RacetotheWH 2024 Presidential Forecast
Current as of Map Timestamp
The 2024 Presidential Election forecast from RacetotheWH. This data driven model was created by Logan Phillips, who founded the website in 2020.
The Toss-up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Very Light (65%+) Light (75%+), Medium (85%+), Dark (95%+).
The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
Final pre-election update was at approximately 6:20AM ET on November 5.
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Headlines
Rep. Andy Barr Running to Succeed Sen. Mitch McConnell
Live Results: April 22 Connecticut and Mississippi State House Special Elections
Three vacancies will be filled across these two states
Michigan Rep. Haley Stevens Running for U.S. Senate
She will look to succeed retiring fellow Democratic Sen. Gary Peters
Live Results: April 15 State Legislative and Oakland Mayoral Special Elections
Oakland voter will select a new mayor after the prior one was recalled in November
Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds Not Seeking Reelection in 2026
In her announcement video, Reynolds cited a desire to spend more time with her family
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