270toWin State of the Race (with Leaners)

As of November 5th

The current 270toWin look at the state of the electoral map for the presidential election. This view is somewhat a composite of the polls (current polling map) as well as the experts (consensus pundit electoral map). Note that all of these maps will likely converge as the election nears.

Use the map to create and share your own 2016 presidential election forecast.

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election as a Trump vs. Clinton forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2016 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2024 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2024 electoral votes will display)
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Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map:

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Headlines

Update on U.S. House Vacancies

July 21, 2024

The death of Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee created a third open seat; Republicans hold a 220-212 partisan edge

Live Results: New Jersey 10th Congressional District Special Primary

July 16, 2024

The winner of the September 18 special election will complete the term of the late Donald Payne Jr.

Introducing the 2024 Presidential Election Simulator

July 13, 2024

Run a simulated Biden - Trump election or view the results of 25,000 daily simulations

Electoral Maps: Compare the Consensus Forecast to Polling

July 6, 2024

A side-by-side look at how the experts see the November, 2024 presidential election and what the polls currently show.

Live Results: Wisconsin State Senate Special Primary

July 2, 2024

Begins the process of filling the vacancy in this Milwaukee area seat