2	Alex Mooney		2015	4th			26.1%	32.6%
WV-2
WV-3	Carol Miller		2019	2nd			42.6%	47.6%
WV-3
WY-AL	Liz Cheney		2017	3rd			43.9%	43.7%
WY-AL	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2022 election.
District	Incumbent	Party	Since	Term	Predictions		Margin of Victory
District	Incumbent	Party	Since	Term	Consensus	Map	House^(a)	President^(b)
Filtered list below matches districts currently visible in map window.
AK-AL	Mary Peltola		2022	1st			9.1%	10.1%
AK-AL	Mary Peltola* Nick Begich Sarah Palin
AZ-1	David Schweikert		2011	6th			N/A	1.5%
AZ-1	Jevin Hodge David Schweikert*
AZ-2	Tom O'Halleran		2017	3rd			N/A	8.4%
AZ-2	Tom O'Halleran* Eli Crane
AZ-4	Greg Stanton		2019	2nd			N/A	10.7%
AZ-4	Greg Stanton* Kelly Cooper
AZ-6	Ann Kirkpatrick		2019	2nd			N/A	0.3%
AZ-6	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022. Kirsten Engel Juan Ciscomani
CA-3	OPEN						N/A	1.9%
CA-3	Kermit Jones Kevin Kiley
CA-9	Josh Harder		2019	2nd			N/A	12.7%
CA-9	Josh Harder* Tom Patti
CA-13	OPEN						N/A	11.4%
CA-13	Adam Gray John Duarte
CA-22	David Valadao		2021	1st			N/A	13.1%
CA-22	Rudy Salas David Valadao*
CA-25	Raul Ruiz		2013	5th			N/A	15.7%
CA-25	Raul Ruiz* Brian Hawkins
CA-26	Julia Brownley		2013	5th			N/A	20.4%
CA-26	Julia Brownley* Matt Jacobs
CA-27	Mike Garcia		2020	2nd			N/A	12.7%
CA-27	Christy Smith Mike Garcia*
CA-40	Young Kim		2021	1st			N/A	2.0%
CA-40	Asif Mahmood Young Kim*
CA-41	Ken Calvert		1993	15th			N/A	1.0%
CA-41	Will Rollins Ken Calvert*
CA-45	Michelle Steel		2021	1st			N/A	6.3%
CA-45	Jay Chen Michelle Steel*
CA-47	Katie Porter		2019	2nd			N/A	11.9%
CA-47	Katie Porter* Scott Baugh
CA-49	Mike Levin		2019	2nd			N/A	11.3%
CA-49	Mike Levin* Brian Maryott
CO-3	Lauren Boebert		2021	1st			N/A	8.4%
CO-3	Adam Frisch Lauren Boebert*
CO-7	Ed Perlmutter		2007	8th			N/A	14.5%
CO-7	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022. Brittany Pettersen Erik Aadland
CO-8	OPEN						N/A	4.7%
CO-8	Yadira Caraveo Barbara Kirkmeyer
CT-2	Joe Courtney		2007	8th			N/A	10.2%
CT-2	Joe Courtney* Mike France
CT-5	Jahana Hayes		2019	2nd			N/A	10.9%
CT-5	Jahana Hayes* George Logan
FL-7	Stephanie Murphy		2017	3rd			N/A	5.4%
FL-7	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022. Karen Green Cory Mills
FL-13	OPEN						N/A	5.8%
FL-13	Eric Lynn Anna Luna
FL-15	OPEN						N/A	3.1%
FL-15	Alan Cohn Laurel Lee
FL-23	OPEN						N/A	14.1%
FL-23	Jared Moskowitz Joe Budd
FL-27	Maria Salazar		2021	1st			N/A	0.6%
FL-27	Annette Taddeo Maria Salazar*
GA-2	Sanford Bishop Jr.		1993	15th			N/A	10.5%
GA-2	Sanford Bishop* Chris West
IA-1	Mariannette Miller-Meeks		2021	1st			N/A	2.9%
IA-1	Christina Bohannan Mariannette Miller-Meeks*
IA-2	Ashley Hinson		2021	1st			N/A	4.5%
IA-2	Liz Mathis Ashley Hinson*
IA-3	Cindy Axne		2019	2nd			N/A	0.4%
IA-3	Cindy Axne* Zach Nunn
IL-6	Sean Casten		2019	2nd			N/A	11.1%
IL-6	Defeated Rep. Marie Newman (current IL-3) in primary Sean Casten* Keith Pekau
IL-8	Raja Krishnamoorthi		2017	3rd			N/A	15.8%
IL-8	Raja Krishnamoorthi* Chris Dargis
IL-11	Bill Foster		2013	5th			N/A	15.5%
IL-11	Bill Foster* Catalina Lauf
IL-13	OPEN						N/A	11.3%
IL-13	Nikki Budzinski Regan Deering
IL-14	Lauren Underwood		2019	2nd			N/A	11.7%
IL-14	Lauren Underwood* Scott Gryder
IL-17	Cheri Bustos		2013	5th			N/A	7.8%
IL-17	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022. Eric Sorensen Esther King
IN-1	Frank Mrvan		2021	1st			N/A	8.5%
IN-1	Frank Mrvan* Jennifer-Ruth Green
KS-3	Sharice Davids		2019	2nd			N/A	4.5%
KS-3	Sharice Davids* Amanda Adkins
MD-6	David Trone		2019	2nd			N/A	10.0%
MD-6	David Trone* Neil Parrott
ME-2	Jared Golden		2019	2nd			N/A	6.1%
ME-2	Jared Golden* Bruce Poliquin
MI-3	Peter Meijer		2021	1st			N/A	8.6%
MI-3	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2022 election. Hillary Scholten John Gibbs
MI-7	Elissa Slotkin		2019	2nd			N/A	0.9%
MI-7	Elissa Slotkin* Tom Barrett
MI-8	Dan Kildee		2013	5th			N/A	2.1%
MI-8	Dan Kildee* Paul Junge
MI-10	OPEN						N/A	0.7%
MI-10	Carl Marlinga John James
MN-1	Brad Finstad		2022	1st			N/A	9.4%
MN-1	Jeff Ettinger Brad Finstad*
MN-2	Angie Craig		2019	2nd			N/A	7.4%
MN-2	Angie Craig* Tyler Kistner
MT-1	OPEN						N/A	7.1%
MT-1	Monica Tranel Ryan Zinke
NC-1	G. K. Butterfield		2004	10th			N/A	8.9%
NC-1	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022. Don Davis Sandy Smith
NC-6	Kathy Manning		2021	1st			N/A	12.6%
NC-6	Kathy Manning* Christian Castelli
NC-13	OPEN						N/A	1.8%
NC-13	Wiley Nickel Bo Hines
