FiveThirtyEight Polls-Plus Forecast
This isn’t a popularity contest™
Updated hourly, this is an electoral map derived from the polls-plus forecast from FiveThirtyEight. This is defined as "what polls, the economy and historical data tell us about Nov. 8."
The toss-up tan color is used when no candidate has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Clinton or Trump, deepening as the chance of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (90%+).
The ratings below reflect the final update before the 2016 election. Use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
You are viewing:
VT |
|
NH |
|
MA |
|
RI |
|
CT |
|
NJ |
|
DE |
|
MD |
|
DC |
Map :
Headlines
Live Results: Jacksonville Mayor, Georgia State House Special Election
Voters in the largest city with a Republican mayor select a replacement for the term-limited incumbent.
Live Results: Oklahoma Marijuana Legalization
A yes vote in this special election would make Oklahoma the 22nd state to legalize recreational marijuana
Live Florida Election Results: Tampa Mayor, House District 24 Special GOP Primary
Tampa Mayor Jane Castor should cruise to a 2nd term; five Republicans compete for an Ocala-area House vacancy
Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections
An early April runoff is all but certain; the big question for Tuesday is whether incumbent Lori Lightfoot will advance.
Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate
She is looking to succeed her fellow Democrat, Sen. Debbie Stabenow, who is not seeking reelection in 2024
Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map: Select 'Share Map' button above. Share or Embed your Map: