Princeton Election Consortium
Map Based on Polling
Part of the Princeton Election Consortium polling-derived forecast series for the likelihood of a Biden or Trump victory in each state.
You can view the full series of three maps here.
A state is shown as toss-up where the probability is 60% or less. The colored gradients get progressively deeper as the probability increases: Leans (<80%), Likely (<95%), Safe (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
First Look: 2020 Presidential Election if All States Voted Like Maine and Nebraska
Those two states award two electoral votes to the state popular vote winner and one for each congressional district
Georgia Senate Runoffs: Overview and Live Results
Control of the Senate hangs in the balance
117th Congress Underway
Democrats have a much narrow margin in the House while control of the Senate to be decided Tuesday
2022 Interactive Senate Map is Live
34 seats will be contested in the upcoming cycle; 20 Republican, 13 Democratic and 1 TBD in Georgia Runoff
Competitive Presidential Election States: 2020 vs. 2016
States decided by 10% or less in the 2020 presidential election
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