FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast

Current as of Map Timestamp

Updated every two hours, this is an electoral map projection derived from the FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast

Use the timeline feature to view the map as it looked at the end of each day.  

The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (65%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (95%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.

Current

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
           
       
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Headlines

Where Things Stand: 2020 Election Results Maps

November 28, 2020

While Democrats have won back the White House, Republicans easily outperformed expectations in Congressional races

Interactive Map: States Certifying 2020 Presidential Election Results

November 22, 2020

All states will certify in advance of the electors meeting in their individual states to vote on December 14

Democrats Retain a Reduced Majority in House; 10 Races Remain Uncalled

November 16, 2020

GOP regains at least 9 seats lost in the Democratic midterm wave of 2018.

117th Congress: Partisan Composition of the U.S. House by State

November 12, 2020

Democrats lose the majority in Iowa, Michigan and Minnesota

Remaining Uncalled Elections as of November 10

November 10, 2020

One week out from the general election, most races have been called.

Senate 2022: An Early Look

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Wisconsin: Decisive Again in 2020

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Once again, Wisconsin...

Notes on the State of the 2020 Election

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Sifting Through the Results So Far

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