270toWin Redesign

Crystal Ball 2020 Senate Ratings

As of October 3, 2019
The current 2020 Senate race ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Use their map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 Senate forecast.

October 3: Alabama moves from Toss Up to Leans Republican; North Carolina moves from Leans Republican to Toss Up.
no 2020 election
no 2020 election
MA
RI
NJ
DE
 
VP
S

Map Updated: Oct. 3, 2019 at 12:14 UTC (8:14 AM EDT)

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Tossup
         
       

As of Nov. 8, 2019 Details >>

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Senate Elections 2020

Current 47 53
Pro 46 50 4
Forecast

Pro: 2020 Consensus Forecast
Forecast: Totals on interactive map

Upcoming Elections

Jan. 2019 2020 2022^ 2024
45 12 12 21
2 2
53 23 20 10

^ Excludes AZ & GA seats with special elections in 2020

* The arrows on the counter above the map designate the controlling party. To break a tie, use the VP box on the interactive map to select the VP in 2021 (i.e., winning party in 2020 presidential election).

State Incumbent Party Since Term Pro Rating
AL Doug Jones
2018 1st
AZ Martha McSally
2019 1st
CO Cory Gardner
2015 1st
GA Johnny Isakson
2005 3rd
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020.
GA David Perdue
2015 1st
IA Joni Ernst
2015 1st
KS Pat Roberts
1997 4th
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020.
KY Mitch McConnell
1985 6th
ME Angus King
2013 2nd
ME Susan Collins
1997 4th
MI Gary Peters
2015 1st
MN Tina Smith
2018 1st
MS Cindy Hyde-Smith
2018 1st
MT Steve Daines
2015 1st
NC Thom Tillis
2015 1st
NH Jeanne Shaheen
2009 2nd
NM Tom Udall
2009 2nd
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020.
TX John Cornyn
2003 3rd
VA Mark Warner
2009 2nd
VT Bernie Sanders
2007 3rd
The following races are rated as safe for the incumbent party.
AK Lisa Murkowski
2002 4th
AK Dan Sullivan
2015 1st
AL Richard Shelby
1987 6th
AR John Boozman
2011 2nd
AR Tom Cotton
2015 1st
AZ Kyrsten Sinema
2019 1st
CA Kamala Harris
2017 1st
CA Dianne Feinstein
1992 6th
CO Michael Bennet
2009 3rd
CT Richard Blumenthal
2011 2nd
CT Chris Murphy
2013 2nd
DE Tom Carper
2001 4th
DE Christopher Coons
2011 2nd
FL Marco Rubio
2011 2nd
FL Rick Scott
2019 1st
HI Brian Schatz
2012 2nd
HI Mazie Hirono
2013 2nd
IA Chuck Grassley
1981 7th
ID Mike Crapo
1999 4th
ID Jim Risch
2009 2nd
IL Tammy Duckworth
2017 1st
IL Dick Durbin
1997 4th
IN Todd Young
2017 1st
IN Mike Braun
2019 1st
KS Jerry Moran
2011 2nd
KY Rand Paul
2011 2nd
LA John Kennedy
2017 1st
LA Bill Cassidy
2015 1st
MA Elizabeth Warren
2013 2nd
MA Ed Markey
2013 2nd
MD Chris Van Hollen
2017 1st
MD Ben Cardin
2007 3rd
MI Debbie Stabenow
2001 4th
MN Amy Klobuchar
2007 3rd
MO Roy Blunt
2011 2nd
MO Josh Hawley
2019 1st
MS Roger Wicker
2007 3rd
MT Jon Tester
2007 3rd
NC Richard Burr
2005 3rd
ND John Hoeven
2011 2nd
ND Kevin Cramer
2019 1st
NE Deb Fischer
2013 2nd
NE Ben Sasse
2015 1st
NH Maggie Hassan
2017 1st
NJ Bob Menendez
2006 4th
NJ Cory Booker
2013 2nd
NM Martin Heinrich
2013 2nd
NV Catherine Masto
2017 1st
NV Jacky Rosen
2019 1st
NY Chuck Schumer
1999 4th
NY Kirsten Gillibrand
2009 3rd
OH Rob Portman
2011 2nd
OH Sherrod Brown
2007 3rd
OK James Lankford
2015 2nd
OK Jim Inhofe
1995 5th
OR Ron Wyden
1996 5th
OR Jeff Merkley
2009 2nd
PA Patrick Toomey
2011 2nd
PA Bob Casey
2007 3rd
RI Sheldon Whitehouse
2007 3rd
RI Jack Reed
1997 4th
SC Tim Scott
2013 2nd
SC Lindsey Graham
2003 3rd
SD John Thune
2005 3rd
SD Mike Rounds
2015 1st
TN Marsha Blackburn
2019 1st
TN Lamar Alexander
2003 3rd
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020.
TX Ted Cruz
2013 2nd
UT Mike Lee
2011 2nd
UT Mitt Romney
2019 1st
VA Tim Kaine
2013 2nd
VT Patrick Leahy
1975 8th
WA Patty Murray
1993 5th
WA Maria Cantwell
2001 4th
WI Ron Johnson
2011 2nd
WI Tammy Baldwin
2013 2nd
WV Joe Manchin
2011 3rd
WV Shelley Capito
2015 1st
WY John Barrasso
2007 3rd
WY Mike Enzi
1997 4th
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020.