Split Ticket 2024 President Ratings
As of November 4, 2024
The final Split Ticket ratings for the 2024 presidential election. Use this map to create and share your own forecast.
The Toss-up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Leans (60%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
November 4: Toss-ups removed. Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina to Tilts Republican; Pennsylvania and Wisconsin to Tilts Democrat. Colorado Safe to Likely Democrat. Read the analysis >
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Headlines
Sen. Thom Tillis Will Not Seek Reelection Next Year
He had come under attack from Trump after voting "no" to advance the president's signature legislation
Nebraska Rep. Don Bacon Not Seeking Reelection in 2026
A formal announcement will come Monday; Bacon was seen as among the more endangered Republicans next year
Overview and Live Results: New York City Mayoral Primary
Several other city offices are on the ballot
Live Results: Buffalo Mayoral Primary and Legislative Special Elections
Buffalo's acting mayor seeks renomination for a full term; a FL special features the ultimate sibling rivalry
Overview and Live Results: 2025 Virginia Primary
Statewide offices and seats in the House of Delegates are on the ballot this year
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