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Primary Tuesday in Four States: Overview and Live Results

FiveThirtyEight Polls-Plus Forecast

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The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election. To create a 2020 map, visit the home page or begin editing below.

Updated hourly, this is an electoral map derived from the polls-plus forecast from FiveThirtyEight. This is defined as "what polls, the economy and historical data tell us about Nov. 8." 

The toss-up tan color is used when no candidate has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Clinton or Trump, deepening as the chance of winning increases:  Light (60%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (90%+).

The ratings below reflect the final update before the 2016 election. Use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.

Map Features | Map Library | Pundit Forecasts | Historical Elections Timeline
Democrat
184
Republican
153

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Excl. faithless electors Details >>
MA
RI
CT
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DE
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DC
District 1 2 3
ME 2 1 1
NE 2 1 1 1
Split Electoral Votes
Map Updated: Jul. 7, 2017 8:26 AM (ET)

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Headlines

Primary Tuesday in Four States: Overview and Live Results

Voters will go to the polls in Connecticut, Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. The first polls close at 7:00 PM Eastern

In Blue Hawaii, Democratic Primary is Largest Hurdle to Winning Office

The most notable primary races are for the Democratic nomination for governor and in the first congressional district. Rep. Colleen Hanabusa is leaving the latter to vie for the governor's chair

Kansas GOP Gubernatorial Race Tightens; Candidates Separated by 91 Votes

A 100 vote error corrected in Thomas County. Provisional and mail-in ballots still to be totaled; recount may follow.

Tilt Ratings Added to Interactive House Map

A rating between toss-up and leans is now available for all the 2018 midterm maps: House, Senate, Governor

Rep. Christopher Collins Indicted for Insider Trading

The third term Republican represents a conservative district in Western New York. 2018 election moves from safe to likely Republican on news of the indictment




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270towin.com is an interactive Electoral College map for 2020 and a history of Presidential elections in the United States. Since electoral votes are generally allocated on an "all or none" basis by state, the election of a U.S President is about winning the popular vote in enough states to achieve 270 electoral votes, a majority of the 538 that are available. It is not about getting the most overall popular votes, as we saw in the 2000 election, when the electoral vote winner (Bush) and the popular vote winner (Gore) were different.
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