2016 Election Competitive States

As of November 5th
The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election as a Trump vs. Clinton forecast. To create a 2020 map, visit the home page or begin editing below.

These are the states where the 2016 election is most like to be won or lost, based on a combination of polling and professional forecasts. For the map based just on polling, including a break out of states leaning toward one nominee, see the electoral map based on polls.  To see a map based just on pro forecasts, see the consensus pundit map. For our view, see the 270toWin State of the Race map.

As the election draws near, these various maps should converge on roughly the same prediction.

 

no 2016 election
no 2016 election
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map Updated: Jul. 7, 2017 at 16:32 UTC (12:32 PM EDT)

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Tossup 3P
           
       
State District
1 2 3
ME
NE

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Headlines

Rep. Mark Meadows Resigns to Become White House Chief of Staff

March 30, 2020

There are now six vacancies; Democrats control the body with 232 seats

The Road to 270: Rhode Island

March 30, 2020

The Ocean State is the 20th in our series leading up to the 2020 presidential election.

New York Moves Primary to June 23; Majority of Remaining Delegates Now to be Allocated that Month

March 28, 2020

The previously scheduled date - April 28 - was to have been the 2nd busiest day on the 2020 Democratic calendar

The Road to 270: Kansas

March 23, 2020

For the 19th in our series, we look at The Sunflower State, the political and demographic sister state to Nebraska, which we covered last week.

Tulsi Gabbard Suspends Campaign; Endorses Joe Biden

March 19, 2020

A historically large Democratic field is now down to Biden and Bernie Sanders

Turnout in the 2020 Democratic Primary: Some Clues for the Fall

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The Cleaner “Smoke-Filled Room”

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Democratic Delegate Count Update

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