2024 Electoral Map Based on Polls
Current as of Map Timestamp
This map tracks a Harris-Trump electoral vote count for the 2024 presidential election based entirely on polls. In most cases where polling is not yet available or not recent, the margin associated with Biden-Trump polls, prior to the president's withdrawal is used. If that polling is also insufficient, recent history is considered.
The map automatically updates three times daily.
States where the margin is <5% are shown as Toss-up. Leaning is <10%, Likely <15%. Safe is 15% or higher.
The map is interactive. Use it to create and share your 2024 presidential election forecast.
Keep in mind that polls are a snapshot in time, reflecting public opinion when they are conducted. As such, they may be of limited predictive value until the election gets much closer.
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Map :
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