NC-14	OPEN						N/A	16.7%
NC-14	Jeff Jackson Pat Harrigan
NE-2	Don Bacon		2017	3rd			N/A	6.4%
NE-2	Tony Vargas Don Bacon*
NH-1	Chris Pappas		2019	2nd			N/A	5.7%
NH-1	Chris Pappas* Karoline Leavitt
NH-2	Ann Kuster		2013	5th			N/A	9.0%
NH-2	Ann Kuster* Bob Burns
NJ-3	Andy Kim		2019	2nd			N/A	14.5%
NJ-3	Andy Kim* Bob Healey
NJ-5	Josh Gottheimer		2017	3rd			N/A	12.5%
NJ-5	Josh Gottheimer* Frank Pallotta
NJ-7	Tom Malinowski		2019	2nd			N/A	4.5%
NJ-7	Tom Malinowski* Tom Kean Jr
NJ-11	Mikie Sherrill		2019	2nd			N/A	17.4%
NJ-11	Mikie Sherrill* Paul DeGroot
NM-1	Melanie Stansbury		2021	1st			N/A	14.9%
NM-1	Melanie Ann Stansbury* Michelle Garcia Holmes
NM-2	Yvette Herrell		2021	1st			N/A	5.7%
NM-2	Gabriel Vasquez Yvette Herrell*
NM-3	Teresa Leger Fernandez		2021	1st			N/A	10.0%
NM-3	Teresa Leger Fernandez* Alexis Martinez Johnson
NV-1	Dina Titus		2013	5th			N/A	8.7%
NV-1	Dina Titus* Mark Robertson
NV-3	Susie Lee		2019	2nd			N/A	6.7%
NV-3	Susie Lee* April Becker
NV-4	Steven Horsford		2019	2nd			N/A	8.3%
NV-4	Steven Horsford* Sam Peters
NY-1	Lee Zeldin		2015	4th			N/A	0.0%
NY-1	Retiring to run for Governor Bridget Fleming Nicholas LaLota
NY-2	Andrew Garbarino		2021	1st			N/A	1.5%
NY-2	Jackie Gordon Andrew Garbarino*
NY-3	Thomas Suozzi		2017	3rd			N/A	8.5%
NY-3	Retiring to run for Governor Robert Zimmerman George Santos
NY-4	Kathleen Rice		2015	4th			N/A	14.8%
NY-4	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022. Laura Gillen Anthony D'Esposito
NY-11	Nicole Malliotakis		2021	1st			N/A	7.2%
NY-11	Max Rose Nicole Malliotakis*
NY-17	Sean P. Maloney		2013	5th			N/A	10.1%
NY-17	Sean Patrick Maloney* Michael Lawler
NY-18	Pat Ryan		2022	1st			N/A	8.5%
NY-18	Pat Ryan* Colin Schmitt
NY-19	OPEN						N/A	4.7%
NY-19	Josh Riley Marc Molinaro
NY-22	John Katko		2015	4th			N/A	7.6%
NY-22	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022. Francis Conole Brandon Williams
NY-25	Joseph Morelle		2018	3rd			N/A	20.2%
NY-25	Joseph Morelle* La'Ron Singletary
OH-1	Steve Chabot		2011	6th			N/A	8.6%
OH-1	Greg Landsman Steve Chabot*
OH-9	Marcy Kaptur		1983	20th			N/A	2.8%
OH-9	Marcy Kaptur* JR Majewski
OH-13	Anthony Gonzalez		2019	2nd			N/A	2.8%
OH-13	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022. Emilia Sykes Madison Gesiotto
OR-4	Peter DeFazio		1987	18th			N/A	12.7%
OR-4	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022. Val Hoyle Alek Skarlatos
OR-5	Kurt Schrader		2009	7th			N/A	8.8%
OR-5	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2022 election. Jamie McLeod-Skinner Lori Chavez-DeRemer
OR-6	OPEN						N/A	13.2%
OR-6	Andrea Salinas Mike Erickson
PA-1	Brian Fitzpatrick		2017	3rd			N/A	4.7%
PA-1	Ashley Ehasz Brian Fitzpatrick*
PA-6	Chrissy Houlahan		2019	2nd			N/A	14.9%
PA-6	Chrissy Houlahan* Guy Ciarrocchi
PA-7	Susan Wild		2018	3rd			N/A	0.6%
PA-7	Susan Wild* Lisa Scheller
PA-8	Matt Cartwright		2013	5th			N/A	2.9%
PA-8	Matt Cartwright* Jim Bognet
PA-12	Mike Doyle		1995	14th			N/A	20.1%
PA-12	Incumbent not running; the similarly named GOP nominee is unrelated Summer Lee Mike Doyle
PA-17	Conor Lamb		2018	3rd			N/A	6.0%
PA-17	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Chris Deluzio Jeremy Shaffer
RI-2	James Langevin		2001	11th			N/A	12.7%
RI-2	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022. Seth Magaziner Allan Fung
TN-5	Jim Cooper		2003	10th			N/A	11.8%
TN-5	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022. Heidi Campbell Andy Ogles
TX-15	OPEN						N/A	2.9%
TX-15	Michelle Vallejo Monica De La Cruz
TX-28	Henry Cuellar		2005	9th			N/A	7.2%
TX-28	Henry Cuellar* Cassy Garcia
TX-34	Mayra Flores \| Vicente Gonzalez						N/A	15.7%
TX-34	Incumbents of both parties redistricted together Vicente Gonzalez* Mayra Flores*
VA-2	Elaine Luria		2019	2nd			N/A	3.1%
VA-2	Elaine Luria* Jen Kiggans
VA-7	Abigail Spanberger		2019	2nd			N/A	6.3%
VA-7	Abigail Spanberger* Yesli Vega
VA-10	Jennifer Wexton		2019	2nd			N/A	18.5%
VA-10	Jennifer Wexton* Hung Cao
WA-3	Jaime Herrera Beutler		2011	6th			N/A	4.5%
WA-3	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2022 election. Marie Perez Joe Kent
WA-6	Derek Kilmer		2013	5th			N/A	16.1%
WA-6	Derek Kilmer* Elizabeth Kreiselmaier
WA-8	Kim Schrier		2019	2nd			N/A	6.9%
WA-8	Kim Schrier* Matt Larkin
WI-3	Ron Kind		1997	13th			N/A	4.8%
WI-3	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022. Brad Pfaff Derrick Van Orden
The following races are rated as safe for the incumbent party.
