The Economist's US Presidential Election Forecast

Current as of Map Timestamp

Updated twice daily, this is an electoral map projection based on The Economist's US presidential election forecast

Use the timeline feature to view the map based on the final update each day.

The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (65%+), Medium (85%+), Dark (99%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.


The map at this URL was originally created for the 2020 election as a Trump vs. Biden forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2020 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2024 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2024 electoral votes will display)
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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
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Mother of Hunter’s Biden Child to Publish Book

The co-chairman of a super PAC supporting Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.’s presidential campaign...

North Carolina Governor’s Race Is a Toss Up

Cook Political Report: “Our initial rating of this contest, now set between...

Marco Rubio Doesn’t Want to Audition for Trump

Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) “has not visited the courthouse in Manhattan to flaunt...

Top Republicans Push Trump’s Election Fraud Narrative

“Top Republicans are already rushing to buy into a new 2024 election fraud...

DNC Will Nominate Biden Before the Convention

“The Democratic National Committee is preparing to nominate President Biden...


Overview and Live Results: Texas Primary Runoff Elections

May 28, 2024

30 runoffs for U.S. House and State Legislative seats where no candidate received a majority in the March 5 primary

Idaho Democratic Caucus Results

May 24, 2024

Joe Biden received 95%, winning all 23 pledged delegates

Live Results: Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, and Oregon Primaries

May 21, 2024

Four states hold their down-ballot primaries this Tuesday, with presidential contests also on the ballot in Kentucky and Oregon

Overview and Live Results: California Congressional District 20 Special Election

May 20, 2024

The winner will complete the term of former Speaker Kevin McCarthy, who resigned at the end of last year.

Live Results: Maryland, Nebraska, West Virginia Primaries; North Carolina Runoffs

May 14, 2024

Senate Democratic Primary in Maryland is the marquee race, although there are several competitive House races of interest