FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated every two hours, this is an electoral map projection derived from the FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast.
Use the timeline feature to view the map as it looked at the end of each day.
The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (65%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Live Results: Virginia Primary; Runoffs in Alabama, Arkansas, and Georgia
Washington DC voters are also going to the polls to select nominees for mayor and the District's delegate to the U.S. House
House Update: Partisan Composition, Retirements, Redistricting
Democrats hold a 220-209 edge after Republican Connie Conway (CA-22) was sworn in earlier this week
Live Results: TX-34 Special Election; Primaries in Maine, Nevada, North Dakota, and South Carolina
Most of the interesting primaries are in Nevada and South Carolina; GOP hopes to flip a vacant Texas congressional seat
Live Results: Mayoral Primaries in Three Nevada Cities
These elections coincide with Tuesday's statewide primary; polls close at 10:00 PM Eastern Time
Overview and Live Results: Alaska At-Large Congressional Special Primary
Top four will advance to August 16 election; winner to complete term of late Rep. Don Young
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