270toWin State of the Race (with Leaners)

As of November 5th
The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election as a Trump vs. Clinton forecast. To create a 2020 map, visit the home page or begin editing below.

The current 270toWin look at the state of the electoral map for the presidential election. This view is somewhat a composite of the polls (current polling map) as well as the experts (consensus pundit electoral map). Note that all of these maps will likely converge as the election nears.

Use the map to create and share your own 2016 presidential election forecast.

no 2016 election
no 2016 election
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map Updated: Jul. 7, 2017 at 16:32 UTC (12:32 PM EDT)

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Tossup 3P
           
       
State District
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ME
NE

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Headlines

Democratic Convention Postponed Until August

April 2, 2020

Delay is announced shortly after frontrunner Joe Biden called for the convention to be rescheduled

Electoral College and Senate Ratings Changes from Sabato's Crystal Ball

April 2, 2020

Three ratings were changed in each case.

Rep. Mark Meadows Resigns to Become White House Chief of Staff

March 30, 2020

There are now six vacancies; Democrats control the body with 232 seats

The Road to 270: Rhode Island

March 30, 2020

The Ocean State is the 20th in our series leading up to the 2020 presidential election.

New York Moves Primary to June 23; Majority of Remaining Delegates Now to be Allocated that Month

March 28, 2020

The previously scheduled date - April 28 - was to have been the 2nd busiest day on the 2020 Democratic calendar

Rating Changes: Electoral College and Senate

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Getting Cartered

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — President Trump’s...

Turnout in the 2020 Democratic Primary: Some Clues for the Fall

Dear Readers: Next Thursday (April 2) from noon to...