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Kim Wins NJ-3; Midterm Election Sees the Garden State's GOP Delegation Cut from 5 to 1

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The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election. To create a 2020 map, visit the home page or begin editing below.

Updated hourly, this is an electoral map derived from the polls-plus forecast from FiveThirtyEight. This is defined as "what polls, the economy and historical data tell us about Nov. 8." 

The toss-up tan color is used when no candidate has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Clinton or Trump, deepening as the chance of winning increases:  Light (60%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (90%+).

The ratings below reflect the final update before the 2016 election. Use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.

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Map Updated: Jul. 7, 2017 8:26 AM (ET)

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Headlines

Kim Wins NJ-3; Midterm Election Sees the Garden State's GOP Delegation Cut from 5 to 1

Only 19 term GOP Rep. Christopher Smith was re-elected

Democrats Win CA-10, Gaining 34th House Seat. 7 Races Remain Undecided

Overall, Democrats will have at least 229 seats heading into 2019. This is the 43rd party win in California alone.

Associated Press: Sinema Wins Arizona Senate Race

This is a Democratic gain -- the seat is currently held by retiring Republican Sen. Jeff Flake. It does not affect GOP control of the chamber, as the party has 51 seats heading into 2019

Uncalled Races Update: Sinema Takes Small Lead in Arizona

Arizona and Florida Senate, Georgia governor and 10 House races remain open

New Mexico 2nd Flips to Democrats; 14 Races Remain Uncalled

Democrats will control the U.S. House with at least 224 seats in 2019




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270towin.com is an interactive Electoral College map for 2020 and a history of Presidential elections in the United States. Since electoral votes are generally allocated on an "all or none" basis by state, the election of a U.S President is about winning the popular vote in enough states to achieve 270 electoral votes, a majority of the 538 that are available. Receiving the most votes nationwide is irrelevant, as we have seen in two of the most recent five presidential elections where the electoral vote winner and the popular vote winner were different.
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