The Economist's US Presidential Election Forecast

Current as of Map Timestamp

Updated twice daily, this is an electoral map projection based on The Economist's US presidential election forecast

Use the timeline feature to view the map based on the final update each day.

The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (65%+), Medium (85%+), Dark (99%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.

Current

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Headlines

First Look: 2020 Presidential Election if All States Voted Like Maine and Nebraska

January 13, 2021

Those two states award two electoral votes to the state popular vote winner and one for each congressional district

Georgia Senate Runoffs: Overview and Live Results

January 5, 2021

Control of the Senate hangs in the balance

117th Congress Underway

January 3, 2021

Democrats have a much narrow margin in the House while control of the Senate to be decided Tuesday

2022 Interactive Senate Map is Live

December 31, 2020

34 seats will be contested in the upcoming cycle; 20 Republican, 13 Democratic and 1 TBD in Georgia Runoff

Competitive Presidential Election States: 2020 vs. 2016

December 21, 2020

States decided by 10% or less in the 2020 presidential election

The Objectors Versus the Rejecters

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The Democrats’ 51% Trifecta

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GOP Likely Needs a Big Georgia Turnout Today

Dear Readers: With a new president about to take office...

Georgia Senate Runoffs: Breaking Down November, Looking to January

Dear Readers: This is the last issue of the Crystal...