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NBC Places Candidates for First Presidential Debate

2016 Election: Clinton vs. Trump

This isn't a popularity contest™
The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election as a Trump vs. Clinton forecast. To create a 2020 map, visit the home page or begin editing below.

This is the final pre-election polling map. See the State Winners Map for who actually won each state. This map tracks the electoral vote count for the 2016 presidential election primarily based on recent polling. You can see how the map has changed over time. For more information and individual poll results, see the polling averages page. 

Close states (poll difference between Clinton and Trump averaging 5 points or less) are shown as toss up (tan). Leaning states (5-10 points) are a lighter blue/red. Darker blue/red states are averaging a spread of greater than 10 points.

Map Features | Pundit Forecasts | Historical Elections Timeline

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As of 5/1/19 Details >>
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
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DC
District 1 2 3
ME 2 1 1
NE 2 1 1 1
Split Electoral Votes
Map Updated: Jul. 7, 2017 at 16:25 UTC (12:25 PM EDT)

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Headlines

NBC Places Candidates for First Presidential Debate

Elizabeth Warren and Beto O'Rourke have center stage night one, with Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders side-by-side on the 2nd night

Rep. Susan Brooks to Retire, Putting a Safe GOP Seat in Play for 2020

One of only 13 Republican women in the U.S. House

Groupings for First Democratic Debate

Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders, who have been 1-2 in most polls, will appear together on the 2nd night

DNC Names Debate Qualifiers

The first Democratic debate will take place over two nights in Miami later this month

Oregon Joins National Popular Vote Compact

15 states and DC, for a total of 196 Electoral Votes have joined; agreement only effective when number reaches 270


About this Site
270towin.com is an interactive Electoral College map for 2020 and a history of Presidential elections in the United States. Since electoral votes are generally allocated on an "all or none" basis by state, the election of a U.S President is about winning the popular vote in enough states to achieve 270 electoral votes, a majority of the 538 that are available. Receiving the most votes nationwide is irrelevant, as we have seen in two of the most recent five presidential elections where the electoral vote winner and the popular vote winner were different.
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