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Ohio Republican Pat Tiberi to Resign from Congress

FiveThirtyEight Polls-Plus Forecast

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Updated hourly, this is an electoral map derived from the polls-plus forecast from FiveThirtyEight. This is defined as "what polls, the economy and historical data tell us about Nov. 8." 

The toss-up tan color is used when no candidate has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Clinton or Trump, deepening as the chance of winning increases:  Light (60%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (90%+).

The ratings below reflect the final update before the 2016 election. Use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.

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Headlines

Ohio Republican Pat Tiberi to Resign from Congress

Updating an earlier story, the nine term Ohio Republican will depart no later than January 31, 2018

Senior House Republican May Resign from Congress

Nine term Ohio Rep. Pat Tiberi is reported to be leaving Congress to join the Ohio Business Roundtable

Fox News Finds Alabama Senate Race Tied

Democrat Doug Jones and Republican Roy Moore both come in at 42%, approximately seven weeks before the December 12 special election

Maine Senator Susan Collins to Remain in Senate

The four-term Republican had been considering a run for the seat being vacated by termed out governor Paul LePage

Moore Still Leads by 8 in Alabama Senate Race

The margin is the same as a poll out at the beginning of October




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270towin.com is an interactive Electoral College map for 2020 and a history of Presidential elections in the United States. Since electoral votes are generally allocated on an "all or none" basis by state, the election of a U.S President is about winning the popular vote in enough states to achieve 270 electoral votes, a majority of the 538 that are available. It is not about getting the most overall popular votes, as we saw in the 2000 election, when the electoral vote winner (Bush) and the popular vote winner (Gore) were different.
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