Update on Polls Conducted After First Presidential Debate

September 30, 2016

Hillary Clinton is ahead in all 13 polls conducted entirely after the first presidential debate on Monday. Other than California, all the polls were in battleground states. While most of these states remain competitive, it appears that Clinton received at least a modest bounce from her debate performance.

It is worth noting that Clinton was already at least slightly ahead in all of these states (except Nevada); we haven't yet seen any post-debate polling from battlegrounds where Donald Trump had the lead. Those include Ohio, Iowa and Arizona. The overall electoral map based on polls remains unchanged.

  

For those interested, we also have a new variant of the polling map. This 'no toss-ups' version colors the state for Clinton or Trump unless there is an exact tie in the polls, as there now is in Nevada. You can get to these polling maps, as well as the latest forecast from a number of other sites, on our Presidential Election Forecasts page.

comments powered by Disqus

Headlines

The Road to 270: Mississippi

At the presidential level, the Magnolia State has voted for only one Democratic nominee since 1960. The population demographics drive remarkably consistent results every four years.

Hawaii Democratic Primary Results

Rescheduled from April 4, this party primary was conducted exclusively by mail

House Ratings Changes from Inside Elections

15 seats were updated, 7 of which moved to safe for the November elections

2020 Electoral Map Based on Polling Averages

This far out, polling may be of limited predictive value, but it will become more and more relevant as November draws closer

Oregon Primaries: Overview and Live Results

Having a long history of conducting elections by mail, the state was able to keep its original May 19 primary date. Live results for contested presidential and congressional contests