2016 Democratic Presidential Nomination

2,383 Delegates Needed to Win

The Democratic Party will nominate a 2016 presidential candidate at its convention in Philadelphia the week of July 25, 2016. Primary and caucus events will go through mid June.

Estimated Delegates Earned

Clinton
2,807

Sanders
1,894

2,383 delegates needed to win. Superdelegates are Party officials who can support whichever candidate they like. The total number includes superdelegates that have committed to Clinton or Sanders. It is worth noting that ‘commit’ is not the same as ‘bound’; these superdelegates are free to switch until they vote at the Democratic Convention. Delegate Counts: New York Times

The map below shows the number of delegates each state will send to the Democratic convention. Use the filters below the map to view it in different ways. Click a state to see polling detail and an overview of its primary or caucus.

MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

	AS
	GU
	MP

	PR
	VI

February	Super Tues	March 2-31	April	May	After May
186	1,015	1,470	868	275	933

Primary	Caucus

Proportional	Threshold	WTA (Split)	Winner Take All	Other
Proportional	Threshold	WTA (Split)	Winner Take All	Other

Map excludes 18 delegates separately allocated. Democratic contests allocate delegates in some manner proportional to popular vote, subject to a 15% minimum to receive any delegates. Select a radio button to display the map along the chosen dimension. Use the drop-down boxes to limit the display to specific time or type. The number of delegates and percentage of all 4,765 Democratic delegates associated with your options will display. Information is estimated and subject to change. Some states have an extended process for choosing delegates; the time used on the map is generally the start of the process. Select a state on the map for more detail. Special thanks to Greenpapers and FHQ for making it a lot easier to aggregate the data. Visit those sites for the finer details of the state-by-state allocation rules.

National Polls

The results of national polling for a preferred Democratic nominee is shown below. While these national polls are directionally interesting, the nominee will ultimately be chosen based on delegates earned during state-by-state primary and caucus votes.

