cnalysis 2024 Presidential Ratings

As of November 4, 2024

The final 2024 presidential forecast from CNalysis. The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.

Note that as a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024. Use the buttons above the map to see what has changed.

November 4: Arizona Toss-up to Tilt R; Georgia and Michigan Toss-up to Likely D; NE-02 Likely to Safe D; Iowa Likely to Tilt R; Kansas Safe to Likely R; Maine and New Hampshire Likely to Safe D; Nevada and North Carolina Toss-up to Tilt D; Ohio Safe to Likely R; Pennsylvania and Wisconsin Toss-up to Lean D; Texas Likely to Lean R.

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Headlines

The Seven Presidential Battlegrounds

November 5, 2024

These seven states - worth 93 electoral votes - have been the focus of the presidential election since the beginning of the cycle

Secondary Presidential Battlegrounds

November 5, 2024

While the experts favor Harris or Trump in these states, one or more surprises can't be ruled out

27 House Races Rated Toss-up or Favored to Change Parties

November 5, 2024

This list includes many of the better opportunities for each party to gain seats

State of Play: How 2022's Closest U.S. House Races are Looking in 2024

November 2, 2024

The 2022 election in eleven districts was decided by a margin of less than 1%