FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated every two hours, this is an electoral map projection derived from the FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast.
Use the timeline feature to view the map as it looked at the end of each day.
The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (65%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
New and Updated Features on the 270toWin Website
The electoral map is changing for 2024. This update includes the projected changes as well as Senate and governor maps for 2022
Republican Claudia Tenney Wins NY-22; Final Undecided House Race from November
Democratic incumbent Anthony Brindisi conceded after New York state certified the election
Alabama Sen. Richard Shelby Won't Seek Reelection in 2022
The 6th term Republican is the longest serving Senator in the state's history
Update: 2020 Election if All States Allocated Electoral Votes Like Maine and Nebraska
Biden would have won a narrower 277-261 using this congressional district method, one which is heavily influenced by the number of gerrymandered districts around the country
Sabato's Crystal Ball Initial Ratings for 2022 Senate Election
Another tight battle for control appears on tap in the 2022 midterms
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