Arizona 2024 Presidential Election Polls

Biden vs. Trump

Source Date Sample Biden Trump Other
Average of 5 Polls† 42.6% 47.2% -
North Star Opinion Research 6/21/2024 600 LV ±4% 42% 48% 10%
Emerson College 6/20/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 43% 47% 10%
Redfield & Wilton 6/17/2024 430 LV 38% 40% 22%
AARP 6/12/2024 600 LV ±4% 44% 50% 6%
Fox News 6/06/2024 1,095 RV ±3% 46% 51% 3%
Florida Atlantic U. 5/23/2024 501 LV 45% 43% 12%
Cook Political/BSG/GS Strategy 5/23/2024 527 LV ±4.3% 44% 45% 11%
Noble Predictive Insights 5/22/2024 1,003 RV ±3.1% 41% 44% 15%
CBS / YouGov 5/19/2024 1,193 LV ±3.5% 47% 52% 1%
Redfield & Wilton 5/13/2024 529 LV 42% 44% 14%
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Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Biden and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Biden Stein Kennedy West Oliver Trump Other
Average of 5 Polls† 37.4% 1.8% 9.2% 1.0% 0.7% 43.2% -
North Star Opinion Research 6/21/2024 600 LV ±4% 32% 3% 13% - 2% 42% 8%
Emerson College 6/20/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 39% 1% 8% 1% - 43% 8%
Redfield & Wilton 6/17/2024 430 LV 38% 1% 6% - 0% 40% 15%
AARP 6/12/2024 600 LV ±4% 37% 3% 11% - 0% 45% 4%
Fox News 6/06/2024 1,095 RV ±3% 41% 1% 8% 1% - 46% 3%
Cook Political/BSG/GS Strategy 5/23/2024 527 LV ±4.3% 37% 1% 10% 2% - 41% 9%
Noble Predictive Insights 5/22/2024 1,003 RV ±3.1% 36% 2% 8% 1% - 43% 10%
CBS / YouGov 5/19/2024 1,193 LV ±3.5% 40% 5% - - - 44% 11%
Redfield & Wilton 5/13/2024 529 LV 42% 2% 7% - - 44% 5%
NY Times / Siena College 5/13/2024 626 RV ±4% 33% 2% 10% 0% - 42% 13%
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†The average includes all polls within seven days of the date of the most recent poll, limited to one poll from any source. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.

When did it last happen?

This feature shows the most recent election where the state voted with or against the presidential winner in each party. Click the year to see the corresponding electoral map and results.
Arizona Winner
Biden
Trump
Romney
Election Winner
Biden
Trump
Obama
2020
2016
2012
Never