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New FiveThirtyEight Governors Forecast

2020 Presidential Election Map

This isn't a popularity contest™

It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2020 presidential election. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2020 election forecast. Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter. Use Map Options to set the number of available ratings (colors) in your map. Use the buttons below the map to share your forecast or embed it into a web page.

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Republican
305

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Headlines

New FiveThirtyEight Governors Forecast

The site's forecast models now cover the Senate, House and this year's 36 gubernatorial contests.

Three Weeks Out: Updating the Battle for Senate Control

Democratic hopes for gaining control of the Senate seem to have narrowed in recent weeks

Uncontested: 42 House Races with no Major Party Opposition

There are 39 seats held by Democrats and 3 by Republicans that will not have a candidate of the other major party on the ballot this November.

House Simulator Update and New Feature

You can now see which seats flipped to the other party in your most recent simulation.

Five Weeks Out: Consensus Forecasts for Senate, House, Governor

Democrats have plenty of opportunities to gain the 23 seats they need for control. While Democrats also have a path in the Senate, that's a much tougher climb.




About this Site
270towin.com is an interactive Electoral College map for 2020 and a history of Presidential elections in the United States. Since electoral votes are generally allocated on an "all or none" basis by state, the election of a U.S President is about winning the popular vote in enough states to achieve 270 electoral votes, a majority of the 538 that are available. Receiving the most votes nationwide is irrelevant, as we have seen in two of the most recent five presidential elections where the electoral vote winner and the popular vote winner were different.
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