AL-1	Jerry Carl		2021	1st			N/A	28.6%
AL-1	Jerry Carl* Alexander Remrey
AL-2	Barry Moore		2021	1st			N/A	29.8%
AL-2	Phyllis Harvey-Hall Barry Moore*
AL-3	Mike Rogers		2003	10th			N/A	34.4%
AL-3	Lin Veasey Mike Rogers*
AL-4	Robert Aderholt		1997	13th			N/A	62.4%
AL-4	Rick Neighbors Robert Aderholt*
AL-5	Mo Brooks		2011	6th			N/A	27.5%
AL-5	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Kathy Warner-Stanton Dale Strong
AL-6	Gary Palmer		2015	4th			N/A	30.5%
AL-6	Gary Palmer* Andria Chieffo
AL-7	Terri Sewell		2011	6th			N/A	32.6%
AL-7	Terri Sewell* Beatrice Nichols
AR-1	Rick Crawford		2011	6th			N/A	42.2%
AR-1	Monte Hodges Rick Crawford*
AR-2	French Hill		2015	4th			N/A	13.5%
AR-2	Quintessa Hathaway French Hill*
AR-3	Steve Womack		2011	6th			N/A	24.1%
AR-3	Lauren Mallett-Hays Steve Womack*
AR-4	Bruce Westerman		2015	4th			N/A	36.2%
AR-4	John White Bruce Westerman*
AZ-3	Ruben Gallego		2015	4th			N/A	51.4%
AZ-3	Ruben Gallego* Jeff Zink
AZ-5	Andy Biggs		2017	3rd			N/A	16.4%
AZ-5	Javier Ramos Andy Biggs*
AZ-7	Raul Grijalva		2003	10th			N/A	32.4%
AZ-7	Raul Grijalva* Luis Pozzolo
AZ-8	Debbie Lesko		2018	3rd			N/A	13.4%
AZ-8	Incumbent is unopposed
AZ-9	Paul Gosar		2011	6th			N/A	26.2%
AZ-9	Incumbent is unopposed
CA-1	Doug LaMalfa		2013	5th			N/A	19.5%
CA-1	Max Steiner Doug LaMalfa*
CA-2	Jared Huffman		2013	5th			N/A	50.4%
CA-2	Jared Huffman* Douglas Brower
CA-4	Mike Thompson		1999	12th			N/A	37.5%
CA-4	Mike Thompson* Matt Brock
CA-5	Tom McClintock		2009	7th			N/A	12.8%
CA-5	Mike Barkley Tom McClintock*
CA-6	Ami Bera		2013	5th			N/A	19.0%
CA-6	Ami Bera* Tamika Hamilton
CA-7	Doris Matsui		2005	9th			N/A	38.1%
CA-7	Doris Matsui* Max Semenenko
CA-8	John Garamendi		2009	7th			N/A	55.0%
CA-8	John Garamendi* Rudy Recile
CA-10	Mark DeSaulnier		2015	4th			N/A	40.2%
CA-10	Mark DeSaulnier* Michael Kerr
CA-11	Nancy Pelosi		1987	18th			N/A	76.1%
CA-11	Nancy Pelosi* John Dennis
CA-12	Barbara Lee		1998	13th			N/A	83.2%
CA-12	Barbara Lee* Stephen Slauson
CA-14	Eric Swalwell		2013	5th			N/A	46.4%
CA-14	Eric Swalwell* Alison Hayden
CA-15	Jackie Speier		2008	8th			N/A	58.5%
CA-15	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022. David Canepa Kevin Mullin
CA-16	Anna Eshoo		1993	15th			N/A	54.1%
CA-16	Anna Eshoo* Rishi Kumar
CA-17	Ro Khanna		2017	3rd			N/A	48.4%
CA-17	Ro Khanna* Ritesh Tandon
CA-18	Zoe Lofgren		1995	14th			N/A	44.9%
CA-18	Zoe Lofgren* Peter Hernandez
CA-19	Jimmy Panetta		2017	3rd			N/A	40.7%
CA-19	Jimmy Panetta* Jeff Gorman
CA-20	Kevin McCarthy		2007	8th			N/A	25.2%
CA-20	Marisa Wood Kevin McCarthy*
CA-21	Jim Costa		2013	5th			N/A	21.3%
CA-21	Jim Costa* Michael Maher
CA-23	Jay Obernolte		2021	1st			N/A	9.9%
CA-23	Derek Marshall Jay Obernolte*
CA-24	Salud Carbajal		2017	3rd			N/A	29.6%
CA-24	Salud Carbajal* Brad Allen
CA-28	Judy Chu		2009	7th			N/A	34.4%
CA-28	Judy Chu* Wes Hallman
CA-29	Tony Cardenas		2013	5th			N/A	52.3%
CA-29	Tony Cardenas* Angelica Duenas
CA-30	Adam Schiff		2001	11th			N/A	47.2%
CA-30	Maebe Girl Adam Schiff*
CA-31	Grace Napolitano		1999	12th			N/A	31.8%
CA-31	Grace Napolitano* Daniel Martinez
CA-32	Brad Sherman		1997	13th			N/A	41.6%
CA-32	Brad Sherman* Lucie Volotzky
CA-33	Pete Aguilar		2015	4th			N/A	26.1%
CA-33	Pete Aguilar* John Porter
CA-34	Jimmy Gomez		2017	3rd			N/A	65.8%
CA-34	Jimmy Gomez* David Kim
CA-35	Norma Torres		2015	4th			N/A	28.8%
CA-35	Norma Torres* Mike Cargile
CA-36	Ted Lieu		2015	4th			N/A	44.6%
CA-36	Ted Lieu* Joe Collins
CA-37	Karen Bass		2011	6th			N/A	74.6%
CA-37	Retiring to run for Los Angeles Mayor Sydney Kamlager Jan Perry
CA-38	Linda Sanchez		2003	10th			N/A	30.8%
CA-38	Linda Sanchez* Eric Ching
CA-39	Mark Takano		2013	5th			N/A	26.8%
CA-39	Mark Takano* Aja Smith
CA-42	OPEN						N/A	46.7%
CA-42	Robert Garcia John Briscoe
CA-43	Maxine Waters		1991	16th			N/A	65.1%
CA-43	Maxine Waters* Omar Navarro
CA-44	Nanette Barragan		2017	3rd			N/A	49.8%
CA-44	Nanette Barragan* Paul Jones
CA-46	Lou Correa		2017	3rd			N/A	31.1%
CA-46	Lou Correa* Christopher Gonzales
CA-48	Darrell Issa		2021	1st			N/A	12.4%
CA-48	Stephen Houlahan Darell Issa*
CA-50	Scott Peters		2013	5th			N/A	34.0%
CA-50	Scott Peters* Corey Gustafson
CA-51	Sara Jacobs		2021	1st			N/A	27.9%
CA-51	Sara Jacobs* Stan Caplan
CA-52	Juan Vargas		2013	5th			N/A	38.0%
CA-52	Juan Vargas* Tyler Geffeney
CO-1	Diana DeGette		1997	13th			N/A	62.7%
CO-1	Diana Degette* Jennifer Qualteri
CO-2	Joe Neguse		2019	2nd			N/A	40.8%
CO-2	Joe Neguse* Marshall Dawson
CO-4	Ken Buck		2015	4th			N/A	19.0%
CO-4	Ike McCorkle Ken Buck*
CO-5	Doug Lamborn		2007	8th			N/A	10.5%
CO-5	David Torres Doug Lamborn*
CO-6	Jason Crow		2019	2nd			N/A	24.5%
CO-6	Jason Crow* Steve Monahan
