2016 Election: Clinton vs. Trump

This isn’t a popularity contest™
The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election as a Trump vs. Clinton forecast. To create a 2020 map, visit the home page or begin editing below.

This is the final pre-election polling map. See the State Winners Map for who actually won each state. This map tracks the electoral vote count for the 2016 presidential election primarily based on recent polling. You can see how the map has changed over time. For more information and individual poll results, see the polling averages page. 

Close states (poll difference between Clinton and Trump averaging 5 points or less) are shown as toss up (tan). Leaning states (5-10 points) are a lighter blue/red. Darker blue/red states are averaging a spread of greater than 10 points.

no 2016 election
no 2016 election
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
           
       
State District
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ME
NE

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Headlines

Delaware and New Jersey Primaries: Overview and Live Results

July 7, 2020

Both states hold their rescheduled presidential primaries; New Jersey also offers some interesting congressional contests

Unanimous Supreme Court Says States Can Punish or Replace Faithless Electors

July 6, 2020

Settles various court cases emerging from the 2016 election that saw 10 electors attempt to be faithless to their pledged candidate

The Road to 270: South Carolina

July 6, 2020

Bordered by two competitive 2020 states (NC and GA), the state seems safe for Trump. It remains to be seen if his coattails help reelect Graham and/or regain SC-1

Rep. Scott Tipton Ousted in CO-3 GOP Primary

June 30, 2020

Becomes 5th incumbent to lose this year

Overview and Live Results for June 30 Primaries in Colorado, Oklahoma and Utah

June 30, 2020

A handful of interesting races to watch, including Dem. Senate primary in Colorado and a very tight GOP gubernatorial race in Utah.

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