2024 Margin of Victory

This isn’t a popularity contest™

This map shows the relative competitiveness of each state in the 2024 presidential election. It displays the margin between Harris and Trump.

The tilt color is used for states decided by less than 5%; leans up to 10%, likely up to 15% and safe >15%.

no 2028 election
no 2028 election
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

- +
Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
State District
1 2 3
ME
NE

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Headlines

Overview and Live Results: New Jersey Primary

June 10, 2025

Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy is termed-out; there are contested primaries in both parties.

Live Results: June 10 Legislative Special Elections

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Seven elections will fill vacancies across three states

Live Results: San Antonio and Garland Texas Mayoral Runoffs

June 7, 2025

San Antonio hasn't elected a GOP mayor in 30 years, but this race looks competitive

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June 4, 2025

On a related note, Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin has scheduled the special election to succeed the late Gerry Connolly

Live Results: South Carolina State House District 50 Special Election

June 3, 2025

This will fill the one vacancy in the Republican-dominated chamber