The Economist's US Presidential Election Forecast

Current as of Map Timestamp

Updated twice daily, this is an electoral map projection based on The Economist's US presidential election forecast

Use the timeline feature to view the map based on the final update each day.

The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (65%+), Medium (85%+), Dark (99%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.

Current

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Headlines

Puerto Rico Democratic Presidential Primary Results

July 12, 2020

The Territory hold the penultimate presidential primary this year; Connecticut closes things out on August 11.

Louisiana Presidential Primary Results

July 11, 2020

Twice rescheduled due to the coronavirus, Pelican State residents will have their chance to weigh in on the race Saturday.

Eight Senate Ratings Changes from Inside Elections

July 10, 2020

All changes favor Democrats in seats being defended by GOP incumbents

Delaware and New Jersey Primaries: Overview and Live Results

July 7, 2020

Both states hold their rescheduled presidential primaries; New Jersey also offers some interesting congressional contests

Unanimous Supreme Court Says States Can Punish or Replace Faithless Electors

July 6, 2020

Settles various court cases emerging from the 2016 election that saw 10 electors attempt to be faithless to their pledged candidate

States of Play: Georgia

Dear Readers: In the next installment of our States...

The Clock’s Ticking for Kanye

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Kanye West tweeted...

The House: Democratic Murmurings in the Texas Suburbs – and Elsewhere

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Joe Biden’s...

The Rise of Ranked-Choice Voting

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — 2020 has been...