The Economist's US Presidential Election Forecast

Current as of Map Timestamp

Updated twice daily, this is an electoral map projection based on The Economist's US presidential election forecast

Use the timeline feature to view the map based on the final update each day.

The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (65%+), Medium (85%+), Dark (99%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.

Current

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2020 election as a Trump vs. Biden forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2020 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2028 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2028 electoral votes will display)
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Headlines

Overview and Live Results: New Jersey Primary

June 10, 2025

Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy is termed-out; there are contested primaries in both parties.

Live Results: June 10 Legislative Special Elections

June 10, 2025

Seven elections will fill vacancies across three states

Live Results: San Antonio and Garland Texas Mayoral Runoffs

June 7, 2025

San Antonio hasn't elected a GOP mayor in 30 years, but this race looks competitive

Election Recap June 3, 2025: Dems Hold State House Seat in South Carolina

June 4, 2025

On a related note, Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin has scheduled the special election to succeed the late Gerry Connolly

Live Results: South Carolina State House District 50 Special Election

June 3, 2025

This will fill the one vacancy in the Republican-dominated chamber