Source		Date	Sample	Clinton	Sanders	Other
Poll Averages†				52.4%	41.4%	-
	IBD/TIPP	6/06/2016	351 RV ±5.3%	51%	37%	12%
	Quinnipiac	6/01/2016	678 RV ±3.8%	53%	39%	8%
	NBC News / WSJ	5/23/2016	342 LV ±5.3%	53%	45%	2%
	CBS News/NY Times	5/19/2016	371 LV ±6%	51%	44%	5%
	Pew Research	5/05/2016	738 RV	54%	42%	4%
	CNN \| ORC	5/02/2016	405 RV ±5%	51%	43%	6%
	IBD/TIPP	4/29/2016	355 RV ±5.3%	49%	43%	8%
	Suffolk University	4/25/2016	363 LV ±5.1%	50%	45%	5%
	NBC News / WSJ	4/18/2016	339 LV ±5.3%	50%	48%	2%
	Fox News	4/14/2016	450 LV ±4.5%	48%	46%	6%
	CBS News	4/14/2016	359 LV	50%	44%	6%
	PRRI / The Atlantic	4/07/2016	788 RV	46%	47%	7%
	McClatchy - Marist	4/06/2016	497 RV ±4.4%	47%	49%	4%
	IBD/TIPP	4/04/2016	383 LV ±5.1%	45%	44%	11%
	Pew Research	3/31/2016	842 RV ±3.8%	49%	43%	8%
	Public Policy	3/29/2016	422 LV ±4.8%	54%	36%	10%
	Bloomberg	3/24/2016	311 LV ±5.6%	48%	49%	3%
	Quinnipiac	3/23/2016	635 LV ±3.9%	50%	38%	12%
	Monmouth University	3/23/2016	391 RV ±5%	55%	37%	8%
	Fox News	3/23/2016	410 LV ±5%	55%	42%	3%
	CNN \| ORC	3/21/2016	478 LV ±4.5%	51%	44%	5%
	CBS News/NY Times	3/21/2016	388 LV	50%	45%	5%
	Washington Post - ABC News	3/08/2016	250 LV ±6%	49%	42%	9%
	NBC News / WSJ	3/08/2016	410 LV ±4.8%	53%	44%	3%
	CNN \| ORC	2/29/2016	418 LV ±5%	55%	38%	7%
	Rasmussen	2/29/2016	541 LV ±4.5%	53%	31%	16%
	IBD/TIPP	2/25/2016	334 LV ±5.5%	45%	43%	12%
	NBC News / WSJ	2/18/2016	400 LV ±4.9%	53%	42%	5%
	Fox News	2/18/2016	429 RV ±4.5%	44%	47%	9%
	Quinnipiac	2/17/2016	563 RV ±4.1%	44%	42%	14%
	Suffolk University	2/17/2016	319 LV ±5.5%	50%	40%	10%
	Quinnipiac	2/05/2016	484 LV ±4.5%	44%	42%	14%
	Rasmussen	2/05/2016	574 LV ±4.5%	50%	32%	18%
	Public Policy	2/04/2016	517 LV ±4.3%	53%	32%	15%
	IBD/TIPP	1/28/2016	349 RV ±5.4%	50%	38%	12%
	Washington Post - ABC News	1/27/2016	406 RV ±5.5%	55%	36%	9%
	Fox News	1/25/2016	375 LV ±5%	49%	37%	14%
	CNN \| ORC	1/25/2016	440 RV ±4.5%	52%	38%	10%
	Monmouth University	1/19/2016	352 RV ±5.2%	52%	37%	11%
	NBC News / WSJ	1/17/2016	400 RV ±4.9%	59%	34%	7%
	CBS News/NY Times	1/12/2016	389 LV	48%	41%	11%
	IBD/TIPP	1/11/2016	378 RV ±5.1%	43%	39%	18%
	Fox News	1/08/2016	360 RV ±5%	54%	39%	7%
	CNN \| ORC	12/23/2015	414 RV ±5%	50%	34%	16%
	Quinnipiac	12/22/2015	462 RV ±4.6%	61%	30%	9%
	Rasmussen	12/22/2015	546 LV ±4.5%	46%	30%	24%
	Emerson College	12/21/2015	332 LV ±5.3%	65%	26%	9%
	Washington Post - ABC News	12/18/2015	377 RV ±5.5%	59%	28%	13%
	Public Policy	12/18/2015	525 LV ±4.3%	56%	28%	16%
	Fox News	12/18/2015	390 RV ±5%	56%	34%	10%
	Monmouth University	12/16/2015	374 RV ±5.1%	59%	26%	15%
	NBC News / WSJ	12/14/2015	400 LV ±4.9%	56%	37%	7%
	CBS News/NY Times	12/10/2015	384 LV	52%	32%	16%
	Suffolk University	12/08/2015	363 LV ±5.1%	56%	29%	15%
	IBD/TIPP	12/07/2015	345 RV ±5.4%	51%	33%	16%
	CNN \| ORC	12/04/2015	403 RV ±5%	58%	30%	12%
	Quinnipiac	12/02/2015	573 RV ±4.1%	60%	30%	10%
	Washington Post - ABC News	11/22/2015	352 RV ±6%	60%	34%	6%
	Fox News	11/22/2015	366 LV	55%	32%	13%
	Bloomberg	11/20/2015	385 RV ±5%	55%	30%	15%
	Public Policy	11/19/2015	538 RV ±4.2%	59%	26%	15%
	YouGov	11/16/2015	381 LV ±6%	63%	29%	8%
	McClatchy - Marist	11/13/2015	511 RV ±4.3%	57%	35%	8%
	CBS News/NY Times	11/12/2015	418 LV ±6%	52%	33%	15%
	Quinnipiac	11/04/2015	480 RV ±4.5%	53%	35%	12%
	Fox News	11/04/2015	505 RV ±4%	56%	31%	13%
	NBC News / WSJ	11/03/2015	400 LV ±4.9%	62%	31%	7%
