Princeton Election Consortium
Map Based on Polling
Part of the Princeton Election Consortium polling-derived forecast series for the likelihood of a Biden or Trump victory in each state.
You can view the full series of three maps here.
A state is shown as toss-up where the probability is 60% or less. The colored gradients get progressively deeper as the probability increases: Leans (<80%), Likely (<95%), Safe (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Overview & Live Results: Primary Day in Georgia, Alabama, and Arkansas; Runoff Elections in Texas
The value of an endorsement from Donald Trump will be put to the test in a number of nominating contests.
Live Results: Minnesota Congressional District Special Primary Election
The district has been vacant since the February death of Republican Jim Hagedorn. Special general election will be August 9.
Live Results: State House Special Elections in New York and South Carolina
There is one vacancy in each state that will be filled Tuesday
New York Court Finalizes Congressional Map; Shapes Added to Interactive Map
The map replaces one ruled a Democratic gerrymander by this same court in late March
Florida Court of Appeals Reinstates Previously Enacted Redistricting Map
Further litigation, in front of the Florida Supreme Court, is likely
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