2022 Senate Election Forecasts

These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast.

2022 Senate Elections: Consensus Forecast

A consensus outlook for the 2022 Senate elections based on the current ratings of forecasters at Sabato's Crystal BallThe Cook Political ReportInside Elections, Split Ticket, and FiveThirtyEight. For purposes of this map, only states rated safe by at least four of these five projections are shown in the darkest shade.

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast.

August 6: Added Split Ticket to consensus; no ratings changes. 

Crystal Ball 2022 Senate Ratings

The current 2022 Senate race ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Use these as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast.

August 2: Missouri moves from Likely to Safe Republican

Cook Political Report 2022 Senate Ratings

The current 2022 Senate race ratings from The Cook Political Report. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast.

March 6: Oklahoma Special Election added.

 

Inside Elections 2022 Senate Ratings

The current 2022 Senate forecast from Inside Elections. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast.

July 1: Colorado and Washington move from Safe to Likely Democratic.

FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast

This is an interactive Senate map derived from the Deluxe version of the FiveThirtyEight 2022 Election Forecast.

The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither party currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Leans (60%+), Likely (75%+), Safe (95%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own forecast for the 35 Senate elections in 2022.

Fox News 2022 Senate Power Rankings

The latest 2022 Senate Power Rankings from Fox News.

Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast.

July 11: No changes

Split Ticket 2022 Senate Ratings

The latest 2022 Senate ratings from Split Ticket, a new political content and mapping site founded by #ElectionTwitter veterans @thomas_armin, @HWLAvelleMaps@lxeagle17, and @politicsmaps.

Use this map to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast.

August 16: Florida moves from Safe to Likely Republican

Elections Daily 2022 Senate Ratings

The latest 2022 Senate ratings from Elections Daily, a site that provides nonpartisan election coverage.

Use this map to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast.

August 8: Washington moves from Likely to Safe Democratic. Read the analysis >

CNalysis 2022 Senate Forecast

The current 2022 Senate forecast from CNalysis, which provides nonpartisan election analysis with a particular focus on state legislative elections.

Use this map to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast.

Politico 2022 Senate Forecast

The current 2022 Senate ratings from Politico. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast.