Pennsylvania 2024 Presidential Election Polls

Harris vs. Trump

Source		Date	Sample	Harris	Trump	Other
Average of 25 Polls†				48.2%	48.2%	-
	FAU / Mainstreet	11/04/2024	699 LV	49%	47%	4%
	Emerson College	11/04/2024	1,000 LV ±3%	48%	49%	3%
	Research Co.	11/04/2024	450 LV ±4.6%	48%	47%	5%
	InsiderAdvantage	11/03/2024	800 LV ±3.5%	48%	49%	3%
	Trafalgar Group	11/03/2024	1,089 LV ±2.9%	47%	48%	5%
	NY Times / Siena College	11/03/2024	1,527 LV ±2.9%	48%	48%	4%
	Muhlenberg College	11/03/2024	460 LV ±6%	49%	47%	4%
	Morning Consult	11/03/2024	1,538 LV ±3%	48%	48%	4%
	AtlasIntel	11/02/2024	2,049 LV ±2%	48%	50%	2%
	Redfield & Wilton	11/01/2024	1,596 LV ±2.3%	48%	48%	4%
	Data for Progress	11/01/2024	908 LV ±3%	50%	48%	2%
	Washington Post	11/01/2024	1,204 LV ±3.1%	48%	47%	5%
	The Times (UK) / YouGov	11/01/2024	956 LV ±3.5%	49%	46%	5%
	Suffolk University	11/01/2024	500 LV ±4.4%	49%	49%	2%
	Marist Poll	11/01/2024	1,400 LV ±3.4%	50%	48%	2%
	AtlasIntel	10/31/2024	1,738 LV ±2%	48%	49%	3%
	Echelon Insights	10/31/2024	600 LV ±4.5%	46%	52%	2%
	UMass Lowell	10/31/2024	800 LV ±3.7%	48%	47%	5%
	Fox News	10/30/2024	1,057 LV ±3%	49%	50%	1%
	Quinnipiac	10/30/2024	2,186 LV ±2.1%	47%	49%	4%
	Susquehanna Polling	10/30/2024	500 LV ±4.4%	46%	46%	8%
	CNN	10/30/2024	819 LV ±4.7%	48%	48%	4%
	CBS / YouGov	10/29/2024	1,273 RV ±3.6%	49%	49%	2%
	Redfield & Wilton	10/29/2024	1,116 LV ±2.8%	48%	48%	4%
	AtlasIntel	10/29/2024	1,299 LV ±3%	47%	50%	3%
	North Star Opinion Research	10/28/2024	600 LV ±4%	47%	47%	6%
	InsiderAdvantage	10/28/2024	800 LV ±3.5%	47%	48%	5%
	Redfield & Wilton	10/25/2024	1,586 LV ±2.3%	48%	47%	5%
	Franklin & Marshall	10/24/2024	583 LV ±5%	49%	50%	1%
	Emerson College	10/24/2024	860 LV ±3.3%	48%	49%	3%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	10/23/2024	812 LV ±3%	50%	48%	2%
	Redfield & Wilton	10/21/2024	1,256 LV ±2.6%	48%	48%	4%
	Wash. Post - Schar School	10/21/2024	707 LV ±4.6%	49%	47%	4%
	Trafalgar Group	10/20/2024	1,084 LV ±2.9%	43%	46%	11%
