Princeton Election Consortium
Map Based on Polling
Part of the Princeton Election Consortium polling-derived forecast series for the likelihood of a Biden or Trump victory in each state.
You can view the full series of three maps here.
A state is shown as toss-up where the probability is 60% or less. The colored gradients get progressively deeper as the probability increases: Leans (<80%), Likely (<95%), Safe (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Minnesota 2nd Congressional District Election Delayed after Candidate Dies
The seat will be vacant from the start of the next Congress until after a February 9 special election
Interactive Map for the FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast
Updated every two hours until election day, this map will reflect the probabilistic model used by fivethirtyeight
The Road to 270: Texas
With a rapidly growing, highly-educated population, the Lone Star State is evolving into a major presidential and congressional battleground
Polling Map with No Toss-ups
This map shows who is leading in the polls in each state, regardless of the size of the margin
Delaware Wraps up the 2020 Primary Season: Overview and Live Results
The state will elect a Senator, Representative and Governor this fall; all the incumbents are heavily favored to win reelection
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