Sabato's Crystal Ball Updates Election Outlook

October 8, 2020

Sabato's Crystal Ball has updated its 2020 election outlook, making changes to its Electoral College forecast, as well as in races for Senate, House and Governor. 

October 8 update and analysis

Maps of the current Crystal Ball projections follow. (These images will automatically update for any subsequent ratings changes). Click or tap any of them for an interactive version.


President

October 8: Arizona moves from Toss-up to Leans Democratic; Georgia from Leans Republican to Toss-up; New Hampshire from Leans to Likely Democratic.


Senate

October 8:  Georgia (special) and Kansas move from Likely to Leans Republican; Mississippi from Safe to Likely Republican.

 
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House

October 8:  NH-1, PA-7, PA-8 move from Leans to Likely Democratic; NY-24 from Leans Republican to Toss-up.

 

Governor

October 8:  Vermont moves from Likely to Safe Republican.


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