2016 Election: Very Close States

This isn’t a popularity contest™

This electoral map shows those states decided by 5% or less in popular vote in the 2016 election. Use it as a starting point to create and share your 2020 presidential election forecast.

The number of states meeting this competitiveness criteria expanded significantly from 2012, when only four states (75 electoral votes) were decided by 5% or less. In 2016, four states were actually decided by less than 1% (Michigan, New Hampshire, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania).

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2020 election. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2020 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2028 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2028 electoral votes will display)
no 2020 election
no 2020 election
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

- +
Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
State District
1 2 3
ME
NE

Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map:

Headlines

Overview and Live Results: New York City Mayoral Primary

June 24, 2025

Several other city offices are on the ballot

Live Results: Buffalo Mayoral Primary and Legislative Special Elections

June 24, 2025

Buffalo's acting mayor seeks renomination for a full term; a FL special features the ultimate sibling rivalry

Overview and Live Results: 2025 Virginia Primary

June 17, 2025

Statewide offices and seats in the House of Delegates are on the ballot this year

Overview and Live Results: New Jersey Primary

June 10, 2025

Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy is termed-out; there are contested primaries in both parties.

Live Results: June 10 Legislative Special Elections

June 10, 2025

Seven elections will fill vacancies across three states