CT-1	John Larson		1999	12th			N/A	28.5%
CT-1	John Larson* Larry Lazor
CT-3	Rosa DeLauro		1991	16th			N/A	20.3%
CT-3	Rosa DeLauro* Lesley DeNardis
CT-4	James Himes		2009	7th			N/A	30.4%
CT-4	James Himes* Jayme Stevenson
DE-AL	Lisa Rochester		2017	3rd			17.4%	19.0%
DE-AL	Lisa Rochester* Lee Murphy
FL-1	Matt Gaetz		2017	3rd			N/A	32.3%
FL-1	Rebekah Jones Matt Gaetz*
FL-2	Neal Dunn \| Al Lawson						N/A	7.4%
FL-2	Incumbents of both parties redistricted together Al Lawson* Neal Dunn*
FL-3	Kat Cammack		2021	1st			N/A	14.1%
FL-3	Danielle Hawk Kat Cammack*
FL-4	OPEN						N/A	6.6%
FL-4	LaShonda Holloway Aaron Bean
FL-5	John Rutherford		2017	3rd			N/A	16.2%
FL-5	Incumbent is unopposed
FL-6	Michael Waltz		2019	2nd			N/A	24.0%
FL-6	Michael Waltz* Joe Hannoush
FL-8	Bill Posey		2009	7th			N/A	17.8%
FL-8	Joanne Terry Bill Posey*
FL-9	Darren Soto		2017	3rd			N/A	17.6%
FL-9	Darren Soto* Scotty Moore
FL-10	Val Demings		2017	3rd			N/A	32.5%
FL-10	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Maxell Frost Calvin Wimbish
FL-11	Dan Webster		2017	3rd			N/A	11.0%
FL-11	Shante Munns Daniel Webster*
FL-12	Gus Bilirakis		2007	8th			N/A	28.0%
FL-12	Kimberly Walker Gus Bilirakis*
FL-14	Kathy Castor		2007	8th			N/A	20.9%
FL-14	Kathy Castor* James Judge
FL-16	Vern Buchanan		2007	8th			N/A	8.7%
FL-16	Jan Schneider Vern Buchanan*
FL-17	Greg Steube		2019	2nd			N/A	15.6%
FL-17	Andrea Kale Greg Steube*
FL-18	Scott Franklin		2021	1st			N/A	22.8%
FL-18	Scott Franklin* Keith Hayden
FL-19	Byron Donalds		2021	1st			N/A	20.3%
FL-19	Cindy Banyai Byron Donalds*
FL-20	Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick		2021	1st			N/A	52.7%
FL-20	Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick* Drew-Montez Clark
FL-21	Brian Mast		2017	3rd			N/A	9.0%
FL-21	Corinna Robinson Brian Mast*
FL-22	Lois Frankel		2013	5th			N/A	18.1%
FL-22	Lois Frankel* Dan Franzese
FL-24	Frederica Wilson		2011	6th			N/A	52.2%
FL-24	Frederica Wilson* Jesus Navarro
FL-25	Debbie Wasserman Schultz		2005	9th			N/A	20.9%
FL-25	Debbie Wasserman Schultz* Carla Spalding
FL-26	Mario Diaz-Balart		2003	10th			N/A	18.4%
FL-26	Christine Olivo Mario Diaz-Balart*
FL-28	Carlos Gimenez		2021	1st			N/A	5.8%
FL-28	Robert Asencio Carlos Gimenez*
GA-1	Buddy Carter		2015	4th			N/A	13.5%
GA-1	Wade Herring Buddy Carter*
GA-3	Drew Ferguson		2017	3rd			N/A	30.4%
GA-3	Val Almonord Drew Ferguson*
GA-4	Hank Johnson		2007	8th			N/A	58.7%
GA-4	Hank Johnson* Jonathon Chavez
GA-5	Nikema Williams		2021	1st			N/A	67.3%
GA-5	Nikema Williams* Christian Zimm
GA-6	OPEN						N/A	15.2%
GA-6	Bob Christian Rich McCormick
GA-7	Lucy McBath		2019	2nd			N/A	26.1%
GA-7	Defeated Rep. Carolyn Bourdeaux (current GA-7) in primary Lucy McBath* Mark Gonsalves
GA-8	Austin Scott		2011	6th			N/A	27.9%
GA-8	Darrius Butler Austin Scott*
GA-9	Andrew Clyde		2021	1st			N/A	38.4%
GA-9	Michael Ford Andrew Clyde*
GA-10	Jody Hice		2015	4th			N/A	23.7%
GA-10	Retiring to run for Secretary of State Tabitha Johnson-Green Mike Collins
GA-11	Barry Loudermilk		2015	4th			N/A	15.6%
GA-11	Antonio Daza-Fernandez Barry Loudermilk*
GA-12	Rick Allen		2015	4th			N/A	10.3%
GA-12	Elizabeth Johnson Rick Allen*
GA-13	David Scott		2003	10th			N/A	60.9%
GA-13	David Scott* Caesar Gonzales
GA-14	Marjorie Taylor Greene		2021	1st			N/A	37.8%
GA-14	Marcus Flowers Marjorie Taylor Greene*
HI-1	Ed Case		2019	2nd			N/A	30.2%
HI-1	Ed Case* Conrad Kress
HI-2	Kai Kahele		2021	1st			N/A	30.3%
HI-2	Retiring to run for governor Jill Tokuda Joe Akana
IA-4	Randy Feenstra		2021	1st			N/A	26.5%
IA-4	Ryan Melton Randy Feenstra*
ID-1	Russ Fulcher		2019	2nd			N/A	39.3%
ID-1	Kaylee Peterson Russ Fulcher*
ID-2	Michael Simpson		1999	12th			N/A	23.7%
ID-2	Wendy Norman Mike Simpson*
IL-1	Bobby Rush		1993	15th			N/A	42.8%
IL-1	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022. Jonathan Jackson Eric Carlson
IL-2	Robin Kelly		2013	5th			N/A	41.0%
IL-2	Robin Kelly* Thomas Lynch
IL-3	OPEN						N/A	42.2%
IL-3	Delia Ramirez Justin Burau
IL-4	Jesus Garcia		2019	2nd			N/A	47.3%
IL-4	Jesus Garcia* James Falakos
IL-5	Mike Quigley		2009	7th			N/A	40.6%
IL-5	Mike Quigley* Tom Hanson
IL-7	Danny Davis		1997	13th			N/A	74.1%
IL-7	Incumbent is unopposed
IL-9	Jan Schakowsky		1999	12th			N/A	42.0%
IL-9	Jan Schakowsky* Max Rice
IL-10	Brad Schneider		2017	3rd			N/A	26.4%
IL-10	Brad Schneider* Joseph Severino
IL-12	Mike Bost		2015	4th			N/A	43.4%
IL-12	Homer Markel Mike Bost*
IL-15	Mary Miller		2021	1st			N/A	39.4%
IL-15	Defeated Rep Rodney Davis (current IL-13) in primary Paul Lange Mary Miller*
IL-16	Darin LaHood		2015	4th			N/A	21.8%
IL-16	Adam Kinzinger (R) is retiring Elizabeth Haderlein Darin LaHood*
