FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated every two hours, this is an electoral map projection derived from the FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast.
Use the timeline feature to view the map as it looked at the end of each day.
The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (65%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Special Primary Overview and Live Results: Ohio Congressional Districts 11 and 15
These two seats are expected to stay with the incumbent party but the associated primaries are hotly-contested
Overview and Live Results: Nonpartisan Mayoral Primaries in Seattle and Detroit
The top two finishers in each city will advance to the general election on November 2
Overview and Live Results: Michigan State Senate Special Primaries
Nominees will meet in November 2 general election; both vacant seats previously GOP-held
Jake Ellzey Sworn-in After TX-6 Win; House Now 220 Democrats, 212 Republicans
Primaries for two Ohio vacancies upcoming on Tuesday
Overview and Live Results: Texas 6th Congressional District Special Election
Two Republicans advanced from the May all-party primary; winner will succeed Ron Wright (R) who died in February
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