Split Ticket 2024 President Ratings

As of November 4, 2024

The final Split Ticket ratings for the 2024 presidential election. Use this map to create and share your own forecast.

The Toss-up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Leans (60%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (95%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.

November 4: Toss-ups removed. Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina to Tilts Republican; Pennsylvania and Wisconsin to Tilts Democrat. Colorado Safe to Likely Democrat. Read the analysis >

no 2024 election
no 2024 election
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

- +
Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
State District
1 2 3
ME
NE

Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map:

Headlines

Minnesota State Senate Special Primary: Overview and Live Results

January 14, 2025

The primary takes place with a number of controversies affecting the Legislature as it begins a new session

Overview and Live Results: Virginia General Assembly Special Elections

January 7, 2025

The 2025 calendar kicks off with elections to fill three vacancies. Upsets could upend the balance of power in the General Assembly

Introducing the 2026 Senate Interactive Map

January 3, 2025

22 Republicans and 13 Democrats will be up in 2026; this includes special elections in Florida and Ohio.

Introducing the 2026 House Interactive Map

January 3, 2025

Republicans start the 119th congress with a very narrow 219-215 partisan edge.

New Interactive Map: 2025-2026 Gubernatorial Elections

January 3, 2025

38 states will elect a governor through next year, starting off with New Jersey and Virginia in 2025