IN-2	Rudy Yakym		2022	1st			N/A	23.0%
IN-2	Paul Steury Rudy Yakym
IN-3	Jim Banks		2017	3rd			N/A	30.5%
IN-3	Gary Snyder Jim Banks*
IN-4	Jim Baird		2019	2nd			N/A	29.8%
IN-4	Roger Day Jim Baird*
IN-5	Victoria Spartz		2021	1st			N/A	16.2%
IN-5	Jeannine Lake Victoria Spartz*
IN-6	Greg Pence		2019	2nd			N/A	32.6%
IN-6	Cynthia Wirth Greg Pence*
IN-7	Andre Carson		2008	8th			N/A	43.1%
IN-7	Andre Carson* Angela Grabovsky
IN-8	Larry Bucshon		2011	6th			N/A	33.4%
IN-8	Ray McCormick Larry Bucshon*
IN-9	Trey Hollingsworth		2017	3rd			N/A	27.9%
IN-9	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022. Matthew Fyfe Erin Houchin
KS-1	Tracey Mann		2021	1st			N/A	30.3%
KS-1	James Beard Tracey Mann*
KS-2	Jake LaTurner		2021	1st			N/A	16.7%
KS-2	Patrick Schmidt Jake LaTurner*
KS-4	Ron Estes		2017	3rd			N/A	22.3%
KS-4	Bob Hernandez Ron Estes*
KY-1	James Comer		2016	4th			N/A	43.4%
KY-1	Jimmy Ausbrooks James Comer*
KY-2	Brett Guthrie		2009	7th			N/A	27.9%
KY-2	Hank Linderman Brett Guthrie*
KY-3	John Yarmuth		2007	8th			N/A	20.5%
KY-3	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022. Morgan McGarvey Stuart Ray
KY-4	Thomas Massie		2012	6th			N/A	33.2%
KY-4	Matthew Lehman Thomas Massie*
KY-5	Hal Rogers		1981	21st			N/A	60.2%
KY-5	Conor Halbleib Hal Rogers*
KY-6	Andy Barr		2013	5th			N/A	10.9%
KY-6	Geoffrey Young Andy Barr*
LA-1	Steve Scalise		2008	8th			N/A	39.9%
LA-1	Katie Darling Steve Scalise*
LA-2	Troy Carter		2021	1st			N/A	53.7%
LA-2	Troy Carter* Dan Lux
LA-3	Clay Higgins		2017	3rd			N/A	38.1%
LA-3	Lessie LeBlanc Tia Lebrun Clay Higgins* Holden Hoggatt
LA-4	Mike Johnson		2017	3rd			N/A	24.5%
LA-4	Incumbent is unopposed
LA-5	Julia Letlow		2021	1st			N/A	30.1%
LA-5	Oscar Dantzler Julia Letlow*
LA-6	Garret Graves		2015	4th			N/A	34.3%
LA-6	Brian Belzer Garret Graves* Rufus Craig
MA-1	Richard Neal		1989	17th			N/A	22.1%
MA-1	Richard Neal* Dean Martilli
MA-2	James McGovern		1997	13th			N/A	31.4%
MA-2	Jim McGovern* Jeffrey Sossa-Paquette
MA-3	Lori Trahan		2019	2nd			N/A	28.0%
MA-3	Lori Trahan* Dean Tran
MA-4	Jake Auchincloss		2021	1st			N/A	29.0%
MA-4	Incumbent is unopposed
MA-5	Katherine Clark		2013	5th			N/A	52.0%
MA-5	Katherine Clark* Caroline Colarusso
MA-6	Seth Moulton		2015	4th			N/A	28.1%
MA-6	Seth Moulton* Bob May
MA-7	Ayanna Pressley		2019	2nd			N/A	73.4%
MA-7	Ayanna Pressley* Donnie Palmer
MA-8	Stephen Lynch		2001	11th			N/A	36.1%
MA-8	Stephen Lynch* Robert Burke
MA-9	William Keating		2011	6th			N/A	18.4%
MA-9	Bill Keating* Jesse Brown
MD-1	Andrew Harris		2011	6th			N/A	14.7%
MD-1	Heather Mizeur Andy Harris*
MD-2	C. A. Dutch Ruppersberger		2003	10th			N/A	21.3%
MD-2	Dutch Ruppersberger* Nicolee Ambrose
MD-3	John Sarbanes		2007	8th			N/A	26.4%
MD-3	John Sarbanes* Yuripzy Morgan
MD-4	Anthony Brown		2017	3rd			N/A	82.4%
MD-4	Retiring to run for Attorney General Glenn Ivey Jeff Warner
MD-5	Steny Hoyer		1981	21st			N/A	37.2%
MD-5	Steny Hoyer* Chris Palombi
MD-7	Kweisi Mfume		2020	2nd			N/A	64.4%
MD-7	Kweisi Mfume* Scott Collier
MD-8	Jamie Raskin		2017	3rd			N/A	63.6%
MD-8	Jamie Raskin* Gregory Coll
ME-1	Chellie Pingree		2009	7th			N/A	22.8%
ME-1	Chellie Pingree* Ed Thelander
MI-1	Jack Bergman		2017	3rd			N/A	20.6%
MI-1	Bob Lorinser Jack Bergman*
MI-2	John Moolenaar		2015	4th			N/A	28.9%
MI-2	Jerry Hilliard John Moolenaar*
MI-4	Bill Huizenga		2011	6th			N/A	4.0%
MI-4	Joseph Alfonso Bill Huizenga*
MI-5	Tim Walberg		2011	6th			N/A	24.6%
MI-5	Bart Goldberg Tim Walberg*
MI-6	Debbie Dingell		2015	4th			N/A	27.2%
MI-6	Debbie Dingell* Whittney Williams
MI-9	Lisa McClain		2021	1st			N/A	30.0%
MI-9	Brian Jaye Lisa McClain*
MI-11	Haley Stevens		2019	2nd			N/A	20.1%
MI-11	Defeated Rep. Andy Levin (current MI-9) in primary Haley Stevens* Mark Ambrose
MI-12	Rashida Tlaib		2019	2nd			N/A	49.1%
MI-12	Rashida Tlaib* Steven Elliott
MI-13	Brenda Lawrence		2015	4th			N/A	50.6%
MI-13	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022. Shri Thanedar Martell Bivings
MN-3	Dean Phillips		2019	2nd			N/A	21.4%
MN-3	Dean Phillips* Tom Weiler
MN-4	Betty McCollum		2001	11th			N/A	38.6%
MN-4	Betty McCollum* May Xiong
MN-5	Ilhan Omar		2019	2nd			N/A	64.4%
MN-5	Ilhan Omar* Cicely Davis
MN-6	Tom Emmer		2015	4th			N/A	18.0%
MN-6	Jeanne Hendricks Tom Emmer*
MN-7	Michelle Fischbach		2021	1st			N/A	33.8%
MN-7	Jill Abahsain Michelle Fischbach*
MN-8	Pete Stauber		2019	2nd			N/A	11.5%
MN-8	Jen Schultz Pete Stauber*
MO-1	Cori Bush		2021	1st			N/A	59.4%
MO-1	Cori Bush* Andrew Jones
MO-2	Ann Wagner		2013	5th			N/A	7.8%
MO-2	Trish Gunby Ann Wagner*
MO-3	Blaine Luetkemeyer		2009	7th			N/A	26.6%
MO-3	Bethany Mann Blaine Luetkemeyer*
MO-4	Vicky Hartzler		2011	6th			N/A	40.4%
