2016 Election: Clinton vs. Trump
This isn’t a popularity contest™
This is the final pre-election polling map. See the State Winners Map for who actually won each state. This map tracks the electoral vote count for the 2016 presidential election primarily based on recent polling. You can see how the map has changed over time. For more information and individual poll results, see the polling averages page.
Close states (poll difference between Clinton and Trump averaging 5 points or less) are shown as toss up (tan). Leaning states (5-10 points) are a lighter blue/red. Darker blue/red states are averaging a spread of greater than 10 points.
VT |
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NH |
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MA |
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RI |
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CT |
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NJ |
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DE |
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MD |
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DC |
Map :
A Dead Heat in the Battlegrounds
Democrats Shift to a Simpler Message
Republicans Are Already Souring on J.D. Vance
Kamala Harris Erases Trump’s Lead
Trump to Hold Rally Where Assassination Attempt Failed
Headlines
Polling Map for Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Polls are still limited for the nascent general election match-up, but will become more plentiful in the weeks ahead
Updating the 270toWin Website After Biden's Withdrawal
The site will be updated with tools to reflect an expected contest with Vice President Harris as the Democratic nominee
Update on U.S. House Vacancies
The death of Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee created a third open seat; Republicans hold a 220-212 partisan edge
Live Results: New Jersey 10th Congressional District Special Primary
The winner of the September 18 special election will complete the term of the late Donald Payne Jr.
Introducing the 2024 Presidential Election Simulator
Run a simulated Biden - Trump election or view the results of 25,000 daily simulations
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