FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated every two hours, this is an electoral map projection derived from the FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast.
Use the timeline feature to view the map as it looked at the end of each day.
The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (65%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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Map :
The Danger Ahead
Trump Shares Column Warning About His Second Term
Trump Turns to Fringe Theories as His Legal Defense
DeSantis Campaign in Turmoil
Trump’s Rhetoric Becomes Darker and More Threatening
Headlines
Live Results: December 5 Legislative Special Elections
North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum Suspends Presidential Campaign
Despite qualifying for the first two debates, he was unable to gain much traction in his quest for the Republican nomination
George Santos Expelled from House of Representatives
311 members voted to remove the New York Republican from office
Celeste Maloy Sworn In; U.S. House Back at Full Strength
The Utah Republican won a special election earlier this month to fill the vacancy created when Chris Stewart resigned
California Democratic Rep. Anna Eshoo to Retire Next Year
First elected in 1992, she will complete her 16th term in 2024
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