MO-4	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Jack Truman Mark Alford
MO-5	Emanuel Cleaver		2005	9th			N/A	26.9%
MO-5	Emanuel Cleaver* Jacob Turk
MO-6	Sam Graves		2001	11th			N/A	37.7%
MO-6	Henry Martin Sam Graves*
MO-7	Billy Long		2011	6th			N/A	42.2%
MO-7	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Kristen Radaker-Sheafer Eric Burlison
MO-8	Jason Smith		2013	5th			N/A	52.1%
MO-8	Randi McCallian Jason Smith*
MS-1	Trent Kelly		2015	4th			N/A	32.1%
MS-1	Dianne Black Trent Kelly*
MS-2	Bennie Thompson		1993	15th			N/A	26.1%
MS-2	Bennie Thompson* Brian Flowers
MS-3	Michael Guest		2019	2nd			N/A	24.7%
MS-3	Shuwaski Young Michael Guest*
MS-4	Steven Palazzo		2011	6th			N/A	39.1%
MS-4	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2022 election. Johnny DuPree Mike Ezell
MT-2	Matt Rosendale		2021	1st			N/A	27.5%
MT-2	Penny Ronning Matt Rosendale*
NC-2	Deborah Ross		2021	1st			N/A	29.3%
NC-2	Deborah Ross* Christine Villaverde
NC-3	Greg Murphy		2019	2nd			N/A	24.7%
NC-3	Barbara Gaskins Greg Murphy*
NC-4	David Price		1997	13th			N/A	35.5%
NC-4	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022. Valerie Foushee Courtney Geels
NC-5	Virginia Foxx		2005	9th			N/A	21.5%
NC-5	Kyle Parrish Virginia Foxx*
NC-7	David Rouzer		2015	4th			N/A	11.3%
NC-7	Charles Graham David Rouzer*
NC-8	Dan Bishop		2019	2nd			N/A	34.5%
NC-8	Scott Huffman Dan Bishop*
NC-9	Richard Hudson		2013	5th			N/A	8.1%
NC-9	Ben Clark Richard Hudson*
NC-10	Patrick McHenry		2005	9th			N/A	40.0%
NC-10	Pam Genant Patrick McHenry*
NC-11	Madison Cawthorn		2021	1st			N/A	10.3%
NC-11	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2022 election. Jasmine Beach-Ferrara Chuck Edwards
NC-12	Alma Adams		2014	5th			N/A	30.6%
NC-12	Alma Adams* Tyler Lee
ND-AL	Kelly Armstrong		2019	2nd			41.4%	33.6%
ND-AL	Kelly Armstrong* Cara Mund
NE-1	Mike Flood		2022	1st			N/A	11.2%
NE-1	Patty Brooks Mike Flood*
NE-3	Adrian Smith		2007	8th			N/A	52.9%
NE-3	David Else Adrian Smith*
NJ-1	Donald Norcross		2014	5th			N/A	24.8%
NJ-1	Donald Norcross* Claire Gustafson
NJ-2	Jeff Van Drew		2019	2nd			N/A	5.0%
NJ-2	Tim Alexander Jeff Van Drew*
NJ-4	Chris Smith		1981	21st			N/A	22.6%
NJ-4	Matthew Jenkins Chris Smith*
NJ-6	Frank Pallone		1988	18th			N/A	19.6%
NJ-6	Frank Pallone* Susan Kiley
NJ-8	Albio Sires		2006	9th			N/A	47.0%
NJ-8	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022. Robert Menendez Marcos Arroyo
NJ-9	Bill Pascrell		1997	13th			N/A	18.8%
NJ-9	Bill Pascrell* Billy Prempeh
NJ-10	Donald Payne		2012	6th			N/A	61.1%
NJ-10	Donald Payne* David Pinckney
NJ-12	Bonnie Coleman		2015	4th			N/A	34.8%
NJ-12	Bonnie Coleman* Darius Mayfield
NV-2	Marc Amodei		2011	6th			N/A	11.3%
NV-2	Elizabeth Krause Mark Amodei*
NY-5	Gregory Meeks		1998	13th			N/A	65.2%
NY-5	Gregory Meeks* Paul King
NY-6	Grace Meng		2013	5th			N/A	30.6%
NY-6	Grace Meng* Tom Zmich
NY-7	Nydia Velazquez		1993	15th			N/A	63.1%
NY-7	Nydia Velazquez* Juan Pagan
NY-8	Hakeem Jeffries		2013	5th			N/A	54.1%
NY-8	Hakeem Jeffries* Yuri Dashevsky
NY-9	Yvette Clarke		2007	8th			N/A	51.8%
NY-9	Yvette Clarke* Menachem Raitport
NY-10	Mondaire Jones		2021	1st			N/A	72.0%
NY-10	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2022 election. Dan Goldman Benine Hamdan
NY-12	Jerrold Nadler		1992	16th			N/A	72.1%
NY-12	Defeated Rep. Carolyn Maloney in primary Jerrold Nadler* Michael Zumbluskas
NY-13	Adriano Espaillat		2017	3rd			N/A	77.7%
NY-13	Incumbent is unopposed
NY-14	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez		2019	2nd			N/A	57.9%
NY-14	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez* Tina Forte
NY-15	Ritchie Torres		2021	1st			N/A	70.4%
NY-15	Ritchie Torres* Stylo Sapaskis
NY-16	Jamaal Bowman		2021	1st			N/A	44.1%
NY-16	Jamaal Bowman* Miriam Flisser
NY-20	Paul Tonko		2009	7th			N/A	19.6%
NY-20	Paul Tonko* Elizabeth Joy
NY-21	Elise Stefanik		2015	4th			N/A	12.6%
NY-21	Matt Castelli Elise Stefanik*
NY-23	Joe Sempolinski		2022	1st			N/A	17.7%
NY-23	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022. Max Della Pia Nick Langworthy
NY-24	Claudia Tenney		2021	1st			N/A	17.6%
NY-24	Steven Holden Claudia Tenney*
NY-26	Brian Higgins		2005	9th			N/A	23.8%
NY-26	Brian Higgins* Steven Sams
OH-2	Brad Wenstrup		2013	5th			N/A	46.0%
OH-2	Samantha Meadows Brad Wenstrup*
OH-3	Joyce Beatty		2013	5th			N/A	44.4%
OH-3	Joyce Beatty* Lee Stahley
OH-4	Jim Jordan		2007	8th			N/A	36.2%
OH-4	Tamie Wilson Jim Jordan*
OH-5	Bob Latta		2007	8th			N/A	27.5%
OH-5	Craig Swartz Bob Latta*
OH-6	Bill Johnson		2011	6th			N/A	29.1%
OH-6	Louis Lyras Bill Johnson*
OH-7	Bob Gibbs		2011	6th			N/A	9.6%
