FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated every two hours, this is an electoral map projection derived from the FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast.
Use the timeline feature to view the map as it looked at the end of each day.
The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (65%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Live Results: Tennessee House District 86 Special Primary
Only Democrats entered the race to succeed the late Barbara Cooper (D), so the primary winner will almost certainly be the next state rep here
Introducing the 2024 Senate Interactive Map
34 seats, 23 held by Democrats or independents associated with the party will be contested next year
Live Results: Virginia, Mississippi Legislative Special Elections
Three vacancies in the Virginia General Assembly, along with one in the Mississippi State House, will be filled Tuesday
Michigan Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow Won't Seek Reelection
She joins Indiana Republican Mike Braun - who is running for governor - in announcing a 2024 Senate retirement
Live Results from the First Special Election of 2023
Voters in Georgia House District 7 will choose a replacement for the long-time House Speaker, Republican David Ralston
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