	AtlasIntel	10/19/2024	2,048 LV ±2%	47%	50%	3%
	Morning Consult	10/17/2024	1,395 LV ±3%	49%	48%	3%
	UMass Lowell	10/17/2024	800 LV ±3.9%	46%	45%	9%
	Redfield & Wilton	10/16/2024	1,649 LV ±2.3%	48%	48%	4%
	J.L. Partners	10/13/2024	800 LV ±3.5%	47%	47%	6%
	NY Times / Phila. Inquirer / Siena	10/12/2024	857 LV ±3.8%	50%	47%	3%
	Redfield & Wilton	10/11/2024	707 LV ±3.5%	46%	48%	6%
	Wall Street Journal	10/11/2024	600 RV ±4%	46%	47%	7%
	American Greatness/TIPP	10/10/2024	803 LV ±3.5%	48%	49%	3%
	Emerson College	10/10/2024	1,000 LV ±3%	49%	50%	1%
	GSG / NSOR	10/09/2024	408 LV ±4.9%	48%	48%	4%
	Quinnipiac	10/09/2024	1,412 LV ±2.6%	49%	47%	4%
	InsiderAdvantage	10/08/2024	800 LV ±3.5%	47%	49%	4%
	Research Co.	10/08/2024	450 LV ±4.6%	48%	47%	5%
	Redfield & Wilton	10/07/2024	5,686 LV ±1.2%	48%	47%	5%
	Cook Political/BSG/GS Strategy	10/02/2024	474 LV	50%	49%	1%
	Emerson College	10/01/2024	1,000 LV ±3%	48%	48%	4%
	AARP	10/01/2024	600 LV ±4%	50%	47%	3%
	Trafalgar Group	9/29/2024	1,090 LV ±2.9%	45%	48%	7%
	AtlasIntel	9/28/2024	1,775 LV ±2%	48%	51%	1%
	Fox News	9/27/2024	775 LV ±3.5%	49%	49%	2%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	9/26/2024	924 LV ±3%	51%	46%	3%
	UMass Lowell	9/26/2024	800 LV ±4%	48%	46%	6%
	RMG Research	9/25/2024	783 LV ±3.5%	49%	49%	2%
	Susquehanna Polling	9/25/2024	700 LV ±3.7%	46%	46%	8%
	Muhlenberg College	9/25/2024	450 LV ±6%	48%	48%	4%
	Redfield & Wilton	9/23/2024	1,086 LV ±2.8%	47%	47%	6%
	MassINC	9/20/2024	800 LV ±4%	52%	47%	1%
	Morning Consult	9/19/2024	1,756 LV ±2.4%	49%	47%	4%
	Marist Poll	9/19/2024	1,476 LV ±3.2%	49%	49%	2%
	Washington Post	9/19/2024	1,003 LV ±3.6%	48%	48%	4%
	Emerson College	9/19/2024	880 LV ±3.2%	47%	48%	5%
	Franklin & Marshall	9/19/2024	890 RV ±4.1%	49%	46%	5%
	NY Times / Phila. Inquirer / Siena	9/19/2024	1,082 LV ±3.8%	50%	46%	4%
	Quinnipiac	9/18/2024	1,331 LV ±2.7%	51%	46%	3%
	InsiderAdvantage	9/17/2024	800 LV ±3.5%	48%	50%	2%
	Suffolk University	9/16/2024	500 LV ±4.4%	49%	46%	5%
