JHK Forecasts Presidential Election Forecast
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated daily, this is an electoral map projection based on JHK Forecasts presidential election forecast. This data-driven model was created by Jack Kersting.
Outputs from the model drive much of the 270toWin 2020 election simulator.
The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (85%+), Dark (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Introducing the 2022 House Simulator
Who will control the House after the midterm elections? Use this tool to simulate the outcome and see trends over time.
Uncontested: The 36 House Districts With Only One Major Party on the Ballot
17 incumbents are unopposed, while 13 others face a 3rd party opponent. Six elections are between two Democrats
Overview and Live Results: Delaware, New Hampshire, and Rhode Island Primaries
The outcome of several GOP primaries in New Hampshire may impact how competitive those races are in November
Three New Members of U.S. House to be Seated Tuesday
The three - two from New York and one from Alaska - recently won special elections
Overview and Live Results: Massachusetts Primary
Voters will choose nominees for governor to replacing the retiring Republican Gov. Charlie Baker
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