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National, Early State Polling Averages as of 4th Democratic Debate

2016 Election: Clinton vs. Trump

This isn't a popularity contest™
The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election as a Trump vs. Clinton forecast. To create a 2020 map, visit the home page or begin editing below.

This is the final pre-election polling map. See the State Winners Map for who actually won each state. This map tracks the electoral vote count for the 2016 presidential election primarily based on recent polling. You can see how the map has changed over time. For more information and individual poll results, see the polling averages page. 

Close states (poll difference between Clinton and Trump averaging 5 points or less) are shown as toss up (tan). Leaning states (5-10 points) are a lighter blue/red. Darker blue/red states are averaging a spread of greater than 10 points.

Map Features | Pundit Forecasts | Historical Elections Timeline

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As of Sep. 30, 2019 Details >>
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC
District 1 2 3
ME 2 1 1
NE 2 1 1 1
Split Electoral Votes
Map Updated: Jul. 7, 2017 at 16:25 UTC (12:25 PM EDT)

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Headlines

National, Early State Polling Averages as of 4th Democratic Debate

Nationally, Biden maintains a small lead over Warren but trails her in Iowa and New Hampshire

Louisiana Gubernatorial Race Moves to Runoff Election

Incumbent Gov. John Bel Edwards finished with the most votes, but was short of the 50% needed to avoid runoff

Election for Governor of Louisiana: Overview and Results

Incumbent Democrat John Bel Edwards is seeking a 2nd term. He needs a majority of the vote to avoid a November runoff

Dates Announced for General Election Presidential Debates

Three debates will be held, along with one between nominees for the vice-presidency

Last in, First Out? Gabbard Threatens Debate Boycott

The congresswoman from Hawaii was the final qualifier for next Tuesday's debate


About this Site
270towin.com is an interactive Electoral College map for 2020 and a history of Presidential elections in the United States. Since electoral votes are generally allocated on an "all or none" basis by state, the election of a U.S President is about winning the popular vote in enough states to achieve 270 electoral votes, a majority of the 538 that are available. Receiving the most votes nationwide is irrelevant, as we have seen in two of the most recent five presidential elections where the electoral vote winner and the popular vote winner were different.
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