Sabato's Crystal Ball Updates Election Outlook

October 8, 2020

Sabato's Crystal Ball has updated its 2020 election outlook, making changes to its Electoral College forecast, as well as in races for Senate, House and Governor. 

October 8 update and analysis

Maps of the current Crystal Ball projections follow. (These images will automatically update for any subsequent ratings changes). Click or tap any of them for an interactive version.


President

October 8: Arizona moves from Toss-up to Leans Democratic; Georgia from Leans Republican to Toss-up; New Hampshire from Leans to Likely Democratic.


Senate

October 8:  Georgia (special) and Kansas move from Likely to Leans Republican; Mississippi from Safe to Likely Republican.

 
<

House

October 8:  NH-1, PA-7, PA-8 move from Leans to Likely Democratic; NY-24 from Leans Republican to Toss-up.

 

Governor

October 8:  Vermont moves from Likely to Safe Republican.


comments powered by Disqus

Headlines

Former Iowa Rep. Abby Finkenauer to Run for Senate in 2022

The Democrat hopes to unseat long-time incumbent Republican Sen. Chuck Grassley

Cook Political Updates 2022 Senate Forecast

As the campaign starts to take shape, forecaster sees four races as increasingly competitive

Live Results: Special Elections Across Five State Districts in Alabama, Georgia and Wisconsin

The most closely watched race will be a runoff for a Georgia State House seat in suburban Atlanta

Eric Adams Wins NYC Democratic Mayoral Primary; Poised to be City's Second Black Mayor

With most absentee ballots counted, Adams' one-point margin was enough for the AP and others to call the race

Eric Adams Narrowly Leads NYC Mayoral Race After Latest Ranked Choice Tabulation

Adams has a one point lead over Kathryn Garcia; several thousand absentee ballots remain to be finalized