OH-7	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022. Matthew Diemer Max Miller
OH-8	Warren Davidson		2016	4th			N/A	22.4%
OH-8	Vanessa Enoch Warren Davidson*
OH-10	Michael Turner		2003	10th			N/A	3.6%
OH-10	David Esrati Michael Turner*
OH-11	Shontel Brown		2021	1st			N/A	58.5%
OH-11	Shontel Brown* Eric Brewer
OH-12	Troy Balderson		2018	3rd			N/A	31.3%
OH-12	Amy Rippel-Elton Troy Balderson*
OH-14	David Joyce		2013	5th			N/A	15.2%
OH-14	Matt Kilboy David Joyce*
OH-15	Mike Carey		2021	1st			N/A	6.8%
OH-15	Gary Josephson Mike Carey*
OK-1	Kevin Hern		2018	3rd			N/A	24.1%
OK-1	Adam Martin Kevin Hern*
OK-2	Markwayne Mullin		2013	5th			N/A	54.3%
OK-2	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Naomi Andrews Josh Brecheen
OK-3	Frank Lucas		1994	15th			N/A	43.9%
OK-3	Jeremiah Ross Frank Lucas*
OK-4	Tom Cole		2003	10th			N/A	31.7%
OK-4	Mary Brannon Tom Cole*
OK-5	Stephanie Bice		2021	1st			N/A	18.8%
OK-5	Joshua Harris-Till Stephanie Bice*
OR-1	Suzanne Bonamici		2012	6th			N/A	39.3%
OR-1	Suzanne Bonamici* Christopher Mann
OR-2	Cliff Bentz		2021	1st			N/A	24.4%
OR-2	Joe Yetter Cliff Bentz*
OR-3	Earl Blumenauer		1996	14th			N/A	47.3%
OR-3	Earl Blumenauer* Joanna Harbour
PA-2	Brendan Boyle		2015	4th			N/A	43.0%
PA-2	Brendan Boyle* Aaron Bashir
PA-3	Dwight Evans		2016	4th			N/A	81.3%
PA-3	Dwight Evans* Christopher Hoeppner
PA-4	Madeleine Dean		2019	2nd			N/A	19.1%
PA-4	Madeleine Dean* Christian Nascimento
PA-5	Mary Gay Scanlon		2018	3rd			N/A	32.6%
PA-5	Mary Gay Scanlon* David Galluch
PA-9	Dan Meuser		2019	2nd			N/A	37.0%
PA-9	Amanda Waldman Dan Meuser*
PA-10	Scott Perry		2013	5th			N/A	4.2%
PA-10	Shamaine Daniels Scott Perry*
PA-11	Lloyd Smucker		2017	3rd			N/A	21.6%
PA-11	Bob Hollister Lloyd Smucker*
PA-13	John Joyce		2019	2nd			N/A	45.8%
PA-13	Incumbent is unopposed
PA-14	Guy Reschenthaler		2019	2nd			N/A	31.8%
PA-14	Incumbent is unopposed
PA-15	Glenn Thompson		2009	7th			N/A	37.5%
PA-15	Incumbent is unopposed
PA-16	Mike Kelly		2011	6th			N/A	21.0%
PA-16	Dan Pastore George Kelly*
RI-1	David Cicilline		2011	6th			N/A	29.5%
RI-1	David Cicilline* Allen Waters
SC-1	Nancy Mace		2021	1st			N/A	9.1%
SC-1	Annie Andrews Nancy Mace*
SC-2	Joe Wilson		2001	11th			N/A	10.8%
SC-2	Juddson Larkins Joe Wilson*
SC-3	Jeff Duncan		2011	6th			N/A	38.0%
SC-3	Incumbent is unopposed
SC-4	William Timmons		2019	2nd			N/A	18.9%
SC-4	Incumbent is unopposed
SC-5	Ralph Norman		2017	3rd			N/A	18.3%
SC-5	Evangeline Hundley Ralph Norman*
SC-6	James Clyburn		1993	15th			N/A	32.4%
SC-6	James Clyburn* Duke Buckner
SC-7	Tom Rice		2013	5th			N/A	17.3%
SC-7	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2022 election. Daryl Scott Russell Fry
SD-AL	Dusty Johnson		2019	2nd			80.9%	26.2%
SD-AL	Dusty Johnson* Collin Duprel
TN-1	Diana Harshbarger		2021	1st			N/A	55.2%
TN-1	Cameron Parsons Diana Harshbarger*
TN-2	Tim Burchett		2019	2nd			N/A	29.8%
TN-2	Mark Harmon Tim Burchett*
TN-3	Chuck Fleischmann		2011	6th			N/A	32.5%
TN-3	Meg Gorman Chuck Fleischmann*
TN-4	Scott DesJarlais		2011	6th			N/A	38.4%
TN-4	Wayne Steele Scott DesJarlais*
TN-6	John Rose		2019	2nd			N/A	29.4%
TN-6	Randal Cooper John Rose*
TN-7	Mark Green		2019	2nd			N/A	15.3%
TN-7	Odessa Kelly Mark Green*
TN-8	David Kustoff		2017	3rd			N/A	37.6%
TN-8	Lynnette Williams David Kustoff*
TN-9	Steve Cohen		2007	8th			N/A	49.1%
TN-9	Steve Cohen* Charlotte Bergmann
TX-1	Louie Gohmert		2005	9th			N/A	46.4%
TX-1	Retiring to run for Attorney General Jrmar Jefferson Nathaniel Moran
TX-2	Dan Crenshaw		2019	2nd			N/A	23.0%
TX-2	Robin Fulford Dan Crenshaw*
TX-3	Van Taylor		2019	2nd			N/A	14.6%
TX-3	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022. Sandeep Srivastava Keith Self
TX-4	Pat Fallon		2021	1st			N/A	26.4%
TX-4	Iro Omere Pat Fallon*
TX-5	Lance Gooden		2019	2nd			N/A	22.8%
TX-5	Tartisha Hill Lance Gooden*
TX-6	Jake Ellzey		2021	1st			N/A	24.2%
TX-6	Incumbent is unopposed
TX-7	Lizzie Fletcher		2019	2nd			N/A	30.1%
TX-7	Lizzie Fletcher* Johnny Teague
TX-8	Kevin Brady		1997	13th			N/A	27.5%
TX-8	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022. Laura Jones Morgan Luttrell
TX-9	Al Green		2005	9th			N/A	54.0%
TX-9	Al Green* Jimmy Leon
TX-10	Michael McCaul		2005	9th			N/A	19.1%
TX-10	Linda Nuno Michael McCaul*
TX-11	August Pfluger		2021	1st			N/A	41.2%
TX-11	Incumbent is unopposed
TX-12	Kay Granger		1997	13th			N/A	18.4%
TX-12	Trey Hunt Kay Granger*
TX-13	Ronny Jackson		2021	1st			N/A	46.3%
TX-13	Kathleen Brown Ronny Jackson*
TX-14	Randy Weber		2013	5th			N/A	29.0%
TX-14	Mikal Williams Randy Weber*
TX-16	Veronica Escobar		2019	2nd			N/A	36.1%
TX-16	Veronica Escobar* Irene Armendariz-Jackson
TX-17	Pete Sessions		2021	1st			N/A	23.1%
