cnalysis 2024 Presidential Ratings
As of November 4, 2024
The final 2024 presidential forecast from CNalysis. The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
Note that as a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024. Use the buttons above the map to see what has changed.
November 4: Arizona Toss-up to Tilt R; Georgia and Michigan Toss-up to Likely D; NE-02 Likely to Safe D; Iowa Likely to Tilt R; Kansas Safe to Likely R; Maine and New Hampshire Likely to Safe D; Nevada and North Carolina Toss-up to Tilt D; Ohio Safe to Likely R; Pennsylvania and Wisconsin Toss-up to Lean D; Texas Likely to Lean R.
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Headlines
Reps. Evans and Johnson to Leave House; Now 16 Retirements in 2026 Cycle
Both represent safe seats for the incumbent party; Johnson is running for South Dakota governor
Live Results: New York City Ranked Choice Tabulation
Zohran Mamdani is expected to move one step closer to being certified as the Democratic nominee for mayor
Sen. Thom Tillis Will Not Seek Reelection Next Year
He had come under attack from Trump after voting "no" to advance the president's signature legislation
Nebraska Rep. Don Bacon Not Seeking Reelection in 2026
A formal announcement will come Monday; Bacon was seen as among the more endangered Republicans next year
Overview and Live Results: New York City Mayoral Primary
Several other city offices are on the ballot
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