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National, Early State Polling Averages as of 4th Democratic Debate

Louis Jacobson/Governing 2016 Electoral Map

Updated on November 7
The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election as a Trump vs. Clinton forecast. To create a 2020 map, visit the home page or begin editing below.

Final 2016 projection from Louis Jacobson, who has handicapped the electoral college in 2008, 2012 and 2016, most recently for Governing magazine, where he writes a twice-monthly column on state politics. Jacobson is also a senior correspondent with PolitiFact and senior author of the Almanac of American Politics 2016.

This analysis also ranks states from most likely to go Republican to most likely to go Democratic. Full report.

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As of Sep. 30, 2019 Details >>
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC
District 1 2 3
ME 2 1 1
NE 2 1 1 1
Split Electoral Votes
Map Updated: Jul. 7, 2017 at 16:28 UTC (12:28 PM EDT)

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About this Site
270towin.com is an interactive Electoral College map for 2020 and a history of Presidential elections in the United States. Since electoral votes are generally allocated on an "all or none" basis by state, the election of a U.S President is about winning the popular vote in enough states to achieve 270 electoral votes, a majority of the 538 that are available. Receiving the most votes nationwide is irrelevant, as we have seen in two of the most recent five presidential elections where the electoral vote winner and the popular vote winner were different.
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