2022 Governor Election Forecasts

These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2022 Governor forecast.

2022 Governor Elections: Consensus Forecast

A consensus outlook for the 2022 elections for governor based on the current ratings of Sabato's Crystal Ball, The Cook Political ReportInside Elections, Split Ticket, and FiveThirtyEight. For purposes of this map, only states rated safe by at least four of these five forecasters are shown in the darkest shade.

Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 gubernatorial forecast.

October 1: Colorado moves from Likely to Safe Democratic; Oregon from Tilts Democratic to Toss-up.

Crystal Ball 2022 Governor Ratings

The current 2022 governor race ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball.  Use this as a starting point to create and share your own gubernatorial forecast.

September 28: Michigan and Pennsylvania move from Leans to Likely Democratic. Read the analysis >

Cook Political Report 2022 Governor Ratings

The current 2022 governor race ratings from The Cook Political Report. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own gubernatorial forecast.

September 29: Michigan and Pennsylvania move from Leans to Likely Democratic; Ohio Likely to Safe Republican; Oklahoma Safe to Likely Republican. Read the analysis ($)>

Inside Elections Governor Ratings

The latest 2022 governor ratings from Inside Elections. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own gubernatorial forecast.

September 23: Nevada moves from Tilts Democratic to Toss-up; New Hampshire from Likely to Safe Republican.

FiveThirtyEight Governor Forecast

This is an interactive gubernatorial map derived from the Deluxe version of the FiveThirtyEight 2022 Election Forecast.

The Toss-up tan color is used where neither party currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Leans (60%+), Likely (75%+), Safe (95%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own forecast for the 36 governor elections in 2022.

Fox News 2022 Governor Power Rankings

The latest 2022 Governor Power Rankings from Fox News.

Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 gubernatorial forecast.

September 20: Georgia moves from Toss-up to Leans Republican; Oregon Leans Democratic to Toss-up

Split Ticket 2022 Governor Ratings

The latest 2022 Governor ratings from Split Ticket, a new political content and mapping site founded by #ElectionTwitter veterans @thomas_armin, @HWLAvelleMaps@lxeagle17, and @politicsmaps.

Use this map to create and share your own 2022 gubernatorial forecast.

October 1: Alaska moves from Safe to Likely R; Colorado from Likely to Safe D; Georgia Leans to Likely R; Maine, Michigan, Pennsylvania Leans to Likely D; Oregon Leans D to Toss-up. Read the analysis >

Elections Daily 2022 Governor Ratings

The latest 2022 Governor ratings from Elections Daily, a site that provides nonpartisan election coverage.

Use this map to create and share your own 2022 gubernatorial forecast.

September 26: Michigan and Minnesota move from Leans to Likely Democratic. Read the Analysis >

U.S. News Governor Ratings by Louis Jacobson

The current 2022 gubernatorial race ratings from Louis Jacobson for U.S. News & World Report. Jacobson is a senior correspondent with PolitiFact and senior author of the Almanac of American Politics 2022.

Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 gubernatorial forecast.

January 28: Initial ratings. Read the analysis of six toss-up races, states where Republicans are favored, and states where Democrats are favored.

CNalysis 2022 Governor Forecast

The current 2022 Governor forecast from CNalysis, which provides nonpartisan election analysis with a particular focus on state legislative elections.

Use this map to create and share your own 2022 gubernatorial forecast.

Politico 2022 Governor Forecast

The current 2022 governor ratings from Politico. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own forecast for the 36 gubernatorial elections in 2022.

September 5: Connecticut moves from Likely to Leans Democratic; Maryland from Leans to Likely Democratic.