2022 Senate Election Forecasts

These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast.

2022 Senate Elections: Consensus Forecast

A consensus outlook for the 2022 Senate elections based on the current ratings of forecasters at Sabato's Crystal BallThe Cook Political Report, and Inside Elections. For purposes of this map, only states rated safe by all three of these projections are shown in the darkest shade.

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast.

January 7: Florida moves from Leans to Likely Republican; North Carolina and Wisconsin Toss-up to Leans Republican 

Crystal Ball 2022 Senate Ratings

The current 2022 Senate race ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Use these as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast.

November 3: Arizona, Georgia, Nevada move from Leans Democratic to Toss-up; Colorado moves from safe to likely Democratic. Analysis >>

Cook Political Report 2022 Senate Ratings

The current 2022 Senate race ratings from The Cook Political Report. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast.

November 19: Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada move from Leans Democratic to Toss-up.

 

Inside Elections 2022 Senate Ratings

The current 2022 Senate forecast from Inside Elections. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast.

January 7: More granular ratings issued for seats that had been broadly classified as Battleground:

AZ, GA, NH start as Toss-up; NH Tilt Democratic; PA Tilt Republican; NC, WI Lean Republican; FL Likely Republican.

Split Ticket 2022 Senate Ratings

The latest 2022 Senate ratings from Split Ticket, a new political content and mapping site founded by #ElectionTwitter veterans @thomas_armin, @HWLAvelleMaps, and @lxeagle17.

Use this map to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast.