PredictWise Presidential Forecast

This isn’t a popularity contest™

Updated three times a day, this is an electoral map derived from the PredictWise state-level probabilities. PredictWise uses the wisdom of the crowd, via real-money prediction markets, to determine the likelihood of events. In this case, it is the likelihood of a state going to Clinton or Trump. 

The toss-up tan color is used when no candidate has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Clinton or Trump, deepening as the chance of winning increases:  Light (60%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (90%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2016 presidential election forecast.

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2016 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2028 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2028 electoral votes will display)
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VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
State District
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Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map:

Headlines

Overview and Live Results: New Jersey Primary

June 10, 2025

Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy is termed-out; there are contested primaries in both parties.

Live Results: June 10 Legislative Special Elections

June 10, 2025

Seven elections will fill vacancies across three states

Live Results: San Antonio and Garland Texas Mayoral Runoffs

June 7, 2025

San Antonio hasn't elected a GOP mayor in 30 years, but this race looks competitive

Election Recap June 3, 2025: Dems Hold State House Seat in South Carolina

June 4, 2025

On a related note, Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin has scheduled the special election to succeed the late Gerry Connolly

Live Results: South Carolina State House District 50 Special Election

June 3, 2025

This will fill the one vacancy in the Republican-dominated chamber