Niskanen Center Electoral Map

As of July 26, 2020

The current 2020 Electoral College projection from Rachel Bitecofer of the Niskanen Center. Read the full analysis here.

Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.

July 26: Florida moves from Toss-up to Leans Democratic, Texas from Leans Republican to Toss-up; Michigan, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin from Leans to Likely Democratic.

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
           
       
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Headlines

New Interactive: U.S. House State View

August 13, 2020

Partisan breakdown by state now and projected. Assign toss-up districts to see national results - useful in the case of an electoral college tie.

Tuesday Primaries in Connecticut, Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin; Georgia Runoffs

August 11, 2020

Connecticut holds the final presidential primary of 2020 while a member of 'The Squad' faces a primary challenge in Minnesota.

The Road to 270: Minnesota

August 10, 2020

No state has had a longer period of voting Democratic in presidential elections. Donald Trump made it close in 2016, but the streak is likely to continue in 2020

Hawaii Primary: Overview and Live Results

August 8, 2020

Four Democrats are competing to replace the retiring Tulsi Gabbard. Both districts are safely Democratic in November.

Updated Inside Elections House Ratings

August 7, 2020

The forecaster made 29 changes Friday, moving 27 of them in the direction of Democrats

Biden-Harris: A Predictable Pairing

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Poll-Based Election Forecasts Will Always Struggle With Uncertainty

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — We have no idea...

The Senate: Ranking the Top Dozen Best Targets

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — National Republicans...