Princeton Election Consortium

Map Based on Polling

Part of the Princeton Election Consortium polling-derived forecast series for the likelihood of a Biden or Trump victory in each state. 

You can view the full series of three maps here.

A state is shown as toss-up where the probability is 60% or less. The colored gradients get progressively deeper as the probability increases:  Leans (<80%), Likely (<95%), Safe (95%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.

Current

no 2020 election
no 2020 election
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

- +
Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
           
       
State District
1 2 3
ME
NE

Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map:

Headlines

First Look: 2020 Presidential Election if All States Voted Like Maine and Nebraska

January 13, 2021

Those two states award two electoral votes to the state popular vote winner and one for each congressional district

Georgia Senate Runoffs: Overview and Live Results

January 5, 2021

Control of the Senate hangs in the balance

117th Congress Underway

January 3, 2021

Democrats have a much narrow margin in the House while control of the Senate to be decided Tuesday

2022 Interactive Senate Map is Live

December 31, 2020

34 seats will be contested in the upcoming cycle; 20 Republican, 13 Democratic and 1 TBD in Georgia Runoff

Competitive Presidential Election States: 2020 vs. 2016

December 21, 2020

States decided by 10% or less in the 2020 presidential election

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