2024 Margin of Victory
This isn’t a popularity contest™
This map shows the relative competitiveness of each state in the 2024 presidential election. It displays the margin between Harris and Trump.
The tilt color is used for states decided by less than 5%; leans up to 10%, likely up to 15% and safe >15%.
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NH |
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MA |
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RI |
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CT |
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NJ |
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DE |
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MD |
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DC |
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Headlines
Sen. Thom Tillis Will Not Seek Reelection Next Year
He had come under attack from Trump after voting "no" to advance the president's signature legislation
Nebraska Rep. Don Bacon Not Seeking Reelection in 2026
A formal announcement will come Monday; Bacon was seen as among the more endangered Republicans next year
Overview and Live Results: New York City Mayoral Primary
Several other city offices are on the ballot
Live Results: Buffalo Mayoral Primary and Legislative Special Elections
Buffalo's acting mayor seeks renomination for a full term; a FL special features the ultimate sibling rivalry
Overview and Live Results: 2025 Virginia Primary
Statewide offices and seats in the House of Delegates are on the ballot this year
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