JHK Forecasts Presidential Election Forecast
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated daily, this is an electoral map projection based on JHK Forecasts presidential election forecast. This data-driven model was created by Jack Kersting.
Outputs from the model drive much of the 270toWin 2020 election simulator.
The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (85%+), Dark (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Updated 'Same Since' Maps: Current Single Party Streak for Each State
Georgia and Arizona ended streaks of voting Republican that dated back to the 1990s.
Three Democratic Senators to be Sworn In Wednesday Afternoon
This will give the Senate a 50-50 split shortly after the start of the Biden administration
Kamala Harris Resigns from Senate in Advance of Wednesday's Inauguration
California Secretary of State Alex Padilla will serve the final two years of Harris's term
First Look: 2020 Presidential Election if All States Voted Like Maine and Nebraska
Those two states award two electoral votes to the state popular vote winner and one for each congressional district
Georgia Senate Runoffs: Overview and Live Results
Control of the Senate hangs in the balance
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