2016 Election: Very Close States

This isn’t a popularity contest™

This electoral map shows those states decided by 5% or less in popular vote in the 2016 election. Use it as a starting point to create and share your 2020 presidential election forecast.

The number of states meeting this competitiveness criteria expanded significantly from 2012, when only four states (75 electoral votes) were decided by 5% or less. In 2016, four states were actually decided by less than 1% (Michigan, New Hampshire, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania).

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2020 election. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2020 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2024 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2024 electoral votes will display)
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VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
State District
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ME
NE

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Headlines

Live Results: Alabama State House Special Primary Elections

September 26, 2023

One vacancy from each party will be filled in the January 9 special general elections

Rep. Andy Kim Announces Primary Challenge to Sen. Bob Menendez

September 23, 2023

He had called for Menendez to resign Friday, shortly after the long-time New Jersey Senator was indicted

Live Results for September 19: State House Special Elections

September 19, 2023

Tuesday's races include a contest in an evenly-divided Pennsylvania State House.

Citing Health Issues, Virginia Rep. Jennifer Wexton Won't Seek Reelection in 2024

September 18, 2023

The Democratic lawmaker had been diagnosed with Parkinson's earlier this year and is now facing a more severe version of the disease

Live Results: Nashville Mayor, Tennessee State House Special Election

September 14, 2023

The special election includes parts of Nashville, so some voters will participate in both.