2016 Election Competitive States

As of November 5th

These are the states where the 2016 election is most like to be won or lost, based on a combination of polling and professional forecasts. For the map based just on polling, including a break out of states leaning toward one nominee, see the electoral map based on polls.  To see a map based just on pro forecasts, see the consensus pundit map. For our view, see the 270toWin State of the Race map.

As the election draws near, these various maps should converge on roughly the same prediction.

 

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election as a Trump vs. Clinton forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2016 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2024 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2024 electoral votes will display)
no 2016 election
no 2016 election
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
           
       
State District
1 2 3
ME
NE

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Headlines

Overview and Live Results: Georgia Senate Runoff Election

December 6, 2022

The final election of 2022 will determine whether the Senate remains evenly divided, or Democrats hold a two seat majority in 2023

Georgia Runoff Polls Show Warnock Narrowly Ahead of Walker

December 2, 2022

Polling for the December 6 runoff has been consistent, with Warnock slightly ahead

Sen. Mike Braun to Run for Indiana Governor in 2024

November 30, 2022

The freshman Republican will attempt to succeed termed-out Gov. Eric Holcomb

Virginia Democratic Rep. Donald McEachin Dies at 61

November 29, 2022

He had been elected to a fourth term in Congress earlier this month

Alaska Ranked Choice Runoff Results

November 23, 2022

The tabulation will determine winners in the U.S. Senate and U.S. House races

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Georgia Runoff to Leans Democratic

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