TX-17	Mary Jo Woods Pete Sessions*
TX-18	Sheila Jackson Lee		1995	14th			N/A	49.3%
TX-18	Shelia Jackson Lee* Carmen Montiel
TX-19	Jodey Arrington		2017	3rd			N/A	47.0%
TX-19	Jodey Arrington* Nathan Lewis
TX-20	Joaquin Castro		2013	5th			N/A	33.6%
TX-20	Joaquin Castro* Kyle Sinclair
TX-21	Chip Roy		2019	2nd			N/A	20.0%
TX-21	Claudia Zapata Chip Roy*
TX-22	Troy Nehls		2021	1st			N/A	16.0%
TX-22	Jamie Jordan Troy Nehls*
TX-23	Tony Gonzales		2021	1st			N/A	6.9%
TX-23	John Lira Tony Gonzales*
TX-24	Beth Van Duyne		2021	1st			N/A	12.1%
TX-24	Jan McDowell Beth Van Duyne*
TX-25	Roger Williams		2013	5th			N/A	31.6%
TX-25	Incumbent is unopposed
TX-26	Michael Burgess		2003	10th			N/A	18.8%
TX-26	Michael Burgess* Mike Kolls
TX-27	Michael Cloud		2018	3rd			N/A	22.7%
TX-27	Maclovio Perez Michael Cloud*
TX-29	Sylvia Garcia		2019	2nd			N/A	37.2%
TX-29	Sylvia Garcia* Robert Schafranek
TX-30	Eddie Johnson		1993	15th			N/A	57.4%
TX-30	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022. Jasmine Crockett James Rodgers
TX-31	John Carter		2003	10th			N/A	20.4%
TX-31	Incumbent is unopposed
TX-32	Colin Allred		2019	2nd			N/A	33.3%
TX-32	Colin Allred* Antonio Swad
TX-33	Marc Veasey		2013	5th			N/A	50.8%
TX-33	Marc Veasey* Patrick Gillespie
TX-35	OPEN						N/A	46.0%
TX-35	Greg Casar Dan McQueen
TX-36	Brian Babin		2015	4th			N/A	32.0%
TX-36	Jon Haire Brian Babin*
TX-37	Lloyd Doggett		1995	14th			N/A	53.8%
TX-37	Lloyd Doggett* Jenny Sharon
TX-38	OPEN						N/A	18.4%
TX-38	Duncan Klussmann Wesley Hunt
UT-1	Blake Moore		2021	1st			N/A	20.5%
UT-1	Rick Jones Blake Moore*
UT-2	Chris Stewart		2013	5th			N/A	17.8%
UT-2	Nick Mitchell Chris Stewart*
UT-3	John Curtis		2017	3rd			N/A	20.4%
UT-3	Glenn Wright John Curtis*
UT-4	Burgess Owens		2021	1st			N/A	27.1%
UT-4	Darlene McDonald Burgess Owens*
VA-1	Rob Wittman		2007	8th			N/A	4.1%
VA-1	Herb Jones Rob Wittman*
VA-3	Bobby Scott		1993	15th			N/A	41.0%
VA-3	Bobby Scott* Terry Namkung
VA-4	OPEN						N/A	36.5%
VA-4	Don McEachin* Leon Benjamin
VA-5	Bob Good		2021	1st			N/A	8.4%
VA-5	Josh Throneburg Bob Good*
VA-6	Ben Cline		2019	2nd			N/A	22.5%
VA-6	Jennifer Lewis Ben Cline*
VA-8	Don Beyer		2015	4th			N/A	56.7%
VA-8	Don Beyer* Karina Lipsman
VA-9	Morgan Griffith		2011	6th			N/A	42.5%
VA-9	Taysha DeVaughan Morgan Griffith*
VA-11	Gerry Connolly		2009	7th			N/A	41.9%
VA-11	Gerry Connolly* Jim Myles
VT-AL	Peter Welch		2007	8th			40.2%	35.6%
VT-AL	Retiring to run for U.S. Senate Becca Balint Liam Madden
WA-1	Suzan DelBene		2012	6th			N/A	31.6%
WA-1	Suzan DelBene* Vincent Cavaleri
WA-2	Rick Larsen		2001	11th			N/A	22.5%
WA-2	Rick Larsen* Dan Matthews
WA-4	Dan Newhouse		2015	4th			N/A	17.4%
WA-4	Doug White Dan Newhouse*
WA-5	Cathy McMorris Rodgers		2005	9th			N/A	10.3%
WA-5	Natasha Hill Cathy McMorris Rodgers*
WA-7	Pramila Jayapal		2017	3rd			N/A	77.4%
WA-7	Pramila Jayapal* Cliff Moon
WA-9	Adam Smith		1997	13th			N/A	46.1%
WA-9	Adam Smith* Doug Basler
WA-10	Marilyn Strickland		2021	1st			N/A	18.3%
WA-10	Marilyn Strickland* Keith Swank
WI-1	Bryan Steil		2019	2nd			N/A	2.4%
WI-1	Ann Roe Bryan Steil*
WI-2	Mark Pocan		2013	5th			N/A	42.3%
WI-2	Mark Pocan* Erik Olsen
WI-4	Gwen Moore		2005	9th			N/A	53.7%
WI-4	Gwen Moore* Tim Rogers
WI-5	Scott Fitzgerald		2021	1st			N/A	23.2%
WI-5	Mike Van Someren Scott Fitzgerald*
WI-6	Glenn Grothman		2015	4th			N/A	16.1%
WI-6	Incumbent is unopposed
WI-7	Tom Tiffany		2020	2nd			N/A	20.5%
WI-7	Richard Ausman Tom Tiffany*
WI-8	Mike Gallagher		2017	3rd			N/A	15.7%
WI-8	Mike Gallagher* Jacob VandenPlas
WV-1	Carol Miller		2019	2nd			N/A	41.5%
WV-1	Lacy Watson Carol Miller*
WV-2	Alex Mooney		2015	4th			N/A	37.7%
WV-2	Defeated Rep. David McKinley (current WV-1) in primary Barry Wendell Alex Mooney*
WY-AL	Liz Cheney		2017	3rd			43.9%	43.7%
WY-AL	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2022 election. Lynnette Grey Bull Harriet Hageman

^(a)Source: Cook Political Report, 270toWin research. N/A for new district boundaries. In most cases, the margin is the difference between the Democratic and Republican nominee in the November 3, 2020 general election.
^* Uncontested | ⁺ No major party opposition | ^{^} Both nominees from same party | ^x All-party primary
More details on the above exception types >>

President Margin is the percentage difference between Joe Biden and Donald Trump in 2020:
(b) Source: Daily Kos (when available) or Politico; based on 2022 House district boundaries
(c) Source: Daily Kos; based on House district boundaries used in 2020

2022 House Forecast: Consensus Forecast

As of November 7, 2022

Current

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