270toWin Redesign

Cruz, Sanders Lead in Wisconsin, Marquette Law Poll Finds

March 30, 2016

Ted Cruz has opened up a 10 point lead on Donald Trump in Wisconsin, per the latest survey from the respected polling unit at Marquette University Law School. This result is directionally consistent with recent polls showing a shift in the race, but it is the first survey to find the Texas Senator with the outright lead, beyond the margin of error.

 

Interestingly, Trump's support is unchanged, at 30%, since the last Marquette survey in late February. Both Cruz and John Kasich saw significant gains, picking up voters that previously supported a now-withdrawn candidate or who have made up their mind in the final few weeks before the April 5 primary.

On the Republican side, Wisconsin has 42 delegates, 18 are winner take all for the statewide winner, while the other 24 are winner take all based on the vote within each of the state's 8 congressional districts (3 per district).

For the Democrats, Bernie Sanders leads Hillary Clinton by 4 points. The last Marquette survey showed Sanders leading by one point.

comments powered by Disqus

Headlines

Rep. Ted Yoho of Florida Won't Run in 2020

Will honor pledge to only serve four terms in Congress

Andrew Yang Qualifies for Final Presidential Debate of 2019

He's the seventh candidate to make the December 19 debate stage

The Road to 270: Oklahoma

The fourth in a weekly series that will cover each state's political landscape leading up to the 2020 presidential election

Introducing the 2020 Democratic Delegate Calculator

The road to 1,990 pledged delegates begins in Iowa on February 3. See how the candidates are doing based on polling.

Rep. George Holding to Retire; First Casualty of Redrawn Congressional Maps

Redistricting has made the North Carolina 2nd district a safely Democratic seat