2022 House Election Forecasts

These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2022 House forecast.

2022 House Forecast: Consensus Forecast

A consensus outlook for the 2022 House elections based on the current ratings of these forecasters. Only districts rated safe by all available forecasts are shown in the darkest shade. You can also view these ratings as a table.

The Current House view on the map shows incumbent members in their current districts. These boundaries will be in effect through 2022. The Interactive and 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable.

Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House forecast.

January 4: CA-21, CA-25, NJ-3, NJ-11 move from Safe to Likely Democratic; MI-4 Safe to Likely Republican; MI-10 Likely to Leans Republican

Crystal Ball 2022 House Ratings

The latest 2022 House ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House forecast.  You can also view these ratings as a table.

The Current House view on the map shows incumbent members in their current districts. These boundaries will be in effect through 2022. The Interactive and 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable

January 4: Initial ratings added for Arizona, California, Georgia, Michigan, New Jersey and Virginia.

Cook Political Report 2022 House Ratings

The latest 2022 House ratings from The Cook Political Report. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House forecast.  You can also view these ratings as a table.

The Current House view on the map shows incumbent members in their current districts. These boundaries will be in effect through 2022. The Interactive and 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable.

December 31: Ratings added for Georgia, Michigan and Virginia. Read the analysis by David Wasserman ($)>>

Inside Elections 2022 House Ratings

The latest 2022 House ratings from Inside Elections. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House forecast.  You can also view these ratings as a table.

The Current House view on the map shows incumbent members in their current districts. These boundaries will be in effect through 2022. The Interactive and 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable.

January 21: Ratings added for Maryland. Read the detailed analysis from Jacob Rubashkin >>

Split Ticket 2022 House Ratings

The latest 2022 House ratings from Split Ticket, a new political content and mapping site founded by #ElectionTwitter veterans @thomas_armin, @HWLavelleMaps, and @lxeagle17

The Current House view on the map shows incumbent members in their current districts. These boundaries will be in effect through 2022. The Interactive and 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable

Use this map to create and share your own 2022 House Election forecast.

January 5: AZ-6 moves from Toss-up to Leans Republican; CA-25 and GA-2 from Safe to Likely Democratic; NC-4 Likely to Safe Republican