270toWin State of the Race (with Leaners)

As of November 5th

The current 270toWin look at the state of the electoral map for the presidential election. This view is somewhat a composite of the polls (current polling map) as well as the experts (consensus pundit electoral map). Note that all of these maps will likely converge as the election nears.

Use the map to create and share your own 2016 presidential election forecast.

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election as a Trump vs. Clinton forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2016 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2024 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2024 electoral votes will display)
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Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map:

The New York Times Has Missed the Story

The New York Times — like so many other media outlets — has struggled...

Republicans Have Big Plans If They Win

House Majority Leader Steve Scalise told NOTUS that, in the first 100 days, Republicans...

Bruce Springsteen to Headline Harris-Obama Rally

“Bruce Springsteen will headline Vice President Kamala Harris’ first joint...

Army to Release Records on Trump’s Cemetery Visit

“A federal judge has ordered Army officials to release their records by the...

Jamie Dimon Privately Supports Kamala Harris

“When Jamie Dimon surprised the political and financial elite early this year...

Headlines

Legal U.S. Prediction Markets for President are Live

October 4, 2024

An appeals court ruling earlier this week set the stage for political betting by U.S. residents

Live Results: Alabama State House Special Election

October 1, 2024

The final special election before the November general election will fill a vacant safely Democratic seat in the Birmingham area.

Overview and Live Results: New Jersey Congressional Special Election

September 18, 2024

The winner will complete the term of the late Democratic Rep. Donald Payne Jr.

Overview and Live Results: Delaware, New Hampshire, and Rhode Island Primaries

September 10, 2024

The final three statewide primaries before the November 5 general election take place Tuesday

Overview and Live Results: Massachusetts Primary

September 3, 2024

Outside two GOP congressional primaries, there's not all that much to see in this Democratic stronghold