2022 Governor Election Forecasts

These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2022 Governor forecast.

2022 Governor Elections: Consensus Forecast

A consensus outlook for the 2022 elections for governor based on the current ratings of Sabato's Crystal Ball, The Cook Political Report, and Inside Elections. For purposes of this map, only states rated safe by all three of these forecasters are shown in the darkest shade.

Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 gubernatorial forecast.

December 3: Massachusetts moves from Likely Republican to Leans Democratic; Michigan and Nevada from Leans Democratic to Toss-up; South Carolina Likely to Safe Republican.

Crystal Ball 2022 Governor Ratings

The current 2022 governor race ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball.  Use this as a starting point to create and share your own gubernatorial forecast.

December 9: Maryland moves from Leans to Likely Democratic; Minnesota and New Mexico Likely to Leans Democratic; Nevada Leans Democratic to Toss-up. Read the analysis >>

Cook Political Report 2022 Governor Ratings

The current 2022 governor race ratings from The Cook Political Report. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own gubernatorial forecast.

December 3: IA, SC move from Likely to Safe R; ME from Likely to Leans D; MI, NV, WI from Leans D to Toss-up; NM, OR from Safe to Likely D; NY from Likely to Safe D. Analysis from Jessica Taylor ($) >>

On December 1, MA moved from Safe R to Leans D while GA moved from Leans R to Toss-up.

Inside Elections Governor Ratings

The latest 2022 governor ratings from Inside Elections. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own gubernatorial forecast.

December 3: Massachusetts moves from Safe Republican to Battleground after GOP Gov. Gov. Charlie Baker decided not to seek reelection.

Note: Inside Elections is currently forecasting races as "safe" or "battleground", with the latter displayed as toss-up on this map.  More granular ratings will follow later in the cycle. 

Split Ticket 2022 Governor Ratings

The latest 2022 Governor ratings from Split Ticket, a new political content and mapping site founded by #ElectionTwitter veterans @thomas_armin, @HWLAvelleMaps, and @lxeagle17.

Use this map to create and share your own 2022 gubernatorial forecast.