2016 Election Competitive States

As of November 5th

These are the states where the 2016 election is most like to be won or lost, based on a combination of polling and professional forecasts. For the map based just on polling, including a break out of states leaning toward one nominee, see the electoral map based on polls.  To see a map based just on pro forecasts, see the consensus pundit map. For our view, see the 270toWin State of the Race map.

As the election draws near, these various maps should converge on roughly the same prediction.

 

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election as a Trump vs. Clinton forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2016 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2024 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2024 electoral votes will display)
no 2016 election
no 2016 election
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
State District
1 2 3
ME
NE

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Headlines

Live Results: Alabama State House Special Election

March 26, 2024

Democrats will try and flip one of the few competitive legislative districts in the state

Joe Biden Wins Missouri Democratic Primary

March 26, 2024

The party-run primary this past Saturday adds over 60 delegates to the president's total

Live Results: Louisiana Presidential Primary

March 23, 2024

Presumptive nominees Trump and Biden expected to pad their insurmountable delegate leads

Overview and Live Results: Illinois and Ohio Primaries

March 18, 2024

The marquee race is the Republican primary for Senate in Ohio. The winner will face Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown, who is seeking his 4th term.

Northern Mariana Islands Republican Caucus

March 14, 2024

The territory holds the first GOP contest since Donald Trump clinched the nomination