JHK Forecasts Presidential Election Forecast
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated daily, this is an electoral map projection based on JHK Forecasts presidential election forecast. This data-driven model was created by Jack Kersting.
Outputs from the model drive much of the 270toWin 2020 election simulator.
The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (85%+), Dark (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Live Results: Virginia Primary; Runoffs in Alabama, Arkansas, and Georgia
Washington DC voters are also going to the polls to select nominees for mayor and the District's delegate to the U.S. House
House Update: Partisan Composition, Retirements, Redistricting
Democrats hold a 220-209 edge after Republican Connie Conway (CA-22) was sworn in earlier this week
Live Results: TX-34 Special Election; Primaries in Maine, Nevada, North Dakota, and South Carolina
Most of the interesting primaries are in Nevada and South Carolina; GOP hopes to flip a vacant Texas congressional seat
Live Results: Mayoral Primaries in Three Nevada Cities
These elections coincide with Tuesday's statewide primary; polls close at 10:00 PM Eastern Time
Overview and Live Results: Alaska At-Large Congressional Special Primary
Top four will advance to August 16 election; winner to complete term of late Rep. Don Young
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