Crystal Ball 2016 Electoral College Ratings

Final Forecast: November 7th

This was the final projection for the 2016 election from Larry Sabato and the team at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election as a Trump vs. Clinton forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2016 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2024 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2024 electoral votes will display)
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Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
           
       
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Headlines

Nebraska Sen. Ben Sasse Expected to Resign; Sole Finalist to be President at University of Florida

October 6, 2022

Gov. Pete Ricketts would appoint a replacement who will serve until a 2024 special election

Florida Democratic Rep. Ted Deutch Resigning at Close of Business Friday

September 30, 2022

Early departure had previously been announced; Deutch is taking a job as CEO of the American Jewish Committee

Polling Update: September 27

September 27, 2022

A list of polls added yesterday or today

Introducing the 2022 House Simulator

September 19, 2022

Who will control the House after the midterm elections? Use this tool to simulate the outcome and see trends over time.

Uncontested: The 36 House Districts With Only One Major Party on the Ballot

September 15, 2022

17 incumbents are unopposed, while 13 others face a 3rd party opponent. Six elections are between two Democrats

The 2022 Ad Wars

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — To get a flavor...

House Rating Changes: RGV versus RCV

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — We are making...

Following the Money: What Outside Spending Tells Us About the Race for the House

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — The spending decisions...

Notes on the State of Politics: Sept. 28, 2022

Dear Readers: This is the latest edition of Notes...