2020 President: Consensus Electoral Map

As of August 10, 2020

This map aggregates the ratings of ten organizations (more to be added as they become available) to come up with a consensus forecast for the 2020 presidential election. 

Use the timeline feature to view the map as it looked at the end of each day.  

This is not a map based on current polling, but rather a look ahead to November.  We do have a polling map; the two should converge as the election nears and forecasters/models place more weight on the polls.

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 electoral map forecast.

August 10: No changes

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
           
       
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Headlines

New Interactive: U.S. House State View

August 13, 2020

Partisan breakdown by state now and projected. Assign toss-up districts to see national results - useful in the case of an electoral college tie.

Tuesday Primaries in Connecticut, Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin; Georgia Runoffs

August 11, 2020

Connecticut holds the final presidential primary of 2020 while a member of 'The Squad' faces a primary challenge in Minnesota.

The Road to 270: Minnesota

August 10, 2020

No state has had a longer period of voting Democratic in presidential elections. Donald Trump made it close in 2016, but the streak is likely to continue in 2020

Hawaii Primary: Overview and Live Results

August 8, 2020

Four Democrats are competing to replace the retiring Tulsi Gabbard. Both districts are safely Democratic in November.

Updated Inside Elections House Ratings

August 7, 2020

The forecaster made 29 changes Friday, moving 27 of them in the direction of Democrats

Biden-Harris: A Predictable Pairing

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Kamala Harris,...

Poll-Based Election Forecasts Will Always Struggle With Uncertainty

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — We have no idea...

The Senate: Ranking the Top Dozen Best Targets

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — National Republicans...