Elections Daily 2024 President Ratings
As of July 16, 2024
The current Elections Daily ratings for the 2024 presidential election. Use this map to create and share your own forecast.
July 16: Maine, Minnesota, NE-02, New Hampshire move from Likely to Leans Democratic; Nevada Toss-up to Leans Republican; New Mexico and Virginia Safe to Likely Democratic; Texas Leans to Likely Republican. Read the analysis >
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Map :
A Dead Heat in the Battlegrounds
Democrats Shift to a Simpler Message
Republicans Are Already Souring on J.D. Vance
Kamala Harris Erases Trump’s Lead
Trump to Hold Rally Where Assassination Attempt Failed
Headlines
Polling Map for Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Polls are still limited for the nascent general election match-up, but will become more plentiful in the weeks ahead
Updating the 270toWin Website After Biden's Withdrawal
The site will be updated with tools to reflect an expected contest with Vice President Harris as the Democratic nominee
Update on U.S. House Vacancies
The death of Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee created a third open seat; Republicans hold a 220-212 partisan edge
Live Results: New Jersey 10th Congressional District Special Primary
The winner of the September 18 special election will complete the term of the late Donald Payne Jr.
Introducing the 2024 Presidential Election Simulator
Run a simulated Biden - Trump election or view the results of 25,000 daily simulations
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