PredictWise Presidential Forecast
This isn’t a popularity contest™
Updated three times a day, this is an electoral map derived from the PredictWise state-level probabilities. PredictWise uses the wisdom of the crowd, via real-money prediction markets, to determine the likelihood of events. In this case, it is the likelihood of a state going to Clinton or Trump.
The toss-up tan color is used when no candidate has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Clinton or Trump, deepening as the chance of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (90%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2016 presidential election forecast.
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Map :
Headlines
Uncalled Congressional Races as of November 8
Republicans need to win just two of the 15 uncalled elections to retain the majority in the House.
Uncalled Congressional Races as of November 7
Two Senate and two dozen House races remain uncalled. Republicans need six more House wins to retain the majority.
The Seven Presidential Battlegrounds
These seven states - worth 93 electoral votes - have been the focus of the presidential election since the beginning of the cycle
Secondary Presidential Battlegrounds
While the experts favor Harris or Trump in these states, one or more surprises can't be ruled out
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