Princeton Election Consortium Electoral Map

Based on Current Polling
The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election as a Trump vs. Clinton forecast. To create a 2020 map, visit the home page or begin editing below.

Colors indicate likelihood for a Clinton or Trump victory in each state based on Trump outperforming current polling by 2 percent. See the Princeton Election Consortium site for probability color scheme.

no 2016 election
no 2016 election
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map Updated: Jul. 7, 2017 at 16:26 UTC (12:26 PM EDT)

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Tossup 3P
           
       
State District
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ME
NE

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Headlines

Nevada Democratic Caucus: Overview and Live Results

February 22, 2020

Bernie Sanders led in the final polling average. When the vote is finalized 36 delegates will be allocated proportionately to those meeting the 15% viability threshold.

Swing State Poll finds Trump Ahead in Wisconsin, Trailing in Pennsylvania; Michigan Close

February 20, 2020

These states were flipped by Donald Trump in 2016, each voting for a Republican presidential nominee for the first time in a generation

Senate Rating Changes from Sabato's Crystal Ball

February 20, 2020

Alabama moves to likely Republican, while Colorado moves from tossup to leans Democratic

Wisconsin 7th Congressional District Special Primary Election: Overview and Results

February 18, 2020

The seat has been vacant since former Rep. Sean Duffy resigned in September

Numerous Super Tuesday Polls Released Today

February 18, 2020

Includes polls from three of the four states with the largest delegate pools available that day.

Sanders and the Senate

Dear Readers: Tomorrow (Friday, Feb. 21), the University...

The Predictable Return of Unlikely Vice Presidential Selection Scenarios

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Like clockwork,...

For Sanders, New Hampshire was a Glass Both Half-Full and Half-Empty

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — There are mixed...

How to Fix the Presidential Primary Process

Dear Readers: In his book A More Perfect Constitution,...