Niskanen Center Electoral Map

As of September 15, 2020

The current 2020 Electoral College projection from Rachel Bitecofer of the Niskanen Center. Read the full analysis here.

Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.

September 15: Alaska moves from Safe Republican to Toss-up; Arizona and Florida from Leans to Likely Democratic; ME-2 from Toss-up to Likely Republican; Nevada and New Hampshire from Likely to Safe Democratic; South Carolina from Safe to Likely Republican.

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2020 election as a Trump vs. Biden forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2020 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2024 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2024 electoral votes will display)
no 2020 election
no 2020 election
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

- +
Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
State District
1 2 3
ME
NE

Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map:

Headlines

Initial 2024 Cook Political Report House Ratings

February 2, 2023

Analyst David Wasserman sees another competitive battle for control

Overview and Live Results: January 31 Legislative Special Elections

January 31, 2023

Six vacancies in Georgia, Mississippi, and Pennsylvania will be contested

Live Results: Tennessee House District 86 Special Primary

January 24, 2023

Only Democrats entered the race to succeed the late Barbara Cooper (D), so the primary winner will almost certainly be the next state rep here

Introducing the 2024 Senate Interactive Map

January 11, 2023

34 seats, 23 held by Democrats or independents associated with the party will be contested next year

Live Results: Virginia, Mississippi Legislative Special Elections

January 10, 2023

Three vacancies in the Virginia General Assembly, along with one in the Mississippi State House, will be filled Tuesday

The Shocking Decline of Senate Ticket-Splitting

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Senate races are...

Initial Senate Ratings: Democrats Have a Lot of Defending to Do

Dear Readers: Please join us this week for a pair of...

2024 Governors Races: A First Look

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — North Carolina’s...