	IBD/TIPP	10/31/2015	356 RV ±5.3%	48%	33%	19%
	Washington Post - ABC News	10/20/2015	364 RV ±6%	54%	23%	23%
	NBC News / WSJ	10/20/2015	400 LV ±4.9%	49%	29%	22%
	CNN \| ORC	10/19/2015	425 RV ±5%	45%	29%	26%
	Monmouth University	10/19/2015	340 RV ±5.3%	48%	21%	31%
	Fox News	10/13/2015	353 RV	45%	25%	30%
	CBS News	10/11/2015	343 LV ±6%	46%	27%	27%
	Public Policy	10/06/2015	551 LV ±4.2%	42%	24%	34%
	Pew Research	10/04/2015	387 RV	45%	24%	31%
	IBD/TIPP	10/02/2015	344 V	42%	18%	40%
	Suffolk University	10/01/2015	430 LV ±4.7%	41%	23%	36%
	NBC News / WSJ	9/27/2015	256 LV ±6.1%	42%	35%	23%
	Quinnipiac	9/24/2015	587 RV ±4%	43%	25%	32%
	Bloomberg	9/23/2015	375 RV ±5.1%	33%	24%	43%
	Fox News	9/23/2015	381 LV	44%	30%	26%
	CNN \| ORC	9/21/2015	392 RV ±5%	42%	24%	34%
	CBS News/NY Times	9/15/2015	351 LV ±6%	47%	27%	26%
	Washington Post - ABC News	9/14/2015	N/A	42%	24%	34%
	CNN \| ORC	9/10/2015	395 RV ±5%	37%	27%	36%
	Monmouth University	9/08/2015	339 RV ±5.3%	42%	20%	38%
	Public Policy	9/01/2015	545 LV ±4.2%	55%	20%	25%
	Quinnipiac	8/27/2015	647 RV ±3.9%	45%	22%	33%
	Rasmussen	8/26/2015	536 LV ±4%	50%	24%	26%
	Fox News	8/16/2015	401 LV	49%	30%	21%
	Morning Consult	8/10/2015	896 RV ±3.3%	56%	19%	25%
	Fox News	8/03/2015	499 LV	51%	22%	27%
	NBC News / WSJ	8/03/2015	253 LV ±6.2%	59%	25%	16%
	Quinnipiac	7/30/2015	681 RV ±3.8%	55%	17%	28%
	CNN \| ORC	7/26/2015	392 RV ±5%	56%	19%	25%
	Public Policy	7/22/2015	496 LV ±4.4%	57%	22%	21%
	Washington Post - ABC News	7/20/2015	N/A	63%	14%	23%
	Fox News	7/16/2015	382 LV	59%	19%	22%
	Suffolk University	7/15/2015	434 LV ±4.7%	59%	14%	27%
	Monmouth University	7/15/2015	357 RV ±5.2%	51%	17%	32%
	Gravis Marketing	7/06/2015	519 RV ±4.3%	55%	13%	32%
	CNN \| ORC	7/01/2015	428 RV ±4.5%	58%	15%	27%
	Fox News	6/24/2015	375 LV ±4.5%	61%	15%	24%
	NBC News / WSJ	6/23/2015	247 LV ±6.2%	75%	15%	10%
	Public Policy	6/16/2015	471 RV ±4.5%	65%	9%	26%
	Monmouth University	6/16/2015	350 RV ±5.2%	57%	12%	31%
	Fox News	6/03/2015	395 LV	57%	11%	32%
	Washington Post - ABC News	6/02/2015	N/A	62%	10%	28%
	CNN \| ORC	6/02/2015	433 A ±4.5%	60%	10%	30%
	Quinnipiac	5/28/2015	748 RV ±3.6%	57%	15%	28%
	Public Policy	5/13/2015	600 LV ±4%	63%	13%	24%
	Fox News	5/13/2015	370 RV	63%	6%	31%
	Fox News	4/24/2015	388 RV	62%	4%	34%
	Quinnipiac	4/23/2015	569 RV ±4.1%	60%	8%	32%
	CNN \| ORC	4/20/2015	458 A ±4.5%	69%	5%	26%
	Suffolk University	4/14/2015	413 A	43%	1%	56%
	Public Policy	4/07/2015	449 RV ±4.6%	54%	6%	40%
	ABC News	4/02/2015	N/A	66%	5%	29%
	Fox News	4/02/2015	397 LV	61%	3%	36%
	CNN \| ORC	3/18/2015	466 A ±4.5%	62%	3%	35%
	McClatchy - Marist	3/06/2015	462 RV ±4.6%	60%	5%	35%
	Quinnipiac	3/05/2015	493 RV ±4.4%	56%	4%	40%
	Public Policy	2/25/2015	310 LV ±5.6%	54%	5%	41%
	CNN \| ORC	2/18/2015	475 A ±4.5%	61%	3%	36%
	Public Policy	1/30/2015	386 LV ±5%	60%	2%	38%
	Fox News	1/29/2015	390 RV ±5%	55%	3%	42%
	Rasmussen	1/27/2015	648 LV ±4%	59%	4%	37%
	CNN \| ORC	12/28/2014	469 A ±4.5%	66%	3%	31%
	ABC News	12/21/2014	346 RV ±6%	61%	4%	35%
	Fox News	12/16/2014	409 RV	62%	3%	35%

Show:

†The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.

2016 Democratic Presidential Nomination

2,383 Delegates Needed to Win

Estimated Delegates Earned

National Polls

2020 Presidential Election Results

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