2020 Electoral Map Based on Polls
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated three times daily, this map tracks the electoral vote count for the 2020 presidential election based on polling. The 2016 election margin, rounded to the nearest 1%, is used where there are no polls.
Use the timeline feature to view the map based on the final update each day.
States where the margin is <5% are shown as toss-up. Leaning is <10%, likely <15%. Safe is 15% or higher.
Keep in mind that polls are a snapshot in time. This far from November, they may be of limited predictive value.
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
New Interactive: U.S. House State View
Partisan breakdown by state now and projected. Assign toss-up districts to see national results - useful in the case of an electoral college tie.
Tuesday Primaries in Connecticut, Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin; Georgia Runoffs
Connecticut holds the final presidential primary of 2020 while a member of 'The Squad' faces a primary challenge in Minnesota.
The Road to 270: Minnesota
No state has had a longer period of voting Democratic in presidential elections. Donald Trump made it close in 2016, but the streak is likely to continue in 2020
Hawaii Primary: Overview and Live Results
Four Democrats are competing to replace the retiring Tulsi Gabbard. Both districts are safely Democratic in November.
Updated Inside Elections House Ratings
The forecaster made 29 changes Friday, moving 27 of them in the direction of Democrats
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