Kalshi 2024 Presidential Election Markets
Current as of Map Timestamp
This is an electoral map based on the Kalshi prediction market odds for the 2024 presidential election.
The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the market likelihood of winning increases: Toss-up (<60%), Leans (60%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (95%+).
The final update for this map on 270toWin will be the evening prior to Election Day.
For real-time market pricing, which will change frequently as results come in, see this map at the Kalshi website.
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Headlines
Overview and Live Results: New Jersey Primary
Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy is termed-out; there are contested primaries in both parties.
Live Results: June 10 Legislative Special Elections
Seven elections will fill vacancies across three states
Live Results: San Antonio and Garland Texas Mayoral Runoffs
San Antonio hasn't elected a GOP mayor in 30 years, but this race looks competitive
Election Recap June 3, 2025: Dems Hold State House Seat in South Carolina
On a related note, Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin has scheduled the special election to succeed the late Gerry Connolly
Live Results: South Carolina State House District 50 Special Election
This will fill the one vacancy in the Republican-dominated chamber
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