Decision Desk | 0ptimus 2020 Presidential Forecast

Current as of Map Timestamp

Updated daily, this is an electoral map projection derived from the Decision Desk | 0ptimus 2020 Presidential Election Model

The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Leans (60%+), Likely (75%+), Safe (90%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.

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VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
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DC

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
           
       
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Headlines

Cook Political Updates 12 House Ratings

October 21, 2020

The forecaster sees Democrats gaining between five and 15 seats in the 2020 election

The Road to 270: Iowa

October 19, 2020

After swinging sharply to Donald Trump in 2016, the state is among the most competitive in 2020. A closely-contested Senate race may help determine control of that chamber.

Interactive Map for the FiveThirtyEight House Forecast

October 15, 2020

Currently at 233 seats - 218 needed - Democrats have a high probability of retaining control after the 2020 election.

The Road to 270: Florida

October 12, 2020

The Sunshine State's competitiveness and large electoral bounty will once again play a pivotal role in the 2020 election.

Sabato's Crystal Ball Updates Election Outlook

October 8, 2020

Changes made to the electoral map, as well as to individual races for Senate, House and Governor.

The Senate: Iowa to Leans Democratic

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How Anger Shapes American Politics

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Forecasting the 2020 U.S. Senate Elections Using Presidential Polling Data

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