U.S. News 2024 Presidential Ratings

As of June 18, 2024

The current 2024 presidential election ratings from Louis Jacobson for U.S. News. Jacobson is the chief correspondent with PolitiFact and senior author of the Almanac of American Politics 2024.

As a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024. Use the buttons above the map to see what has changed.

The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.

June 18: Maine moves from Likely to Safe Democratic; Minnesota and Virginia Likely to Leans Democratic; New Mexico Safe to Likely Democratic; Ohio Likely to Safe Republican. Read the analysis >

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Electoral Maps: Compare the Consensus Forecast to Polling

July 6, 2024

A side-by-side look at how the experts see the November, 2024 presidential election and what the polls currently show.

Live Results: Wisconsin State Senate Special Primary

July 2, 2024

Begins the process of filling the vacancy in this Milwaukee area seat

Republican Michael Rulli, Winner of Ohio Special Election, Sworn in to Congress

June 26, 2024

The GOP partisan advantage expanded to 219-213 with Tuesday's ceremony; the party also won a special election in Colorado

Overview and Live Results: Colorado, New York, Utah Primaries; South Carolina Runoffs

June 25, 2024

Jamaal Bowman (NY-16) may become the first Democratic U.S. House incumbent ousted in a primary this year

Update: Virginia Congressional District 5 Republican Primary

June 21, 2024

Having alienated both Donald Trump and supporters of Kevin McCarthy, Freedom Caucus Chair Bob Good is at risk of losing his seat