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2020 Electoral Map: Color Palette, with Tilt Ratings & 3rd Party now Available

FiveThirtyEight Polls-Plus Forecast

This isn't a popularity contest™
The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election. To create a 2020 map, visit the home page or begin editing below.

Updated hourly, this is an electoral map derived from the polls-plus forecast from FiveThirtyEight. This is defined as "what polls, the economy and historical data tell us about Nov. 8." 

The toss-up tan color is used when no candidate has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Clinton or Trump, deepening as the chance of winning increases:  Light (60%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (90%+).

The ratings below reflect the final update before the 2016 election. Use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.

Map Features | Map Library | Pundit Forecasts | Historical Elections Timeline

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Initial Ratings 1/9/19 Details >>
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC
District 1 2 3
ME 2 1 1
NE 2 1 1 1
Split Electoral Votes
Map Updated: Jul. 7, 2017 at 16:26 UTC (12:26 PM EDT)

Customize your map by changing one or more states; return here to share it.

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Headlines

2020 Electoral Map: Color Palette, with Tilt Ratings & 3rd Party now Available

New features to make it easier to customize your 2020 presidential election forecast

Pennsylvania GOP Rep. Tom Marino to Resign From Congress

Just weeks after being sworn in for a fifth term, Marino is leaving for a job in the private sector

The 2019-20 Governor Interactive Map is Live

Kentucky, Louisiana and Mississippi have elections in 2019, with 11 more states to follow in 2020

Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand Launches 2020 Exploratory Committee

She made the announcement during a taping of The Late Show on Tuesday

Julian Castro to Run for President in 2020

He is the fourth Democrat to formally declare his candidacy. About two dozen others are considering a run




About this Site
270towin.com is an interactive Electoral College map for 2020 and a history of Presidential elections in the United States. Since electoral votes are generally allocated on an "all or none" basis by state, the election of a U.S President is about winning the popular vote in enough states to achieve 270 electoral votes, a majority of the 538 that are available. Receiving the most votes nationwide is irrelevant, as we have seen in two of the most recent five presidential elections where the electoral vote winner and the popular vote winner were different.
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