2024 Texas House Election Interactive Map
All US House seats to be contested in 2024
The only state to see a net change of more than one congressional seat after the 2020 Census, Texas now has 38 congressional districts, the 2nd largest delegation in the country. Republicans controlled the redistricting process, largely eliminating competitive races for either party in 2022 except for three districts in South Texas.
Those races, in Districts 15, 28, and 34, ended up not being all that close, each decided by 8% or more. As such, while they are on the competitive radar for 2024, the current expectation is they are favored to stay with the incumbent party.
To create and share your own forecast, visit the 2024 House Interactive Map.
Hover over a district for details.
| District | Incumbent | Party | Since | Term | Predictions | Margin of Victory | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | Map | House(a) | President(b) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TX- 34 |  |
Vicente Gonzalez | 2017 | 4th |
|
|
8.5% | 15.5% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Vicente Gonzalez*
Mayra Flores
|
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| District | Incumbent | Party | Since | Term | Predictions | Margin of Victory | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Consensus | Map | House(a) | President(b) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TX- 34 | |
Vicente Gonzalez | 2017 | 4th |
|
|
8.5% | 15.5% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Vicente Gonzalez*
Mayra Flores
|
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(a) Source: 270toWin research.
Aside from these
exceptions, the margin is the difference between the Democratic and Republican nominee in
the 2022 general election.
Exception types: * Uncontested | + No major party opposition | ^
Both nominees from same party | x All-party primary | y Ranked choice
tabulation
(b) Source: Daily Kos. The margin is the difference between Joe Biden and Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election, based on congressional district boundaries in use for the 2024 election. Where there has been redistricting, the 2022 boundaries are used in the Current House tab.
