Initial 2024 Cook Political Report House Ratings

Cook Political Report is out with its initial look at the 2024 elections for the House of Representatives. Subscribers can read the full analysis by David Wasserman.

Republicans start with a narrow 222-213 margin, setting the stage for another competitive battle for control. The initial ratings show 203 safe or likely Republican seats vs. 190 for Democrats. That leaves 42 highly competitive districts, including 20 pure toss-ups.

Wasserman notes that Republicans "have history on their side: despite the House flipping partisan control five times since 1994, it hasn't flipped in a presidential cycle since 1952." An additional benefit to the party may come if another redistricting takes place in North Carolina and Ohio, "where temporary maps were used for the 2022 cycle by court order. In both states, Republicans captured state supreme court majorities in November, potentially allowing GOP-led legislatures to pass fresh gerrymanders for 2024." 

Click or tap the map below for an interactive version of the 2024 Cook Political Report House ratings. Use it to create and share your own forecast.


comments powered by Disqus


Live Results: New Jersey 10th Congressional District Special Primary

The winner of the September 18 special election will complete the term of the late Donald Payne Jr.

Introducing the 2024 Presidential Election Simulator

Run a simulated Biden - Trump election or view the results of 25,000 daily simulations

Electoral Maps: Compare the Consensus Forecast to Polling

A side-by-side look at how the experts see the November, 2024 presidential election and what the polls currently show.

Live Results: Wisconsin State Senate Special Primary

Begins the process of filling the vacancy in this Milwaukee area seat

Republican Michael Rulli, Winner of Ohio Special Election, Sworn in to Congress

The GOP partisan advantage expanded to 219-213 with Tuesday's ceremony; the party also won a special election in Colorado