JHK Forecasts: 2024 Presidential Election
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated daily, this is an electoral map projection based on JHK Forecasts presidential election forecast. This data-driven model was created by Jack Kersting.
Outputs from the model drive much of the 270toWin 2024 election simulator.
The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (85%+), Dark (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Overview and Live Results: 2025 Virginia Primary
Statewide offices and seats in the House of Delegates are on the ballot this year
Overview and Live Results: New Jersey Primary
Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy is termed-out; there are contested primaries in both parties.
Live Results: June 10 Legislative Special Elections
Seven elections will fill vacancies across three states
Live Results: San Antonio and Garland Texas Mayoral Runoffs
San Antonio hasn't elected a GOP mayor in 30 years, but this race looks competitive
Election Recap June 3, 2025: Dems Hold State House Seat in South Carolina
On a related note, Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin has scheduled the special election to succeed the late Gerry Connolly
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