2020 Electoral Map Based on Polls
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated three times daily, this map tracks the electoral vote count for the 2020 presidential election based on polling. The 2016 election margin, rounded to the nearest 1%, is used where there are no polls.
Use the timeline feature to view the map based on the final update each day.
States where the margin is <5% are shown as toss-up. Leaning is <10%, likely <15%. Safe is 15% or higher.
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Cook Political Updates 12 House Ratings
The forecaster sees Democrats gaining between five and 15 seats in the 2020 election
The Road to 270: Iowa
After swinging sharply to Donald Trump in 2016, the state is among the most competitive in 2020. A closely-contested Senate race may help determine control of that chamber.
Interactive Map for the FiveThirtyEight House Forecast
Currently at 233 seats - 218 needed - Democrats have a high probability of retaining control after the 2020 election.
The Road to 270: Florida
The Sunshine State's competitiveness and large electoral bounty will once again play a pivotal role in the 2020 election.
Sabato's Crystal Ball Updates Election Outlook
Changes made to the electoral map, as well as to individual races for Senate, House and Governor.
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