270toWin State of the Race (with Leaners)

As of November 5th

The current 270toWin look at the state of the electoral map for the presidential election. This view is somewhat a composite of the polls (current polling map) as well as the experts (consensus pundit electoral map). Note that all of these maps will likely converge as the election nears.

Use the map to create and share your own 2016 presidential election forecast.

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election as a Trump vs. Clinton forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2016 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2024 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2024 electoral votes will display)
no 2016 election
no 2016 election
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

- +
Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
           
       
State District
1 2 3
ME
NE

Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map:

Headlines

Georgia Runoff Polls Show Warnock Narrowly Ahead of Walker

December 2, 2022

Polling for the December 6 runoff has been consistent, with Warnock ahead by 2 to 4 points

Sen. Mike Braun to Run for Indiana Governor in 2024

November 30, 2022

The freshman Republican will attempt to succeed termed-out Gov. Eric Holcomb

Virginia Democratic Rep. Donald McEachin Dies at 61

November 29, 2022

He had been elected to a fourth term in Congress earlier this month

Alaska Ranked Choice Runoff Results

November 23, 2022

The tabulation will determine winners in the U.S. Senate and U.S. House races

House Update: Four Seats Uncalled; GOP Majority Will Have 220-222 Seats

November 19, 2022

The outcome of two of the races is all but certain, the other two - in California - could go either way

The New Crossover Members of the House

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Republicans won...

Book Excerpt: The Republican Evolution: From Governing Party to Antigovernment Party

Dear Readers: What follows is an excerpt from veteran...

2022’s Split Ticket States

Dear Readers: The Center for Politics at UVA will hold...

What Happened in the States

Dear Readers: Join us at noon eastern today for a Twitter...