U.S. News 2024 Presidential Ratings

As of January 2, 2024

The current 2024 presidential election ratings from Louis Jacobson for U.S. News. Jacobson is a senior correspondent with PolitiFact and senior author of the Almanac of American Politics 2024.

As a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024. Use the buttons above the map to see what has changed.

The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.

January 2: Michigan moves from Leans Democratic to Toss-up. Read the analysis >

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Trump’s Tax Cuts Are on the Line

“The 2017 Trump tax cuts are on the line in the election this year, with Republicans...

Trump’s Campaign Is Bankruptcy Protection

Edward Luce: “The obvious cure for Trump’s business woes is to recapture the...

Reporters Still Aren’t Covering Trump Properly

Brian Beutler: “Reporters are habituated to the fact that Trump’s base doesn’t...

Trump Holds Small Lead in North Carolina

A new Emerson College/The Hill survey of North Carolina voters finds Donald Trump...

Trump Ahead in Georgia

A new Emerson College/The Hill survey in Georgia finds Donald Trump leading Joe Biden...


Overview and Live Results: Milwaukee Mayoral Primary

February 20, 2024

Mayor Cavalier Johnson is seeking reelection to a full four-year term

Overview and Live Results: Special Election Tuesday to Fill the Congressional Seat Held by George Santos

February 13, 2024

Several legislative special elections are also being held Tuesday

Wisconsin Republican Rep. Mike Gallagher Won't Seek Reelection

February 10, 2024

The move comes just days after he bucked his party, voting against the impeachment of Homeland Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas

Rosendale to Run for Senate in Montana; Hogan Announces Candidacy in Maryland

February 9, 2024

Both have an uphill challenge - Rosendale is not the candidate favored by his party, while Hogan would face a difficult general election in a deep blue state

High-Ranking Republican Cathy McMorris Rodgers Will Not Seek Reelection

February 8, 2024

Now in her 10th term, she chairs the House Energy Committee