PredictIt Market Probabilities

Current as of Map Timestamp

Updated every four hours, this is an electoral map based on the then-current PredictIt market odds for the 2020 presidential election.

Use the timeline feature to view the map based on the final update each day.

Unless the odds are exactly 50%, the toss-up color is not used in this map. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the market likelihood of winning increases:  Tilt (<60%) Leans (60%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (90%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.

Current

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2020 election as a Trump vs. Biden forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2020 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2024 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2024 electoral votes will display)
no 2020 election
no 2020 election
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
State District
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ME
NE

Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map:

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Headlines

Wyoming and Puerto Rico Republican Nominating Contests

April 20, 2024

The Wyoming State Convention concludes a multi-step nominating process, while a party-run primary takes place in the U.S. territory

Kansas Republican Rep. Jake LaTurner Not Seeking Reelection

April 18, 2024

His retirement announcement cites a desire to spend more time with his family

Live Results: Alabama Congressional Primary Runoff, Michigan State House Special Elections

April 16, 2024

The 2nd Congressional District, open due to redistricting, represents a Democratic pick-up opportunity in the fall

Live Results: Alaska and Wyoming Democratic Presidential Contests

April 13, 2024

Party run events in these two states will add to President Biden's Delegate Advantage

Uncontested: 2024 U.S. House Races with Single Major Party Participation

April 11, 2024

These are elections where only one of the two major parties is on the general election ballot