Princeton Election Consortium

Map Based on Polling

Part of the Princeton Election Consortium polling-derived forecast series for the likelihood of a Biden or Trump victory in each state. 

You can view the full series of three maps here.

A state is shown as toss-up where the probability is 60% or less. The colored gradients get progressively deeper as the probability increases:  Leans (<80%), Likely (<95%), Safe (95%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.

Current

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2020 election as a Trump vs. Biden forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2020 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2024 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2024 electoral votes will display)
no 2020 election
no 2020 election
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

- +
Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
           
       
State District
1 2 3
ME
NE

Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map:

Headlines

Overview and Live Results: Texas 6th Congressional District Special Election

July 27, 2021

Two Republicans advanced from the May all-party primary; winner will succeed Ron Wright (R) who died in February

Former Iowa Rep. Abby Finkenauer to Run for Senate in 2022

July 22, 2021

The Democrat hopes to unseat long-time incumbent Republican Sen. Chuck Grassley

Cook Political Updates 2022 Senate Forecast

July 16, 2021

As the campaign starts to take shape, forecaster sees four races as increasingly competitive

Live Results: Special Elections Across Five State Districts in Alabama, Georgia and Wisconsin

July 13, 2021

The most closely watched race will be a runoff for a Georgia State House seat in suburban Atlanta

Eric Adams Wins NYC Democratic Mayoral Primary; Poised to be City's Second Black Mayor

July 6, 2021

With most absentee ballots counted, Adams' one-point margin was enough for the AP and others to call the race

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Notes on the State of Politics: July 21, 2021

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