Polymarket 2024 Presidential Election Markets
Current as of Map Timestamp
This is an electoral map based on the Polymarket prediction market odds for the 2024 presidential election. It will be updated every four hours.
Unless there is an exact tie, the toss-up color is not used in this map. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the market likelihood of winning increases: Tilt (<60%), Leans (60%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (90%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
You are viewing:
VT |
|
NH |
|
MA |
|
RI |
|
CT |
|
NJ |
|
DE |
|
MD |
|
DC |
Map :
Conspiracy Theorist Joins Trump for 9/11 Ceremony
Trump Allies Don’t Want Him to Debate Harris Again
How Swing Voters Reacted to the Debate
A Catastrophic Debate for Trump
Taylor Swift Registers New Voters
Headlines
Overview and Live Results: Delaware, New Hampshire, and Rhode Island Primaries
The final three statewide primaries before the November 5 general election take place Tuesday
Overview and Live Results: Massachusetts Primary
Outside two GOP congressional primaries, there's not all that much to see in this Democratic stronghold
Live Results: Oklahoma Legislative Runoffs, Tulsa Mayoral Election
Top two runoffs are required in 10 state legislative districts where no candidate received a majority in the June 18 primary
538 Forecast Model Relaunches for Harris vs. Trump General Election
The forecast starts with a small lead for Harris, but the site notes a wide range of outcomes are ultimately possible
Overview and Live Results: Florida, Alaska, and Wyoming primaries
Just a handful of 2024 primaries will remain after Tuesday's contests
Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map: Select 'Share Map' button above. Share or Embed your Map: