2022 House Election Forecasts

These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2022 House forecast.

2022 House Forecast: Consensus Forecast

A consensus outlook for the 2022 House elections based on the current ratings of these forecasters. Only districts rated safe by all available forecasts are shown in the darkest shade. You can also view these ratings as a table.

The Current House view on the map shows incumbent members in their current districts. These boundaries will be in effect through 2022. The Interactive and 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable.

Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House forecast.

May 20: Florida ratings added back as appeals court reinstates enacted map, pending further litigation.

Crystal Ball 2022 House Ratings

The latest 2022 House ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House forecast.  You can also view these ratings as a table.

The Current House view on the map shows incumbent members in their current districts. These boundaries will be in effect through 2022. The Interactive and 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable

May 20: Florida ratings added back as appeals court reinstates enacted map, pending further litigation.

Cook Political Report 2022 House Ratings

The latest 2022 House ratings from The Cook Political Report. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House forecast.  You can also view these ratings as a table.

The Current House view on the map shows incumbent members in their current districts. These boundaries will be in effect through 2022. The Interactive and 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable.

May 19: Missouri and Kansas ratings added. Read the analysis ($)>>

Inside Elections 2022 House Ratings

The latest 2022 House ratings from Inside Elections. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House forecast.  You can also view these ratings as a table.

The Current House view on the map shows incumbent members in their current districts. These boundaries will be in effect through 2022. The Interactive and 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable.

May 20: CA-47, NV-01, NV-04, OR-05 move from Likely to Leans Democratic; CO-03 Likely to Safe Republican; GA-02, IN-01, RI-02 Safe to Likely Democratic; IL-14 Leans to Likely Democratic; NV-03 Leans to Tilt Democratic.

Split Ticket 2022 House Ratings

The latest 2022 House ratings from Split Ticket, a political content and mapping site run by #ElectionTwitter veterans @thomas_armin, @HWLavelleMaps@lxeagle17, and @politicsmaps.  

The Current House view on the map shows incumbent members in their current districts. These boundaries will be in effect through 2022. The Interactive and 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable

Use this map to create and share your own 2022 House Election forecast.

May 20: Missouri ratings added; Florida and Kansas ratings added back after maps reinstated in litigation. CA-26 moves from Safe to Likely Democratic; NV-03, OR-05 Leans Democratic to Toss-up; NJ-05 Likely to Leans Democratic; NJ-07 Leans to Likely Republican; PA-07 Toss-up to Leans Republican.