FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast

Current as of Map Timestamp

Updated every two hours, this is an electoral map projection derived from the FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast

Use the timeline feature to view the map as it looked at the end of each day.  

The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (65%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (95%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.

Current

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2020 election as a Trump vs. Biden forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2020 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2024 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2024 electoral votes will display)
no 2020 election
no 2020 election
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Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
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Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map:

The Danger Ahead

David Frum: “In his first term, Trump’s corruption and brutality were mitigated...

Trump Shares Column Warning About His Second Term

Donald Trump shared a Washington Post op-ed warning that his second term will be...

Trump Turns to Fringe Theories as His Legal Defense

There’s never been a clear line between Donald Trump’s presidential campaign...

DeSantis Campaign in Turmoil

“Ron DeSantis’s 2024 US presidential campaign operation is going through another...

Trump’s Rhetoric Becomes Darker and More Threatening

“As he campaigns for another term in the White House, Donald Trump sounds like...

Headlines

North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum Suspends Presidential Campaign

December 4, 2023

Despite qualifying for the first two debates, he was unable to gain much traction in his quest for the Republican nomination

George Santos Expelled from House of Representatives

December 1, 2023

311 members voted to remove the New York Republican from office

Celeste Maloy Sworn In; U.S. House Back at Full Strength

November 30, 2023

The Utah Republican won a special election earlier this month to fill the vacancy created when Chris Stewart resigned

California Democratic Rep. Anna Eshoo to Retire Next Year

November 21, 2023

First elected in 1992, she will complete her 16th term in 2024