The Economist's US Presidential Election Forecast

Current as of Map Timestamp

Updated twice daily, this is an electoral map projection based on The Economist's US presidential election forecast

Use the timeline feature to view the map based on the final update each day.

The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (65%+), Medium (85%+), Dark (99%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.

Current

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2020 election as a Trump vs. Biden forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2020 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2028 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2028 electoral votes will display)
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Headlines

Overview and Live Results: Pennsylvania Primaries

May 20, 2025

Pittsburgh's Mayor and the Philly DA will need to prevail against credible challengers to win renomination

Live Results: New York State Senate Special Election

May 20, 2025

A competitive race in this Brooklyn district to replace a conservative Democrat elected to City Council

Romanian Presidential Election Saga Ends Sunday

May 18, 2025

The election, between a centrist and hard-right nationalist, will have major implications on policy for this NATO and EU member country

Election Recap: May 13, 2025

May 14, 2025

Democrat John Ewing ousted three-term Republican mayor Jean Stothert

Live Results May 13: Omaha Mayor; Legislative Special Elections

May 13, 2025

Residents of Omaha will elect a mayor, while special elections in several states will help fill legislative vacancies