	Redfield & Wilton	9/10/2024	801 LV ±3%	45%	45%	10%
	Morning Consult	9/09/2024	1,910 LV ±2%	49%	46%	5%
	CBS / YouGov	9/08/2024	1,085 LV ±3.5%	50%	50%	0%
	The Times (UK) / YouGov	9/05/2024	1,000 RV ±3.6%	46%	45%	9%
	CNN	9/04/2024	789 LV ±4.7%	47%	47%	6%
	Trafalgar Group	8/31/2024	1,082 LV ±2.9%	45%	47%	8%
	Redfield & Wilton	8/30/2024	1,071 LV ±2.8%	46%	45%	9%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	8/29/2024	803 LV ±3%	51%	47%	2%
	Emerson College	8/29/2024	950 LV ±3.1%	48%	48%	4%
	InsiderAdvantage	8/19/2024	800 LV ±3.5%	46%	47%	7%
	Redfield & Wilton	8/19/2024	825 LV ±3.2%	46%	46%	8%
	Cygnal	8/16/2024	800 LV ±3.4%	48%	47%	5%
	Emerson College	8/16/2024	1,000 LV ±3%	48%	49%	3%
	Franklin & Marshall	8/15/2024	920 RV ±3.8%	46%	43%	11%
	Quinnipiac	8/14/2024	1,738 LV ±2.4%	50%	47%	3%
	Cook Political/BSG/GS Strategy	8/14/2024	411 LV	49%	48%	3%
	Independent Center	8/12/2024	500 LV ±4.4%	49%	45%	6%
	NY Times / Siena College	8/10/2024	693 LV ±4.2%	50%	46%	4%
	Trafalgar Group	8/09/2024	1,078 LV ±2.9%	44%	46%	10%
	Redfield & Wilton	8/06/2024	743 LV ±3.4%	44%	46%	10%
	Public Opinion Strategies	8/01/2024	400 LV	48%	45%	7%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	7/30/2024	804 RV ±3%	46%	50%	4%
	Susquehanna Polling	7/30/2024	600 LV ±4%	47%	43%	10%
	Bullfinch Group	7/26/2024	800 RV ±3.5%	48%	47%	5%
	Fox News	7/26/2024	1,034 RV ±3%	49%	49%	2%
	Redfield & Wilton	7/26/2024	851 LV ±3.1%	42%	46%	12%
	Emerson College	7/25/2024	850 RV ±3.3%	46%	48%	6%
	North Star Opinion Research	7/24/2024	600 LV ±4%	45%	47%	8%
	Public Policy	7/22/2024	537 RV	45%	51%	4%
	InsiderAdvantage	7/18/2024	800 LV ±3.5%	40%	47%	13%
	NY Times / Siena College	7/15/2024	872 LV ±3.8%	47%	48%	5%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	5/22/2024	812 RV ±3%	43%	50%	7%
	Emerson College	2/20/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	40%	49%	11%
	NY Times / Siena College	11/05/2023	600 RV ±4.6%	44%	47%	9%

