Consensus Pundit Electoral Map

Final as of November 8th

This map aggregates the electoral ratings from 15 organizations to come up with a composite forecast for the 2016 presidential election. Here is a list of the organizations.

For purposes of this map, only states rated safe by at least 13 of 15 pundits are shown in the darkest shade.

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election as a Trump vs. Clinton forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2016 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2024 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2024 electoral votes will display)
no 2016 election
no 2016 election
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
State District
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ME
NE

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What’s Different for Trump This Time

CNN: “Republicans have universally closed ranks in support of their nominee…” “The...

House Democrats Hit Republicans on Abortion

“House Democrats are launching their opening salvo in what promises to be a week...

Biden Campaign Braces After Losing Financial Edge

“Joe Biden’s campaign planned to bury Donald Trump in an avalanche of cash,” Politico...

Who Are the Double Haters?

Washington Post: “They are more likely to be younger, Hispanic or Black, and women...

What Biden Wants from the Debate

New York Times: “Biden aides view the debate as the starting bell for the general...

Headlines

Update: Virginia Congressional District 5 Republican Primary

June 21, 2024

Having alienated both Donald Trump and supporters of Kevin McCarthy, Freedom Caucus Chair Bob Good is at risk of losing his seat

Overview and Live Results: Oklahoma and Virginia Primaries; Georgia Runoffs

June 18, 2024

Having alienated much of the GOP, Rep. Bob Good (VA-05) is at risk of becoming one of the first incumbents to lose a primary this year

Live Results: Maine, Nevada, North Dakota, South Carolina Primaries

June 10, 2024

There is also a special election for a congressional vacancy in Ohio

Guam and U.S. Virgin Islands Democratic Caucuses

June 7, 2024

The final nominating contests for 2024 take place in two U.S. territories

Live Results: Primaries in Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota

June 4, 2024

Several down-ballot races of note, along with the final state-run presidential primaries of this cycle.