JHK Forecasts Presidential Election Forecast
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated daily, this is an electoral map projection based on JHK Forecasts presidential election forecast. This data-driven model was created by Jack Kersting.
Outputs from the model drive much of the 270toWin 2020 election simulator.
The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (85%+), Dark (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Special Primary Overview and Live Results: Ohio Congressional Districts 11 and 15
These two seats are expected to stay with the incumbent party but the associated primaries are hotly-contested
Overview and Live Results: Nonpartisan Mayoral Primaries in Seattle and Detroit
The top two finishers in each city will advance to the general election on November 2
Overview and Live Results: Michigan State Senate Special Primaries
Nominees will meet in November 2 general election; both vacant seats previously GOP-held
Jake Ellzey Sworn-in After TX-6 Win; House Now 220 Democrats, 212 Republicans
Primaries for two Ohio vacancies upcoming on Tuesday
Overview and Live Results: Texas 6th Congressional District Special Election
Two Republicans advanced from the May all-party primary; winner will succeed Ron Wright (R) who died in February
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