Louis Jacobson/Governing 2016 Electoral Map
Updated on November 7
Final 2016 projection from Louis Jacobson, who has handicapped the electoral college in 2008, 2012 and 2016, most recently for Governing magazine, where he writes a twice-monthly column on state politics. Jacobson is also a senior correspondent with PolitiFact and senior author of the Almanac of American Politics 2016.
This analysis also ranks states from most likely to go Republican to most likely to go Democratic. Full report.
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Map Updated: Jul. 7, 2017 at 16:28 UTC (12:28 PM EDT)
Headlines
The Road to 270: Washington
An increasingly blue state overall, the Cascade mountain range marks both a physical and political separation between largely liberal and conservative populations.
The Road to 270: Mississippi
At the presidential level, the Magnolia State has voted for only one Democratic nominee since 1960. The population demographics drive remarkably consistent results every four years.
Hawaii Democratic Primary Results
Rescheduled from April 4, this party primary was conducted exclusively by mail
House Ratings Changes from Inside Elections
15 seats were updated, 7 of which moved to safe for the November elections
2020 Electoral Map Based on Polling Averages
This far out, polling may be of limited predictive value, but it will become more and more relevant as November draws closer
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