Show:

Harris vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Harris and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source		Date	Sample	Harris	Stein	Kennedy	West	Oliver	Trump	Other
Average of 12 Polls†				47.8%	0.8%	2.0%	0.0%	0.6%	47.8%	-
	NY Times / Siena College	11/03/2024	1,527 LV ±2.9%	47%	1%	-	-	0%	47%	5%
	AtlasIntel	11/02/2024	2,049 LV ±2%	47%	1%	-	-	1%	49%	2%
	Redfield & Wilton	11/01/2024	1,596 LV ±2.3%	48%	0%	-	-	1%	48%	3%
	Data for Progress	11/01/2024	908 LV ±3%	50%	1%	-	-	0%	48%	1%
	The Times (UK) / YouGov	11/01/2024	956 LV ±3.5%	49%	0%	-	0%	-	46%	5%
	AtlasIntel	10/31/2024	1,738 LV ±2%	47%	1%	-	-	1%	49%	2%
	Echelon Insights	10/31/2024	600 LV ±4.5%	46%	1%	-	-	0%	51%	2%
	UMass Lowell	10/31/2024	800 LV ±3.7%	48%	1%	-	-	1%	47%	3%
	Fox News	10/30/2024	1,057 LV ±3%	48%	1%	2%	0%	0%	48%	1%
	Quinnipiac	10/30/2024	2,186 LV ±2.1%	46%	2%	-	-	1%	47%	4%
	CNN	10/30/2024	819 LV ±4.7%	48%	1%	-	-	1%	48%	2%
	Redfield & Wilton	10/29/2024	1,116 LV ±2.8%	48%	0%	-	-	1%	48%	3%
	AtlasIntel	10/29/2024	1,299 LV ±3%	47%	1%	-	-	1%	49%	2%
	North Star Opinion Research	10/28/2024	600 LV ±4%	47%	1%	-	-	1%	47%	4%
	Redfield & Wilton	10/25/2024	1,586 LV ±2.3%	48%	0%	-	-	1%	47%	4%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	10/23/2024	812 LV ±3%	50%	0%	-	-	1%	48%	1%
	Redfield & Wilton	10/21/2024	1,256 LV ±2.6%	48%	0%	-	-	1%	48%	3%
	AtlasIntel	10/19/2024	2,048 LV ±2%	47%	2%	-	-	1%	50%	0%
	UMass Lowell	10/17/2024	800 LV ±3.9%	46%	1%	-	-	0%	45%	8%
	Redfield & Wilton	10/16/2024	1,649 LV ±2.3%	48%	0%	-	-	1%	48%	3%
	J.L. Partners	10/13/2024	800 LV ±3.5%	47%	1%	-	-	1%	47%	4%
	NY Times / Phila. Inquirer / Siena	10/12/2024	857 LV ±3.8%	49%	1%	0%	0%	0%	45%	5%
	Redfield & Wilton	10/11/2024	707 LV ±3.5%	46%	0%	-	-	1%	48%	5%
	Wall Street Journal	10/11/2024	600 RV ±4%	45%	2%	-	-	1%	46%	6%
	American Greatness/TIPP	10/10/2024	803 LV ±3.5%	48%	0%	-	1%	-	49%	2%
	GSG / NSOR	10/09/2024	408 LV ±4.9%	47%	0%	0%	0%	1%	47%	5%
	Quinnipiac	10/09/2024	1,412 LV ±2.6%	49%	1%	-	-	1%	46%	3%
	Redfield & Wilton	10/07/2024	5,686 LV ±1.2%	48%	0%	-	-	1%	47%	4%
	Cook Political/BSG/GS Strategy	10/02/2024	474 LV	49%	2%	0%	0%	-	47%	2%
	AARP	10/01/2024	600 LV ±4%	49%	1%	-	-	0%	47%	3%
