FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated every two hours, this is an electoral map projection derived from the FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast.
Use the timeline feature to view the map as it looked at the end of each day.
The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (65%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Interactive Map for the FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast
Updated every two hours until election day, this map will reflect the probabilistic model used by fivethirtyeight
The Road to 270: Texas
With a rapidly growing, highly-educated population, the Lone Star State is evolving into a major presidential and congressional battleground
Polling Map with No Toss-ups
This map shows who is leading in the polls in each state, regardless of the size of the margin
Delaware Wraps up the 2020 Primary Season: Overview and Live Results
The state will elect a Senator, Representative and Governor this fall; all the incumbents are heavily favored to win reelection
The Road to 270: Wisconsin
50 days from the presidential election, we look at this Midwestern battleground that, prior to Trump's win, had not voted Republican for president since 1984
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