Princeton Election Consortium

Map Based on Polling

Part of the Princeton Election Consortium polling-derived forecast series for the likelihood of a Biden or Trump victory in each state. 

You can view the full series of three maps here.

A state is shown as toss-up where the probability is 60% or less. The colored gradients get progressively deeper as the probability increases:  Leans (<80%), Likely (<95%), Safe (95%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.

Current

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2020 election as a Trump vs. Biden forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2020 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2024 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2024 electoral votes will display)
no 2020 election
no 2020 election
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

- +
Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
           
       
State District
1 2 3
ME
NE

Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map:

Headlines

Overview & Live Results: Primary Day in Georgia, Alabama, and Arkansas; Runoff Elections in Texas

May 24, 2022

The value of an endorsement from Donald Trump will be put to the test in a number of nominating contests.

Live Results: Minnesota Congressional District Special Primary Election

May 24, 2022

The district has been vacant since the February death of Republican Jim Hagedorn. Special general election will be August 9.

Live Results: State House Special Elections in New York and South Carolina

May 24, 2022

There is one vacancy in each state that will be filled Tuesday

New York Court Finalizes Congressional Map; Shapes Added to Interactive Map

May 23, 2022

The map replaces one ruled a Democratic gerrymander by this same court in late March

Florida Court of Appeals Reinstates Previously Enacted Redistricting Map

May 20, 2022

Further litigation, in front of the Florida Supreme Court, is likely

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