2020 President: Consensus Electoral Map

As of November 3, 2020

This map aggregates the ratings of nine organizations  to come up with a consensus forecast for the 2020 presidential election. 

Use the timeline feature to view the map as it looked at the end of each day.  

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 electoral map forecast.

November 3: Arizona moves from Leans Democratic to Toss-up.

Current

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2020 election as a Trump vs. Biden forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2020 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2024 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2024 electoral votes will display)
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Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
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Headlines

Overview and Live Results: New Jersey Congressional Special Election

September 18, 2024

The winner will complete the term of the late Democratic Rep. Donald Payne Jr.

Overview and Live Results: Delaware, New Hampshire, and Rhode Island Primaries

September 10, 2024

The final three statewide primaries before the November 5 general election take place Tuesday

Overview and Live Results: Massachusetts Primary

September 3, 2024

Outside two GOP congressional primaries, there's not all that much to see in this Democratic stronghold

Live Results: Oklahoma Legislative Runoffs, Tulsa Mayoral Election

August 27, 2024

Top two runoffs are required in 10 state legislative districts where no candidate received a majority in the June 18 primary

538 Forecast Model Relaunches for Harris vs. Trump General Election

August 23, 2024

The forecast starts with a small lead for Harris, but the site notes a wide range of outcomes are ultimately possible