Princeton Election Consortium
Map Based on Polling
Part of the Princeton Election Consortium polling-derived forecast series for the likelihood of a Biden or Trump victory in each state.
You can view the full series of three maps here.
A state is shown as toss-up where the probability is 60% or less. The colored gradients get progressively deeper as the probability increases: Leans (<80%), Likely (<95%), Safe (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Initial 2024 Cook Political Report House Ratings
Analyst David Wasserman sees another competitive battle for control
Overview and Live Results: January 31 Legislative Special Elections
Six vacancies in Georgia, Mississippi, and Pennsylvania will be contested
Live Results: Tennessee House District 86 Special Primary
Only Democrats entered the race to succeed the late Barbara Cooper (D), so the primary winner will almost certainly be the next state rep here
Introducing the 2024 Senate Interactive Map
34 seats, 23 held by Democrats or independents associated with the party will be contested next year
Live Results: Virginia, Mississippi Legislative Special Elections
Three vacancies in the Virginia General Assembly, along with one in the Mississippi State House, will be filled Tuesday
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