2016 Election: Very Close States
This isn’t a popularity contest™
This electoral map shows those states decided by 5% or less in popular vote in the 2016 election. Use it as a starting point to create and share your 2020 presidential election forecast.
The number of states meeting this competitiveness criteria expanded significantly from 2012, when only four states (75 electoral votes) were decided by 5% or less. In 2016, four states were actually decided by less than 1% (Michigan, New Hampshire, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania).
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VT |
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NH |
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MA |
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RI |
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CT |
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NJ |
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DE |
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MD |
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DC |
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Headlines
Sabato's Crystal Ball Initial 2025-26 Gubernatorial Ratings
38 seats will hold elections through 2026, including New Jersey and Virginia this year
Live Results: April 29 Iowa and Minnesota Legislative Special Elections
Vacancies will be filled in the Iowa State House and Minnesota State Senate
Rep. Andy Barr Running to Succeed Sen. Mitch McConnell
A closely-contested primary against former Attorney General Daniel Cameron is expected.
Live Results: April 22 Connecticut and Mississippi State House Special Elections
Three vacancies will be filled across these two states
Michigan Rep. Haley Stevens Running for U.S. Senate
She will look to succeed retiring fellow Democratic Sen. Gary Peters
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