FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated every two hours, this is an electoral map projection derived from the FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast.
Use the timeline feature to view the map as it looked at the end of each day.
The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (65%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Kentucky Democrat Rep. John Yarmuth Won't Seek Reelection Next Year
He is the chairman of the House Budget Committee and the Only Democratic Rep from the state
Live Results: Iowa State House District 29 Special Election
This competitive district, most recently held by Democrats, is located east of Des Moines.
First Look: Election Day 2021
The off-year slate is highlighted by gubernatorial and legislative elections in New Jersey and Virginia
Live Primary Results: Vacant RI State Senate Seat, Mayor of Durham, NC
Nominees in each race will advance to November 2 general election.
The Classic 'I'm Just a Bill' Reimagined for Today's Political Environment
Passing a bill into law often requires quite a few more steps than when the original Schoolhouse Rock! classic was released 45 years ago.
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