Princeton Election Consortium
Map Based on Polling
Part of the Princeton Election Consortium polling-derived forecast series for the likelihood of a Biden or Trump victory in each state.
You can view the full series of three maps here.
A state is shown as toss-up where the probability is 60% or less. The colored gradients get progressively deeper as the probability increases: Leans (<80%), Likely (<95%), Safe (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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Map :
One in Four Voters Could Change Their Minds
Biden and Obama Aim for Los Angeles Fundraiser
New Polls Show RFK Jr. Hurting Trump More
Democratic Donations Surge
Planned Parenthood to Spend $10 Million in North Carolina
Headlines
Overview and Live Results: Pennsylvania Primary
Keystone State voters will weigh in on both presidential and downballot contests
Wyoming and Puerto Rico Republican Nominating Contests
The Wyoming State Convention concludes a multi-step nominating process, while a party-run primary takes place in the U.S. territory
Kansas Republican Rep. Jake LaTurner Not Seeking Reelection
His retirement announcement cites a desire to spend more time with his family
Live Results: Alabama Congressional Primary Runoff, Michigan State House Special Elections
The 2nd Congressional District, open due to redistricting, represents a Democratic pick-up opportunity in the fall
Live Results: Alaska and Wyoming Democratic Presidential Contests
Party run events in these two states will add to President Biden's Delegate Advantage
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