The Economist's US Presidential Election Forecast

Current as of Map Timestamp

Updated twice daily, this is an electoral map projection based on The Economist's US presidential election forecast

Use the timeline feature to view the map based on the final update each day.

The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (65%+), Medium (85%+), Dark (99%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.

Current

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2020 election as a Trump vs. Biden forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2020 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2024 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2024 electoral votes will display)
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VT
NH
MA
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CT
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DC

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
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Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map:

Senate GOP Super PAC Spends Big in Wisconsin

“The top Senate GOP super PAC is pouring $6.6 million into Wisconsin’s Senate...

Trump to Brand Deportation Push ‘Operation Aurora’

“Donald Trump will reiterate plans to use an immigration law from 1798 to target...

Trump Already Mulling His White House Chief of Staff

“Donald Trump has been privately asking confidants what they would think of...

Cities Seek More Than $750K from Trump Campaign

Several cities are seeking more than $750,000 in unpaid fees from Donald Trump’s...

Trump Agrees to ‘Women’s Issues’ Event on Fox News

“Donald Trump turned down Fox News’s invitation to debate Vice President Kamala...

Headlines

Legal U.S. Prediction Markets for President are Live

October 4, 2024

An appeals court ruling earlier this week set the stage for political betting by U.S. residents

Live Results: Alabama State House Special Election

October 1, 2024

The final special election before the November general election will fill a vacant safely Democratic seat in the Birmingham area.

Overview and Live Results: New Jersey Congressional Special Election

September 18, 2024

The winner will complete the term of the late Democratic Rep. Donald Payne Jr.

Overview and Live Results: Delaware, New Hampshire, and Rhode Island Primaries

September 10, 2024

The final three statewide primaries before the November 5 general election take place Tuesday

Overview and Live Results: Massachusetts Primary

September 3, 2024

Outside two GOP congressional primaries, there's not all that much to see in this Democratic stronghold