Polymarket 2024 Presidential Election Markets
Current as of Map Timestamp
This is an electoral map based on the Polymarket prediction market odds for the 2024 presidential election. It will be updated every four hours.
Unless there is an exact tie, the toss-up color is not used in this map. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the market likelihood of winning increases: Tilt (<60%), Leans (60%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (90%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
The final update for this map on 270toWin will be the evening prior to Election Day.
For real-time market pricing, which will change frequently as results come in, see this map at the Polymarket website.
You are viewing:
VT |
|
NH |
|
MA |
|
RI |
|
CT |
|
NJ |
|
DE |
|
MD |
|
DC |
Map :
Headlines
Overview and Live Results: Pennsylvania Primaries
Pittsburgh's Mayor and the Philly DA will need to prevail against credible challengers to win renomination
Live Results: New York State Senate Special Election
A competitive race in this Brooklyn district to replace a conservative Democrat elected to City Council
Romanian Presidential Election Saga Ends Sunday
The election, between a centrist and hard-right nationalist, will have major implications on policy for this NATO and EU member country
Election Recap: May 13, 2025
Democrat John Ewing ousted three-term Republican mayor Jean Stothert
Live Results May 13: Omaha Mayor; Legislative Special Elections
Residents of Omaha will elect a mayor, while special elections in several states will help fill legislative vacancies
Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map: Select 'Share Map' button above. Share or Embed your Map: