2020 Electoral Map Based on Polls

Current as of Map Timestamp

Updated three times daily, this map tracks the electoral vote count for the 2020 presidential election based on polling. The 2016 election margin, rounded to the nearest 1%, is used where there are no polls.

Use the timeline feature to view the map based on the final update each day.

States where the margin is <5% are shown as toss-up. Leaning is <10%, likely <15%. Safe is 15% or higher.

Keep in mind that polls are a snapshot in time. This far from November, they may be of limited predictive value.

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.

Current

no 2020 election
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VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map Updated: Jun. 2, 2020 at 14:00 UTC (10:00 AM EDT)

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
           
       
State District
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Headlines

Nine States and DC Hold Primaries Today: Overview and Live Results

June 2, 2020

On one of the busier days of the reshuffled calendar, Joe Biden has a chance to clinch the nomination. However, a late change in Pennsylvania may delay that opportunity.

The Road to 270: Washington

June 1, 2020

An increasingly blue state overall, the Cascade mountain range marks both a physical and political separation between largely liberal and conservative populations.

The Road to 270: Mississippi

May 25, 2020

At the presidential level, the Magnolia State has voted for only one Democratic nominee since 1960. The population demographics drive remarkably consistent results every four years.

Hawaii Democratic Primary Results

May 23, 2020

Rescheduled from April 4, this party primary was conducted exclusively by mail

House Ratings Changes from Inside Elections

May 23, 2020

15 seats were updated, 7 of which moved to safe for the November elections

Republican Presidential Primary Turnout: Trump vs Bush

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Recent Polling in the Swing States Favors Biden

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Why 2020’s Third Party Share Should Be Lower Than 2016

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