Princeton Election Consortium
Map Based on Polling
Part of the Princeton Election Consortium polling-derived forecast series for the likelihood of a Biden or Trump victory in each state.
You can view the full series of three maps here.
A state is shown as toss-up where the probability is 60% or less. The colored gradients get progressively deeper as the probability increases: Leans (<80%), Likely (<95%), Safe (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Utah Rep. Chris Stewart Expected to Resign from Congress
Departure reportedly to deal with family health issues; Gov. Spencer Cox would call special election
Ron DeSantis Enters 2024 Presidential Race
The Florida governor has been consistently in second place in polling, far behind Donald Trump, but well ahead of others
Sen. Tim Scott Launches Presidential Campaign
The South Carolina Republican will hope to offer an alternative to Donald Trump in an increasingly crowded field
Delaware Sen. Tom Carper Won't Seek Reelection in 2024
The four-term incumbent is the 4th Senator retiring or running for another office next year
Live Results for May 16 Elections, Including Primaries for Kentucky Governor and Philadelphia Mayor
Separately, two special elections will determine control of the Pennsylvania State House
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