Field Poll: Clinton Leads Sanders by 2 in California

The final survey from the highly-regarded Field Poll in advance of next Tuesday's California primary gives Hillary Clinton a two-point lead over Bernie Sanders. This is the third poll in the last five to show Clinton with a two-point lead. The other two polls showed her with a double-digit lead. 

Clinton lead by six in Field's last poll, conducted in early April.

 

The poll found that Clinton leads by 9 among those who have already cast a ballot, while Sanders leads by one among those not yet voting. Mark DiCamillo, director of the Field Poll said that "it will boil down to turnout. If Sanders can get his voters to the polls, he could pull out a victory in California.”

As we noted yesterday, "regardless of how California turns out, Clinton will easily surpass the required 2,383 delegates (including committed superdelegates) next Tuesday. She is expected to arrive at the Philadelphia convention with a lead of about 300 pledged delegates, making a case against those superdelegates flipping their position. That said, a Sanders victory here would certainly give him momentum to push his policies at the convention."

comments powered by Disqus

Headlines

Utah Rep. Chris Stewart Expected to Resign from Congress

Departure reportedly to deal with family health issues; Gov. Spencer Cox would call special election

Ron DeSantis Enters 2024 Presidential Race

The Florida governor has been consistently in second place in polling, far behind Donald Trump, but well ahead of others

Sen. Tim Scott Launches Presidential Campaign

The South Carolina Republican will hope to offer an alternative to Donald Trump in an increasingly crowded field

Delaware Sen. Tom Carper Won't Seek Reelection in 2024

The four-term incumbent is the 4th Senator retiring or running for another office next year

Live Results for May 16 Elections, Including Primaries for Kentucky Governor and Philadelphia Mayor

Separately, two special elections will determine control of the Pennsylvania State House