Polymarket 2024 Presidential Election Markets
Current as of Map Timestamp
This is an electoral map based on the Polymarket prediction market odds for the 2024 presidential election. It will be updated every four hours.
Unless there is an exact tie, the toss-up color is not used in this map. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the market likelihood of winning increases: Tilt (<60%), Leans (60%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (90%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
The final update for this map on 270toWin will be the evening prior to Election Day.
For real-time market pricing, which will change frequently as results come in, see this map at the Polymarket website.
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Headlines
Live Results: San Antonio and Garland Texas Mayoral Runoffs
San Antonio hasn't elected a GOP mayor in 30 years, but this race looks competitive
Election Recap June 3, 2025: Dems Hold State House Seat in South Carolina
On a related note, Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin has scheduled the special election to succeed the late Gerry Connolly
Live Results: South Carolina State House District 50 Special Election
This will fill the one vacancy in the Republican-dominated chamber
Alabama Sen. Tommy Tuberville Announces Gubernatorial Campaign
He'll be the favorite to succeed termed-out Gov. Kay Ivey in this deep red state
Election Recap May 20, 2025: Pittsburgh Mayor Ousted in Primary
Mayor Ed Gainey was defeated by a more centrist Democrat.
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