	AtlasIntel	9/28/2024	1,775 LV ±2%	48%	0%	-	-	0%	51%	1%
	Fox News	9/27/2024	775 LV ±3.5%	47%	2%	-	0%	2%	48%	1%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	9/26/2024	924 LV ±3%	51%	0%	-	-	3%	45%	1%
	UMass Lowell	9/26/2024	800 LV ±4%	48%	1%	-	-	1%	46%	4%
	Redfield & Wilton	9/23/2024	1,086 LV ±2.8%	47%	0%	-	-	1%	47%	5%
	MassINC	9/20/2024	800 LV ±4%	50%	1%	-	-	0%	46%	3%
	Washington Post	9/19/2024	1,003 LV ±3.6%	48%	1%	-	-	0%	47%	4%
	Franklin & Marshall	9/19/2024	890 RV ±4.1%	49%	1%	-	-	1%	45%	4%
	NY Times / Phila. Inquirer / Siena	9/19/2024	1,082 LV ±3.8%	49%	1%	0%	0%	1%	45%	4%
	Quinnipiac	9/18/2024	1,331 LV ±2.7%	51%	1%	-	-	1%	45%	2%
	Suffolk University	9/16/2024	500 LV ±4.4%	49%	0%	-	-	0%	46%	5%
	Redfield & Wilton	9/10/2024	801 LV ±3%	45%	0%	-	-	1%	45%	9%
	The Times (UK) / YouGov	9/05/2024	1,000 RV ±3.6%	46%	1%	-	0%	-	45%	8%
	CNN	9/04/2024	789 LV ±4.7%	47%	1%	-	-	1%	47%	4%
	Redfield & Wilton	8/30/2024	1,071 LV ±2.8%	46%	1%	-	-	0%	45%	8%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	8/29/2024	803 LV ±3%	51%	1%	-	-	2%	45%	1%
	Redfield & Wilton	8/19/2024	825 LV ±3.2%	46%	0%	4%	-	0%	46%	4%
	Cygnal	8/16/2024	800 LV ±3.4%	44%	2%	5%	2%	-	43%	4%
	Emerson College	8/16/2024	1,000 LV ±3%	47%	0%	3%	0%	0%	47%	3%
	Franklin & Marshall	8/15/2024	920 RV ±3.8%	46%	1%	6%	-	1%	43%	3%
	Quinnipiac	8/14/2024	1,738 LV ±2.4%	48%	0%	4%	-	0%	45%	3%
	Cook Political/BSG/GS Strategy	8/14/2024	411 LV	48%	0%	5%	0%	-	43%	4%
	Independent Center	8/12/2024	500 LV ±4.4%	45%	0%	6%	2%	-	41%	6%
	NY Times / Siena College	8/10/2024	693 LV ±4.2%	46%	1%	4%	0%	0%	44%	5%
	Trafalgar Group	8/09/2024	1,078 LV ±2.9%	44%	-	4%	-	-	46%	6%
	Redfield & Wilton	8/06/2024	743 LV ±3.4%	44%	0%	3%	-	0%	46%	7%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	7/30/2024	804 RV ±3%	44%	1%	3%	-	4%	46%	2%
	Susquehanna Polling	7/30/2024	600 LV ±4%	47%	0%	3%	-	-	43%	7%
	Bullfinch Group	7/26/2024	800 RV ±3.5%	44%	1%	6%	-	1%	44%	4%
	Fox News	7/26/2024	1,034 RV ±3%	45%	1%	7%	1%	-	43%	3%
	Redfield & Wilton	7/26/2024	851 LV ±3.1%	42%	0%	5%	-	0%	46%	7%
	Emerson College	7/25/2024	850 RV ±3.3%	44%	1%	3%	1%	0%	46%	5%
	NY Times / Siena College	7/15/2024	872 LV ±3.8%	42%	2%	6%	0%	0%	43%	7%

Show:

Biden vs. Trump

Includes polls recorded through the president' withdrawal from the race on July 21, 2024.

Source		Date	Sample	Biden	Trump	Other
Average of 5 Polls†				42.8%	46.6%	-
	Redfield & Wilton	7/21/2024	688 LV ±3.4%	41%	45%	14%
	InsiderAdvantage	7/18/2024	800 LV ±3.5%	45%	49%	6%
	Emerson College	7/18/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	43%	48%	9%
	Redfield & Wilton	7/15/2024	719 LV	40%	45%	15%
	The Times (UK) / YouGov	7/15/2024	1,000 RV ±3.4%	40%	43%	17%
	NY Times / Siena College	7/15/2024	872 LV ±3.8%	45%	48%	7%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	7/06/2024	794 RV ±3%	44%	51%	5%
	Emerson College	7/02/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	43%	48%	9%
	Emerson College	7/02/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	43%	48%	9%
	Cygnal	7/01/2024	800 LV ±3.5%	44%	48%	8%
	Emerson College	6/20/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	45%	47%	8%
	Redfield & Wilton	6/17/2024	456 LV	42%	44%	14%
	Marist Poll	6/12/2024	1,181 LV ±3.6%	45%	47%	8%
	FAU / Mainstreet	6/04/2024	923 LV	45%	47%	8%
	Cook Political/BSG/GS Strategy	5/23/2024	730 LV ±3.6%	45%	48%	7%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	5/22/2024	812 RV ±3%	46%	48%	6%
	Redfield & Wilton	5/13/2024	509 LV	41%	43%	16%
	NY Times / Phila. Inquirer / Siena	5/13/2024	1,023 RV ±4%	44%	47%	9%
	Muhlenberg College	5/07/2024	417 LV ±6%	41%	44%	15%
	AARP	5/07/2024	600 LV ±4%	45%	49%	6%
	Emerson College	4/30/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	45%	47%	8%
	CBS / YouGov	4/28/2024	1,306 LV ±3.1%	49%	50%	1%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	4/24/2024	803 RV ±3%	46%	47%	7%
	Fox News	4/18/2024	1,141 RV ±3%	48%	48%	4%
	Bullfinch Group	4/09/2024	800 RV ±3.5%	44%	41%	15%
	Franklin & Marshall	4/04/2024	431 RV ±5.7%	48%	38%	14%
	Wall Street Journal	4/02/2024	600 RV ±4%	44%	47%	9%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	3/26/2024	807 RV ±3%	45%	45%	10%
	Susquehanna Polling	3/25/2024	450 RV ±4.6%	50%	45%	5%
	Redfield & Wilton	3/25/2024	775 LV ±3.3%	41%	44%	15%
	CNN	3/22/2024	1,132 RV ±3.8%	46%	46%	8%
	Emerson College	3/14/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	43%	47%	10%
	Fox News	3/13/2024	1,149 RV ±3%	47%	49%	4%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	2/29/2024	803 RV ±3%	43%	49%	8%
	Emerson College	2/20/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	43%	45%	12%
	Franklin & Marshall	2/01/2024	507 RV ±5%	43%	42%	15%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	1/31/2024	795 RV ±3%	45%	48%	7%
	Susquehanna Polling	1/23/2024	745 LV ±3.7%	47%	39%	14%
	Quinnipiac	1/10/2024	1,680 RV ±2.4%	49%	46%	5%
	Redfield & Wilton	1/08/2024	836 LV	39%	40%	21%
	Muhlenberg College	12/19/2023	421 RV ±6%	42%	41%	17%
	Bullfinch Group	12/18/2023	600 RV ±4%	45%	45%	10%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	12/14/2023	799 RV ±3%	44%	46%	10%
	Redfield & Wilton	12/05/2023	887 LV ±3%	37%	44%	19%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	11/09/2023	805 RV ±3%	44%	47%	9%
	Emerson College	11/09/2023	816 LV ±3%	45%	49%	6%
	NY Times / Siena College	11/05/2023	600 RV ±4.6%	44%	48%	8%
	Franklin & Marshall	10/26/2023	873 RV ±4.1%	44%	42%	14%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	10/19/2023	807 RV ±3%	45%	46%	9%
	Redfield & Wilton	10/15/2023	1,070 RV ±3%	43%	42%	15%
	Emerson College	10/11/2023	430 RV ±4.7%	36%	45%	19%
	Susquehanna Polling	10/05/2023	700 RV ±3.7%	47%	45%	8%
	Quinnipiac	10/04/2023	1,725 RV ±2.4%	45%	47%	8%
	National Public Affairs	9/21/2023	622 LV ±3.9%	47%	45%	8%
	Franklin & Marshall	8/24/2023	723 RV ±4.5%	42%	40%	18%
	Quinnipiac	6/28/2023	1,584 RV ±2.5%	46%	47%	7%
	Public Opinion Strategies	6/20/2023	500 RV ±4.4%	48%	44%	8%
	Public Opinion Strategies	4/14/2023	500 RV ±4.4%	46%	42%	12%
	Franklin & Marshall	4/13/2023	643 RV ±4.9%	36%	35%	29%
	Susquehanna Polling	3/02/2023	800 RV ±3.2%	48%	41%	11%

Show:

Biden vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Biden and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source		Date	Sample	Biden	Stein	Kennedy	West	Oliver	Trump	Other
Average of 5 Polls†				40.0%	1.2%	5.4%	1.3%	0.0%	44.0%	-
	Redfield & Wilton	7/21/2024	688 LV ±3.4%	41%	1%	4%	-	0%	45%	9%
	Emerson College	7/18/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	40%	1%	4%	1%	0%	46%	8%
	Redfield & Wilton	7/15/2024	719 LV	40%	1%	6%	-	0%	45%	8%
	The Times (UK) / YouGov	7/15/2024	1,000 RV ±3.4%	40%	1%	3%	1%	-	43%	12%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	7/06/2024	794 RV ±3%	41%	1%	7%	1%	0%	44%	6%
	Emerson College	7/02/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	40%	1%	6%	1%	1%	45%	6%
	Emerson College	7/02/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	40%	1%	6%	1%	1%	45%	6%
	Cygnal	7/01/2024	800 LV ±3.5%	38%	2%	9%	2%	-	42%	7%
	Emerson College	6/20/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	42%	1%	5%	0%	-	45%	7%
	Redfield & Wilton	6/17/2024	456 LV	42%	1%	5%	-	0%	44%	8%
	Marist Poll	6/12/2024	1,181 LV ±3.6%	45%	1%	3%	1%	0%	47%	3%
	FAU / Mainstreet	6/04/2024	923 LV	43%	-	7%	-	-	42%	8%
	Cook Political/BSG/GS Strategy	5/23/2024	730 LV ±3.6%	40%	2%	7%	2%	-	43%	6%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	5/22/2024	812 RV ±3%	42%	1%	7%	2%	-	45%	3%
	Redfield & Wilton	5/13/2024	509 LV	41%	0%	7%	-	-	43%	9%
	NY Times / Phila. Inquirer / Siena	5/13/2024	1,023 RV ±4%	36%	1%	10%	0%	-	40%	13%
	Muhlenberg College	5/07/2024	417 LV ±6%	35%	-	18%	-	-	35%	12%
	AARP	5/07/2024	600 LV ±4%	41%	5%	-	-	3%	46%	5%
	Emerson College	4/30/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	41%	1%	6%	1%	-	45%	6%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	4/24/2024	803 RV ±3%	42%	1%	8%	0%	-	43%	6%
	Fox News	4/18/2024	1,141 RV ±3%	42%	2%	8%	1%	-	44%	3%
	Franklin & Marshall	4/04/2024	431 RV ±5.7%	42%	3%	9%	-	-	40%	6%
	Wall Street Journal	4/02/2024	600 RV ±4%	38%	1%	7%	3%	-	41%	10%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	3/26/2024	807 RV ±3%	38%	1%	7%	0%	-	44%	10%
	Redfield & Wilton	3/25/2024	775 LV ±3.3%	41%	1%	7%	-	-	44%	7%
	CNN	3/22/2024	1,132 RV ±3.8%	38%	-	16%	4%	-	40%	2%
	Emerson College	3/14/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	40%	1%	5%	1%	-	44%	9%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	2/29/2024	803 RV ±3%	36%	1%	8%	1%	-	45%	9%
	Emerson College	2/20/2024	1,000 RV ±3%	37%	1%	8%	2%	-	42%	10%
	Franklin & Marshall	2/01/2024	507 RV ±5%	42%	2%	8%	-	-	37%	11%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	1/31/2024	795 RV ±3%	40%	1%	7%	1%	-	43%	8%
	Quinnipiac	1/10/2024	1,680 RV ±2.4%	41%	4%	11%	2%	-	39%	3%
	Redfield & Wilton	1/08/2024	836 LV	39%	-	6%	-	-	40%	15%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	12/14/2023	799 RV ±3%	38%	1%	9%	1%	-	39%	12%
	Redfield & Wilton	12/05/2023	887 LV ±3%	37%	-	7%	-	-	44%	12%
	Bloomberg / Morning Consult	11/09/2023	805 RV ±3%	38%	-	8%	1%	-	41%	12%
	NY Times / Siena College	11/05/2023	600 RV ±4.6%	35%	-	23%	-	-	35%	7%
	Redfield & Wilton	10/15/2023	1,070 RV ±3%	39%	-	9%	-	-	39%	13%

Show:

† The average includes the most recent poll from each source released within two weeks of the November 5 election. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls from the date of the most recent poll, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.

When did it last happen?

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Election Winner

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2024

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1948

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Includes polls recorded through the president' withdrawal from the race on July 21, 2024.

Biden vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

When did it last happen?

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