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A Full House for the First Time in 2019 as Murphy, Bishop Seated

PredictWise Presidential Forecast

This isn't a popularity contest™
The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election. To create a 2020 map, visit the home page or begin editing below.

Updated three times a day, this is an electoral map derived from the PredictWise state-level probabilities. PredictWise uses the wisdom of the crowd, via real-money prediction markets, to determine the likelihood of events. In this case, it is the likelihood of a state going to Clinton or Trump. 

The toss-up tan color is used when no candidate has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Clinton or Trump, deepening as the chance of winning increases:  Light (60%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (90%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2016 presidential election forecast.

Map Features | Pundit Forecasts | Historical Elections Timeline

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As of Sept. 19, 2019 Details >>
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC
District 1 2 3
ME 2 1 1
NE 2 1 1 1
Split Electoral Votes
Map Updated: Jul. 7, 2017 at 16:30 UTC (12:30 PM EDT)

Customize your map by changing one or more states; return here to share it.


Headlines

A Full House for the First Time in 2019 as Murphy, Bishop Seated

The two Republicans won special elections on September 10 to fill existing vacancies

Rep. Paul Cook of California Will Not Seek Another Term in 2020

The 4th term Republican will run for a seat on the San Bernardino County Board of Supervisors

First Post-Debate Poll Shows Little Movement in Race

Elizabeth Warren gained 2 points, continuing her slow but steady increase in support

New York Times, CNN to Co-Host October Democratic Debate

The debate will take place October 15 - possibly extending into a 2nd night - in Westerville Ohio

North Carolina Congressional Special Elections: Overview and Live Results

Voters will fill vacancies in the state's 3rd and 9th districts




About this Site
270towin.com is an interactive Electoral College map for 2020 and a history of Presidential elections in the United States. Since electoral votes are generally allocated on an "all or none" basis by state, the election of a U.S President is about winning the popular vote in enough states to achieve 270 electoral votes, a majority of the 538 that are available. Receiving the most votes nationwide is irrelevant, as we have seen in two of the most recent five presidential elections where the electoral vote winner and the popular vote winner were different.
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