2016 Election Competitive States

As of November 5th

These are the states where the 2016 election is most like to be won or lost, based on a combination of polling and professional forecasts. For the map based just on polling, including a break out of states leaning toward one nominee, see the electoral map based on polls.  To see a map based just on pro forecasts, see the consensus pundit map. For our view, see the 270toWin State of the Race map.

As the election draws near, these various maps should converge on roughly the same prediction.

 

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election as a Trump vs. Clinton forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2016 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2024 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2024 electoral votes will display)
no 2016 election
no 2016 election
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
           
       
State District
1 2 3
ME
NE

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Headlines

Florida Court of Appeals Reinstates Previously Enacted Redistricting Map

May 20, 2022

Further litigation, in front of the Florida Supreme Court, is likely

Redistricting Update: Kansas and Missouri Plans Finalized; Added to Interactive Map

May 19, 2022

The remaining states of Florida, New Hampshire, and New York should be resolved within the next few weeks, if not sooner

Live Results: Primary Day in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Oregon, Idaho, and Kentucky

May 17, 2022

The largest primary day thus far in 2022 contains a number of interesting races for Senate, Governor, and House

Live Results: May 17 Legislative Special Elections

May 17, 2022

Voters will fill vacancies in Pennsylvania and South Carolina, while voters in Oregon will choose nominees for a State Senate opening

Live Results: Mayoral Primaries in Charlotte, Greensboro, Lexington, and Louisville

May 17, 2022

Voters in four of the nation's 100 largest cities will select nominees

The Battle for State Legislatures

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Notes on the State of Politics: May 18, 2022

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