PredictIt Market Probabilities

Current as of Map Timestamp

Updated every four hours, this is an electoral map based on the then-current PredictIt market odds for the 2020 presidential election.

Use the timeline feature to view the map based on the final update each day.

Unless the odds are exactly 50%, the toss-up color is not used in this map. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the market likelihood of winning increases:  Tilt (<60%) Leans (60%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (90%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.


The map at this URL was originally created for the 2020 election as a Trump vs. Biden forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2020 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2024 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2024 electoral votes will display)
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Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
State District
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Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map:


Live Results for September 19: State House Special Elections

September 19, 2023

Tuesday's races include a contest in an evenly-divided Pennsylvania State House.

Citing Health Issues, Virginia Rep. Jennifer Wexton Won't Seek Reelection in 2024

September 18, 2023

The Democratic lawmaker had been diagnosed with Parkinson's earlier this year and is now facing a more severe version of the disease

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September 14, 2023

The special election includes parts of Nashville, so some voters will participate in both.

Live Results: New York Assembly Special Election, Charlotte Mayoral Primary

September 12, 2023

Voters will fill the single vacancy in the NY Assembly. In Charlotte, Mayor Vi Lyles faces a minor primary challenge

Live Results: Rhode Island, Utah Special Congressional Primaries

September 5, 2023

Both seats are safe for the incumbent party. As a result, the relevant primaries are where the election will be decided

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