2022 Senate Election Forecasts

These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast.

Election Day Live Results: Choose a map to follow along as the votes are counted and races are called.

2022 Senate Elections: Consensus Forecast

A consensus outlook for the 2022 Senate elections based on the current ratings of these seven forecasters. For purposes of this map, only states rated safe by at least six of them are shown in the darkest shade.

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast.

November 7: Arizona moves from Tilts to Leans Democratic; Pennsylvania Tilts Democratic to Tilts Republican

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Cook Political Report 2022 Senate Ratings

The final 2022 Senate race ratings from Cook Political Report. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast.

November 4: Wisconsin moves from Toss-up to Leans Republican. Read the analysis ($) >

 

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Inside Elections 2022 Senate Ratings

The current 2022 Senate forecast from Inside Elections. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast.

October 21: Iowa moves from Safe to Likely Republican.

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FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast

This is an interactive Senate map derived from the Deluxe version of the FiveThirtyEight 2022 Election Forecast.

The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither party currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Leans (60%+), Likely (75%+), Safe (95%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own forecast for the 35 Senate elections in 2022.

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Fox News 2022 Senate Power Rankings

The final 2022 Senate Power Rankings from Fox News.

Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast.

November 1: Florida moves from Leans to Likely Republican; Washington Safe to Likely Democratic.

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Split Ticket 2022 Senate Ratings

The final 2022 Senate ratings from Split Ticket, a new political content and mapping site produced by #ElectionTwitter veterans @thomas_armin, @HWLAvelleMaps@lxeagle17, and @macrotargeting.

Use this map to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast.

November 7: Florida and Iowa move from Likely to Safe Republican; Iowa Safe to Likely Republican; Nevada Toss-up to Leans Democratic; New Hampshire Likely to Leans Democratic; Pennsylvania Leans Democratic to Leans Republican.

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CNalysis 2022 Senate Forecast

The current 2022 Senate forecast from CNalysis, which provides nonpartisan election analysis with a particular focus on state legislative elections.

Use this map to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast.

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Politico 2022 Senate Forecast

The final 2022 Senate ratings from Politico. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast.

November 7: No changes

 

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