October 8, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball has updated its 2020 election outlook, making changes to its Electoral College forecast, as well as in races for Senate, House and Governor.
October 8 update and analysis
Maps of the current Crystal Ball projections follow. (These images will automatically update for any subsequent ratings changes). Click or tap any of them for an interactive version.
October 8: Arizona moves from Toss-up to Leans Democratic; Georgia from Leans Republican to Toss-up; New Hampshire from Leans to Likely Democratic.
October 8: Georgia (special) and Kansas move from Likely to Leans Republican; Mississippi from Safe to Likely Republican.
October 8: NH-1, PA-7, PA-8 move from Leans to Likely Democratic; NY-24 from Leans Republican to Toss-up.
October 8: Vermont moves from Likely to Safe Republican.
Highly competitive contests for president and Senate have placed the Peach State front and center for this upcoming election.
The forecaster sees Democrats gaining between five and 15 seats in the 2020 election
After swinging sharply to Donald Trump in 2016, the state is among the most competitive in 2020. A closely-contested Senate race may help determine control of that chamber.
Currently at 233 seats - 218 needed - Democrats have a high probability of retaining control after the 2020 election.
The Sunshine State's competitiveness and large electoral bounty will once again play a pivotal role in the 2020 election.