FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated every two hours, this is an electoral map projection derived from the FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast.
Use the timeline feature to view the map as it looked at the end of each day.
The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (65%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Overview and Live Results: New York Assembly District 68 Special Election
NYC district vacated when former incumbent, Democrat Robert Rodriguez resigned to be Secretary of State.
Two More Democratic House Members Announce Retirement, Bringing Total to 28
Jerry McNerney of California and Jim Langevin of Rhode Island will step away after this year
New York Republican Rep. John Katko Will Retire
Katko, in his 4th term, was one of 10 House Republicans to vote to impeach Donald Trump
Ohio Supreme Court Invalidates State's New Congressional Map
The GOP controlled legislature has been ordered to create a map not dictated by partisan considerations
Indiana Republican Rep. Trey Hollingsworth Not Running for Reelection
He is in his third term representing a safely Republican district in the southern part of the state
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