Princeton Election Consortium
Map Based on Polling
Part of the Princeton Election Consortium polling-derived forecast series for the likelihood of a Biden or Trump victory in each state.
You can view the full series of three maps here.
A state is shown as toss-up where the probability is 60% or less. The colored gradients get progressively deeper as the probability increases: Leans (<80%), Likely (<95%), Safe (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Puerto Rico Democratic Presidential Primary Results
The Territory hold the penultimate presidential primary this year; Connecticut closes things out on August 11.
Louisiana Presidential Primary Results
Twice rescheduled due to the coronavirus, Pelican State residents will have their chance to weigh in on the race Saturday.
Eight Senate Ratings Changes from Inside Elections
All changes favor Democrats in seats being defended by GOP incumbents
Delaware and New Jersey Primaries: Overview and Live Results
Both states hold their rescheduled presidential primaries; New Jersey also offers some interesting congressional contests
Unanimous Supreme Court Says States Can Punish or Replace Faithless Electors
Settles various court cases emerging from the 2016 election that saw 10 electors attempt to be faithless to their pledged candidate
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