Princeton Election Consortium
Map Based on Polling
Part of the Princeton Election Consortium polling-derived forecast series for the likelihood of a Biden or Trump victory in each state.
You can view the full series of three maps here.
A state is shown as toss-up where the probability is 60% or less. The colored gradients get progressively deeper as the probability increases: Leans (<80%), Likely (<95%), Safe (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Poll: Virginia Governor's Race a Dead Heat
Democrat Terry McAuliffe and Republican Glenn Youngkin are tied at 46% with registered voters
New Hampshire Rockingham District 6 Special GOP Primary
Special general election is December 7. The vacancy occurred when Republican Anne Copp resigned in August.
Two Longtime Democratic House Members Won't Seek Reelection
David Price of North Carolina and Mike Doyle of Pennsylvania will retire at the end of this term
Kentucky Democrat Rep. John Yarmuth Won't Seek Reelection Next Year
He is the chairman of the House Budget Committee and the Only Democratic Rep from the state
Live Results: Iowa State House District 29 Special Election
This competitive district, most recently held by Democrats, is located east of Des Moines.
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