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Try the 2018 House Midterm Election Simulator

FiveThirtyEight Polls-Only Forecast

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The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election. To create a 2020 map, visit the home page or begin editing below.

Updated hourly, this is an electoral map derived from the polls-only forecast from FiveThirtyEight. This is defined as "what polls alone tell us about Nov. 8." 

The toss-up tan color is used when no candidate has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Clinton or Trump, deepening as the chance of winning increases:  Light (60%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (90%+).

The ratings below reflect the final update before the 2016 election. Use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.

Map Features | Map Library | Pundit Forecasts | Historical Elections Timeline
Democrat
184
Republican
142

54
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Excl. faithless electors Details >>
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC
District 1 2 3
ME 2 1 1
NE 2 1 1 1
Split Electoral Votes
Map Updated: Jul. 7, 2017 8:26 AM (ET)

Customize your map by changing one or more states; return here to share it.

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Headlines

Try the 2018 House Midterm Election Simulator

Who will control the House in 2019? We won't know for sure until November 6th, but you can simulate the election as often as you'd like between now and then

Midterm Battleground Minnesota Kicks off Early Voting for the 2018 Election

We're still about 45 days out from Election Day, but voters in numerous states will begin casting ballots over the next few weeks

Despite Indictment, Collins to Remain on November Ballot

This improves Democratic odds of flipping a district Trump won by nearly 25% in 2016

New York Primary Preview and Live Results

The state holds its primary for non-Federal offices on September 13th. We're watching the Democratic elections for governor and attorney general

Rhode Island Primary Preview and Live Results

Overview and live results of the 2018 Rhode Island primary held September 12th






About this Site
270towin.com is an interactive Electoral College map for 2020 and a history of Presidential elections in the United States. Since electoral votes are generally allocated on an "all or none" basis by state, the election of a U.S President is about winning the popular vote in enough states to achieve 270 electoral votes, a majority of the 538 that are available. It is not about getting the most overall popular votes, as we saw in the 2000 election, when the electoral vote winner (Bush) and the popular vote winner (Gore) were different.
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